We curate the best trades on @Polymarket so you don't have to. Follow traders. Copy trades. Launch copy bots.
Polymarket
Joined May 2023
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wan123 hits 90.0% win rate on Bitcoin markets. their overall win rate is 37.4%.
that gap is 52.6 points. 20 trades in the niche, $83.4K P&L.
best bet type in Bitcoin: Over/Under at 60.0% WR, $25K P&L.
spread trades across the whole account are at 42.3% WR and -$63.8K. same trader.
this is what niche filtering is actually for. not copying everything, just the corner where someone actually has an edge.
do you look at niche breakdown before you copy a trader?
dsasdaas holds for 36 minutes median. exits before resolution only 1.2% of the time.
96.8% maker fill ratio. almost never takes liquidity, just sits and waits for the market to come to them.
$333.7K P&L, 61.3% win rate. but max drawdown is -$310.1K and Copy Score is Caution.
the mechanics are clean. the risk profile is not.
would you copy a trader whose process looks disciplined but whose drawdown nearly matches their profit?
mde4life1986 has made $197.6K in the last 30 days alone.
lifetime P&L is $199.1K. so basically... everything happened this month.
86.6% maker fill ratio, median hold of 1 hour, 11-win streak right now. spreads at 59.4% WR. NFL niche sitting at $81.1K profit across 137 trades.
Copy Score: Ahead. net positive after costs.
what flipped for this wallet in the last 30 days? @Polymarket
five traders flipped from red to green week over week. all of them. same week the NFL markets lit up.
Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers vs. Chiefs all running hot. over $12M combined daily volume across those three alone.
coincidence or is the volume pulling the traders in idk man
what market is moving your week?
omnibus-076daa. $4.65M lifetime P&L. 49.8% win rate. Copy Score: Ahead.
gross return before costs: 5.4%. net return after costs: 0.6%.
that 4.8% per trade just... disappears. spread, fees, all of it. the trader keeps their edge. the copier gets crumbs.
0.6% net is still positive. technically worth copying. but how much volatility can you absorb for 0.6%?
what margin is thin enough that you'd pass?
esports leaderboard on @Polymarket rn
RN1: 50.5% WR, $876.9K P&L, 272K trades [Caution]
Ancient-Strike: 60.0% WR, $298.5K P&L, 60 trades [Ahead]
Gooooooollllllllll: 50.5% WR, $240.2K P&L, 3262 trades [Ahead]
Dragon-Evolution: 82.1% WR, $215.4K P&L, 28 trades [Caution]
equalsignificance: 52.4% WR, $163.7K P&L, 603 trades [Ahead]
Dragon-Evolution with 82% but flagged Caution. sample size or something else?
who are you watching in esports?
some wallets print. consistently. and you still lose money copying them.
being good at trading and being worth copying are two completely different things.
are you checking the gap before you copy?
Sharpe of 14.48. i have genuinely never typed that number before.
ColdBlooded. $153.3K lifetime. max drawdown only -$23.1K. best day $31K, worst day -$21.7K. the range on this wallet is almost BORING compared to everything else i watch.
esports is the niche. 74% WR, $127.2K, 323 trades. 84.5% maker fill ratio. hedges 12.9% of markets.
Copy Score: Ahead. net 1.5% after costs. not massive but the consistency is what you are actually paying for here.
3175 trades and a drawdown smaller than what some wallets lose in a single afternoon...
is consistency underrated on @Polymarket or do people just chase the big P&L numbers?
Their niche-by-niche performance:
polycopy.app/trader/0xbcc321…
flawfence has a 42.7% overall win rate. fine. nothing wild.
but in Bitcoin markets specifically. 100% win rate. 41 trades. $20.1K.
the gap there is 57 percentage points above their own average. that is not variance across 41 trades.
bet type breakdown adds context. YES_NO is their highest volume at 59.2% WR and $16.5K. spreads at 56.3% hit $78.6K. over/unders drag everything down at 53.5% and negative $117K.
the pattern here is pretty clear. the edge is concentrated. both in the niche and in which bet structures they use within it.
do you track which bet types a trader actually wins in before you copy them?
Pwaddler. 13,111 trades. $2.82M max drawdown. worst single day was negative $2.5M.
still here. somehow up $223K in the last 30 days.
lifetime P&L is -$395.5K which tells you everything about the hole they dug. 90.8% maker fill ratio on 24 minute median holds. this is volume trading at a level that makes my eyes water idk man.
Copy Score: Losing. net -5.9% after costs. the recent hot streak is real but the structure underneath it is... complicated.
best niche is NFL at $101.4K. which is the one thing i keep coming back to.
do you trust a hot streak when the lifetime number is that red? @Polymarket
what's the minimum Copy Score grade you actually care about before copying a wallet?
A) Clears only
B) Ahead or better
C) I look at other stuff first
D) I just YOLO it
be honest
Kkunn. $163.8K in 7 days. let that roll around for a second.
40.9% lifetime win rate. meaning they LOSE more often than they win. and still up $237.6K lifetime.
best niche is tennis. $59.1K, 127 trades, 44.1% WR. again. losing most of them. somehow printing.
67.4% maker fill ratio means the edge is in HOW they enter, not just what they pick. median hold is 1.8 hours. this is not a set and forget situation.
Copy Score: Ahead. net positive after costs but the $109.5K worst day will test you emotionally lol
would you copy a wallet that wins less than half the time? @Polymarket
