Ann Riordan - أنونة

There are no direct or indirect talks taking place regarding Iran's nuclear program.

A risk consultancy senior executive says the U.S. has even forced the UKMTO not to report many of the incidents announced by Iran in the Strait of HORMOZ! Free flow of information is good unless it harms the U.S!

🇴🇲 Oman says excluding Iran from Gulf security has been a fundamental mistake: 🔸Omani Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi criticized decades of Gulf security arrangements built around excluding Iran and relying on foreign military powers, calling for a new regional security framework that includes Tehran. 🔸“Perhaps the most damaging of the priorities imposed on the region from the outside has been the requirement that Iran be excluded,” he said during a lecture at Cambridge University. 🔸This, he said, created an unstable system based on the “entirely false perception” of fundamental antagonism between Iran and Arab Gulf states. “There is no such fundamental antagonism,” he said, adding that any security architecture excluding Iran is “inherently unstable” and “structurally unsound.” 🔸He also said that Oman and Iran had developed the outline of a temporary arrangement to restore navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, but said implementation would require compromises by both Tehran and Washington. More in post linked below.

IRAN'S DANGEROUS WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY: Tomorrow marks the Israeli elections that seem to have significant potential to unseat Bibi Netanyahu. After this, on November 3rd, comes the U.S. midterm elections… There is EXACTLY a week between these two elections, and this is Iran’s opportunity to maximize their strategic positioning before a likely return to war between all sides. Iran doesn’t want to significantly escalate BEFORE the Israeli elections, because this would give Netanyahu an excuse to escalate and potentially go so far as to cancel the Israeli elections altogether. Just from re-launching the war against Iran, particularly if he has a thinly-veiled “legitimate” excuse to do so, he will experience a rallying around the flag in Israel that would likely help him in the elections. Iran doesn’t want to help Netanyahu. But then there is a week before the U.S. elections… Israel has already held their own, so there is no longer a rationale for them to preemptively strike at Iran knowing full well that this would HURT Trump in the midterms, and realistically speaking… Trump may be the last TRULY Israel-first president Tel Aviv gets in Washington. They don’t want to sink him at the midterms for no reason. And simultaneously, President Trump is DESPERATE to avoid anything that could possibly spike oil, gas, and diesel prices. And he CERTAINLY doesn’t want to bring the disastrous Iran War back to the top of the headlines right before America casts their votes that could turn Trump into a lame duck president. So from October 27th to November 3rd… Iran has a SERIOUS window to basically take free rein over the Middle East, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, and Persian Gulf… Oh, and that so-called “Omani Route” as well… This is where Iran may seek to employ actions that many people are surprised they have not throughout the course of October. Perhaps one of the most likely courses of action they may take is attempting to re-mine the Omani Route. Again, think of this from the Iranian perspective. This is… basically the ONLY way that the United States has been able to survive up to this point. And sure, they COULD launch strikes against these vessels… but would they? REALLY? And what happens if Iran then uses that as an excuse to escalate further, bringing oil and headlines with it? Beyond this, it is likely that Iran may look to disrupt the Gulf of Oman ship-to-ship transfer point. If they WANTED to… Iran could almost certainly sink DOZENS of vessels that are conducting transfers and waiting for partner vessels here. In addition, we have ALREADY seen Iran significantly expand the scope of their vessel targeting to include not just vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz under US air cover, but the FAR more easy to hit targets of vessels anchored in ports in the Persian Gulf, as well as vessels in the Gulf of Oman (but not the STS point). This is the concern. Before the Israeli elections, Iran didn’t want to escalate significantly because any resumption or excuse to resume war would be greatly beneficial to Netanyahu. Something Iran certainly does not want. But then until the US Midterms on November 3rd, Trump would flip a LID if Israel launched preemptive strikes against Iran, and in parallel, Trump will DESPERATELY want to avoid any significant swings in the global energy markets, and will want to keep the Iran War as far from the headlines as physically possible. This week-long stretch is Iran’s single best opportunity they will ever have to shift the strategic landscape as far in their favor as possible to prepare for a potential resumption of war that seems almost unavoidable at this point.

Bessent on Iran: Many of the IRGC commanders, they are like rats in a sewer pipe. They are in hiding. They're in deep, dark locations, and they don't see what's happening to the Iranian people. The Ayatollah is very isolated. Many of these leaders do not understand what is happening to the Iranian people.

Trump: "Do I make a deal with them, or do I finish them off? That's the only question ... We get everything. They get nothing."