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It seems that around Menaka, Tuaregs loyal to Mali regime somehow poked the Islamic State to the extent the backlash is brutal and Bamako conducted multiple airstrikes in defense. Jihadists' retaliation was massive, but casualties need to be confirmed.
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One of the biggest massacres in recent years may have occured these past two days, with Islamic State going as far as briefly invading Menaka city to try and annihilate people connected to MSA Tuareg leadership. Estimates 150-200 dead of just civilians. Grim is an understatement.
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BREAKING NEWS: Five Salvadoran soldiers deployed to Haiti's Gang Suppression Force were ambushed today and are still missing. GIFT LINK: nytimes.com/2026/10/18/world…
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Five years ago, Pascal Kambale and I explained in this piece how the Kabila-Tshisekedi coalition fell apart. The current conflict is rooted in that discord.
foreignaffairs.com/democrati…
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NEW | Ethiopian federal forces have captured all major cities in Tigray and are advancing toward towns near the Eritrean border along several axes, with TPLF and alleged Eritrean forces retreating into Eritrea.
Separately, isolated and unverified reports claimed that the Ethiopian military has launched a military buildup in Afar region along the A1 highway to Assab.
Read the full details and more in today's Ethiopia War Security Review: criticalthreats.org/briefs/e…
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Chinese President Xi Jinping said Tuesday that African mineral resources "belong to Africa," offering Beijing's support for the industry and warning against "geopolitical rivalries" that could harm it. chinaglobalsouth.com/2026/10…
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Regarding Tim Kennedy, it’s very weird that people are still talking about “Rwanda-backed M23 insurgents” as if it’s just some insurgency supplied by Kigali. It’s not. This is a conventional interstate war involving three state militaries and ~100k auxiliary militia combatants.
JUST IN: Forces tied to Erik Prince’s Vectus Global were ambushed in South Kivu in Congo on September 17 while moving between locations, Reuters reported today.
About 20 people were killed or wounded, including at least seven Congolese and a former New Zealand SAS operator. Former UFC fighter and Green Beret Tim Kennedy was also wounded.
Sources said the attack’s sophistication points to Rwandan forces backing M23 (March 23 Movement), the main rebel group fighting the Congolese army. One government source said those forces may have tracked a Vectus surveillance drone to the team.
Vectus, which also works in Haiti, had been hired to help secure mineral revenue and earlier supported Congolese troops around Uvira.
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Eritrean troops have suffered “heavy losses” and are retreating toward their border, a spokesperson for an Ethiopian pro-government militia tells AFP.
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Former Congolese President Joseph Kabila has launched a new coalition to replace the AFC-M23 alliance fighting government forces in eastern Congo, taking a more direct role in an insurgency he had previously stopped short of openly backing. reuters.com/world/congos-for…
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A sign of how horrible it has all become. Egyptian airstrikes on Sudanese miners kill hundreds and Injures another, and nobody bats an eye anymore. Russians bomb Ukrainian buses, killing hundreds throughout last week, who cares. Hundreds killed in Nigeria, who cares.
Grim.
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AFRICA
Ghana Faces Challenge To Persuade BRICS It Deserves A Seat At The Table
rfi.fr/en/africa/20261010-gh…
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Here we go.
It's Islamic State first that breaks the silence on the grand jihadi civil war ongoing in the Sahel.
And the numbers the groups claims are wild - 400 Al-Qaeda militants are supposed to have been slain by the Islamic State in Burkina Faso. #BurkinaFaso
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Congo's former president Kabila forms new group to replace M23 insurgency reuters.com/world/congos-for…
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The Islamic State’s A’māq News Agency claims a massive onslaught on JNIM in northern Burkina Faso. According to A’māq, over 400 JNIM fighters, including field commanders, were killed in a counterattack in Oudalan province following an unsuccessful operation. Numerous weapons, motorcycles captured.
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No one is visiting Prime Minister Dbeibeh in Tripoli anymore. They all go to Benghazi to meet Saddam Haftar, even though he officially holds no office.
