Quantitative finance, quantitative science, software development, mindfulness.

Brazil
Joined December 2011
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Replying to @AmigamagazineGA
This was my first computer, back in 1989.
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Replying to @LucasCostaAT
IPCA: Estável em 5,33%, mesmo patamar anterior. PIB: Subiu de 1,98% para 1,99%; sexta semana de alta. Câmbio: Estável: R$ 5,20 por dólar. Selic: Mantida previsão fechamento do ano (14%). IGP-M: Expectativa de inflação do atacado estável em 6,15%. IPCA Adm: 5,00% (estável).
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Replying to @dreyk0o0
Polymarket's liquidity is low (thousands per market), there are slippage and fees. Real arbs are usually small (1-5% edges). Analyses of millions of trades show most arb attempts fail (e.g., 62% unprofitable). Video appears to show simulated backtest, not live trading.
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Replying to @StefanBurnsGeo
No reason for panic here. Solar Cycle 25 peaked in October 2024 with a smoothed sunspot number of about 161 (higher than initial predictions of ~115 but still below average historical cycles like Cycle 23). The decline is now underway.
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You are the result of every decision you’ve made so far. The good news is that a new choice can change your path - control always begins with the next step.
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Replying to @BrianRoemmele
Maybe worse than that is AI being trained on content generated by AI.
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Replying to @PedroLulaMota
Moral: quanto mais narrativa o ETF vende, maior o risco de estar comprando topo. ETFs "com história boa" (temáticos, setoriais) atraem investidores quando o mercado já subiu demais. Resultado: perda de valor. (!) Prefira ETFs c/ fundamentos e diversificação, e evite os modinha
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Replying to @MarginCall4
You need an indicator to track minimas and maximas. Then, it is just a matter of checking the last two minimas. If you need help with this, feel free to pm me.
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After years of dedication in algo trading, the results eventually will come. It is very possible.
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@SenadoFederal Vocês são os responsáveis. A conta vai chegar.
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Replying to @claudio_dantas_
@CFOAB Vocês existem pra quê mesmo?
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Practical Takeaway If observation affects reality at the smallest scales, then at the macroscopic level, how we perceive, interpret, and focus our attention might be shaping our own experiences in ways we don’t fully understand.
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Uncertainty is Fundamental In quantum mechanics, the Uncertainty Principle says we can’t know both position and momentum with total precision. In life, seeking absolute certainty is often impossible. The best we can do is work with probabilities, adapt, and embrace uncertainty.
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Consciousness Might Play a Role in Reality Since measurement alters the quantum world, it raises the question: Does consciousness actively shape the universe? This aligns with ideas in psychology and philosophy—our thoughts, focus, and awareness directly influence our reality.
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The Power of Information Just knowing which slit a particle goes through destroys interference. In the real world, the way we frame or understand a situation changes our experience of it. Learning new perspectives can shift our entire reality.
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Potential Exists Until We "Observe" a Choice Before measurement, a particle exists in multiple possibilities (superposition). In our lives, many possibilities exist, but the moment we commit to a choice, we collapse our potential into a single reality.
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Reality is Not Absolute—It Depends on Perspective In the double-slit experiment, whether we observe or not changes the outcome. In life, our perception and mindset shape our experiences. Two people can see the same event differently based on their beliefs, emotions, and focus.
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If quantum mechanics shows that observation shapes reality, how does that apply to the macroscopic world—our everyday lives?
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