. retweeted
Kansas Senate Poll (Emerson)
🟦Adam Hamilton 49%
🟥Roger Marshall 45%
10/22-10/26
Link to poll: emersoncollegepolling.com/oc…
. retweeted
Kansas Democratic Senate nominee Adam Hamilton on transgender rights:
“I don’t think we should take a small group of people and bully them, pick on them, and hurt them. I understand one thing really clearly when it comes to transgender people, and that is Jesus told me I was to love my neighbor as I love myself.
I’m gonna love the trans person as well as the straight person, male or female. We have to do better than picking on small groups. What’s happened is we’ve turned a group of people into a campaign issue because it polls well.”
RT @politics_watch1: Texas Senate (Fox News)
🔵James Talarico 51%
🔴Ken Paxton 49%
9/24-9/28
Link: foxnews.com/official-polls …
always blaming the advisors
Mark Halperin: Republican strategists are starting to complain about Susie Wiles and James Blair, two people considered untouchable in the Republican world.
They are starting to say the strategy wasn't good.. not controlling the President to be the champion of AI and data centers, talking more about the ballroom than affordability, and not having a plan to deal with Congress to try to get some progress
Link: youtube.com/live/tZq6qywTPsU…
pretty interesting
The Downballot: Massive primary turnout points to biggest year for Democrats since Watergate
In midterms over the past 80 years, there’s been a surprisingly tight relationship between voting behavior in a given cycle’s primaries and the House popular vote in the general election that follows. Based on that relationship, this year’s primary turnout suggests that Democrats would win the House vote by an enormous 13-point spread
Link: the-downballot.com/p/massive…
the vibe I get reading this article is AOC ultimately wont run in 2028
NYT: AOC says the country never electing a female president will factor into her 2028 decision.
“This country has never elected a female president. Why are we pretending that this is not a factor?” AOC said with a laugh. “That doesn’t make it impossible, but to act as though it’s not a factor in anything ever is really a form of, like, denialism.”
Link to article: nytimes.com/2026/09/22/us/po…
not saying Turek can't win but I think states like Iowa are just hard to poll and you end up with these results
IOWA POLL - Senate
🟦 Josh Turek: 50%
🟥 Ashley Hinson: 42%
@maristpoll (A) | 9/17-20 | n=1,050
maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/…
he's clearly the favorite but this feels a tad high
James Talarico has reached a 70% win probability on Silver Bulletin.
Democrats haven't won a statewide race in Texas since 1994.
Link: natesilver.net/p/nate-silver…
i dont know what will happen. but khanna at least appears to be more serious about a run in 2028 than aoc based on how he's been operating lately
New: Two progressive groups have launched a campaign to recruit AOC and Ro Khanna to run for the 2028 Democratic nomination.
nbcnews.com/politics/trump-a…
. retweeted
At a private lunch today, Karl Rove told members he will vote for the Democrat over Bo French — who he called a bigot — ending a more than 3 decade streak of voting for only Republicans.
Scoop from @carlosnogueras_
texastribune.org/2026/09/14/…
I dont care how strong the sununu name is, this race will not be close. a democratic won in here in 2022 by 11 points. that was when the national enviroment was like R+2
NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL - Senate
🟥 John Sununu: 46%
🟦 Chris Pappas: 46%
@coefficientpoll (R) | 9/9-11 | 958 LV
battlegrounds.coefficient.or…
i think this is his way of saying it's either him or harris
Gavin Newsom tells CNN's Jake Tapper he won't run for president if Kamala Harris runs in 2028
Link to full video: cnn.com/2026/09/14/politics/…