But everyone can see who will be the next ruler of Libya 🇱🇾
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Are we already in World War 3? My chilling interview with someone who knows. nytimes.com/2026/10/10/magaz…
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🇪🇹 **Ethiopia War Update 24**
☝️ Tigrayan forces say they have reorganized their command and are preparing for a large counter-offensive against the Ethiopian army. They announced five military fronts: Western, Northwestern, Eastern, Southern, and Central. They also said they had reshuffled their military leadership, aiming to strengthen their command and regain control of the battlefield.
📍 **Ethiopian forces enter Adigrat.** Ethiopian army units and allied forces entered Adigrat on the morning of October 10, marking another significant shift in control in eastern Tigray.
📍 **Tigrayan forces withdraw from Aksum.** Tigrayan forces left Aksum overnight. Residents organized themselves to guard public institutions and protect the city amid concerns about insecurity and possible looting.
📍 **Drone strike in Adwa.** A drone strike targeted a vehicle carrying fuel in Adwa around midday. The vehicle was seen burning after the attack.
📍 Regular police and security operations have begun in Tigray’s capital, Mekelle
📍 **US warns of rising tensions.** The US Embassy in Asmara has urged American citizens to exercise increased caution in Eritrea because of rising cross-border tensions with Ethiopia.
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Tim Kennedy's Congo ambush is a bigger story than one firefight.
On September 17, a team from Vectus Global, the company linked to Blackwater founder Erik Prince, was ambushed while traveling between locations in South Kivu, eastern Congo. Reuters reports about 20 people were killed or wounded, including at least seven Congolese and Justin Conaglen, a former New Zealand SAS lance corporal who left the military in August. Tim Kennedy, a U.S. Army Special Forces soldier and former UFC fighter, was shot three times in the leg. A second foreign contractor was also wounded.
The team was reportedly a three-man element accompanying Congolese soldiers. The wounded waited hours for evacuation, and Prince's officials were reportedly still searching for aircraft after the shooting started. Kennedy was taken to Burundi, then Johannesburg, then Walter Reed. The New York Times reports seven Colombian contractors working for Prince died in a separate battle earlier that month.
The contract was signed in December 2024 and runs five years, through Congo's finance ministry. It was pitched as a mining-revenue project with a "mining police." A UN Group of Experts later found a covert military side, including advice to Congo's army, aircraft and the recruitment of former foreign troops. By February, Vectus said Kinshasa had asked it to help plan the retaking of Uvira. Because the deal runs through civilian ministries, UN experts found no public decree explicitly authorizing a combat role.
Nobody has officially identified the attackers. Three sources point toward Rwandan forces backing M23, and one says they may have tracked a Vectus drone back to the team. Rwanda denies backing M23. Claims of a Russian role are unsupported.
As recently as 2025, Kennedy was a part-time Maryland National Guard soldier. His status when he took the job, and how a wounded contractor ended up at Walter Reed, haven't been explained. That doesn't imply misconduct. New Zealand has opened an investigation into Conaglen's death.
Neither Kennedy nor Vectus has commented. All of this is reported from sources and not officially confirmed.
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What I struggle to understand is why Eritrea would move into Ethiopia. Sure, Eritrea has a large standing army--of forced conscripts--but reports from Asmara are that they are undernourished and even lack sufficient water. Given the state of the economy, you have to question how well armed they are and whether they have the latest generation weaponry. Conversely, the ENDF has doubled, if not tripled, the size of the army since the last Tigray war and has had a conveyor belt of UAE weapons coming into the country for the last year. Not to mention a ripping economy to purchase what it needs. It is in part why they were able to dispatch with the Tigrayans so quickly last week. So I am struggling to see how the numbers add up. Eritrea critics like to say that Isaias is too old, too senile, too much living in the past and making strategic miscalculations about 21st century warfare. Ethiopia critics argue that Abiy is the same egomaniacal, self-delusional leader who thinks he can win any fight he enters. Which side is right? africa.businessinsider.com/l…
































