Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst) header
Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst) profile picture

Ryan Cummings

@Pol_Sec_Analyst

Director @signalrisk. Co-founder @mytravelrisk. Former Senior Associate @CSISAfrica. Co-Author https://xitter.cf/t.co/2kumBmdVqF

 cape town
about.me/ryan-cummings
Joined November 2011
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What an honour it was collaborating alongside @warnjason, @ryanmofarrell & @MENASTREAM on this project. The most challenging undertaking of my life but I had co-authors who shed blood, sweat and tears to make this a reality. Get a copy at @HurstPublishers hurstpublishers.com/book/the…
Image from Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)
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No DA apologist but the leadership of every party in this proposed coalition were members of the governing tripartite alliance.
Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸 (@jacksonhinkle) profile pictureJackson Hinkle 🇺🇸
@jacksonhinkleNov 8
🇿🇦 South Africa’s struggle for true national sovereignty will begin with an ANC, MK, EFF & SACP coalition. DA = Dead on Arrival
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Mark Goldbridge (@markgoldbridge) profile picture
Mark Goldbridge
@markgoldbridge21h
When your in the relegation zone with 8 points from 30 and your CEO and DOF are celebrating a lucky last minute equaliser like they've won the lottery it says everything about the ambitions of the club
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Mark Goldbridge (@markgoldbridge) profile picture
Mark Goldbridge
@markgoldbridge22h
Stop applauding it. We're in the relegation zone with 8 points from 30.
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The irony in Malema saying "you are losing your organisation because you are protecting one individual" will never be lost on me
Thuso™ 🇿🇦🇿🇦🇿🇦 (@ramalokot) profile pictureThuso™ 🇿🇦🇿🇦🇿🇦
@ramalokotNov 7
Gameover.....no coming back from here
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Zikhona Valela (@valavoosh) profile picture
Zikhona Valela
@valavooshNov 6
Deeply ahistorical take. Coalitions at local government have been with us for 10 years now. At national level it’s been 2 years. This is something real political analysts foresaw 20 years ago. The founders of the Democratic dispensation understood this is how things work.
Dan Corder 📺 (@DanCorderOnAir) profile pictureDan Corder 📺@DanCorderOnAirNov 5
The old South Africa is gone. Yesterday's South Africa has departed. The defining factor of the first 32 years, ANC monopoly, is over. A new South Africa is emerging, with many parties wrestling over our future. Democracy is alive and well. Now we will see. To 2029, and beyond
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Adewale Adetugbo (@aadetugbo) profile picture
Adewale Adetugbo@aadetugboNov 6
man @ebolarin these guys @RonakGopaldas @Pol_Sec_Analyst @SongezoZibi showing us what is possible when elections are free and fair as @cchukudebelu looks on in envy Ok I too am green right now
OK Then (@okaythenfuture) profile pictureOK Then
@okaythenfutureNov 6
A Gay White South African man named Chris Pappas who can speak Zulu, defeated Jacob Zuma in the Zulu Homeland state to become the new Governor of the state. Incredible things are happening in South Africa, Incredible things are happening in Africa in 2026.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Chris Pappas was elected mayor of uMngeni Local Municipality in KwaZulu-Natal in 2021 and was nominated by his party for reelection in July 2026. Duduzane Zuma, Jacob Zuma's son, is deputy leader of the uMkhonto weSizwe Party and has not run in local elections. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Pap… en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duduzane_…
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RT @advocatemahere: 🔸You have no idea how lucky you are. Our lot just decided that elections won’t happen in the 2028 cycle and amended the…
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Unsurprising that its those who were never subject to the cruelty of racial oppression who will belittle the significance of the victims' decision to pursue democritization over retribution
Marisa Lourenço (@marisalourenco) profile pictureMarisa Lourenço@marisalourencoNov 5
Replying to @Pol_Sec_Analyst
No. The bar must never be this low.
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Its a month after #LGE2026 and Capetonians are telling the DA that they said that they don't want the N2 Wall: Geordin Hill-Lewis:
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
bareback contessa (@_theekword) profile picture
bareback contessa@_theekwordNov 5
The reason some of you are so panicked by these results is because you know you are going to sit by passively and let a lot of the things you are worried about just happen. Just like you sat idly while the city fell apart.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Phumzile Van Damme (@zilevandamme) profile picture
Phumzile Van Damme
@zilevandammeNov 5
You need to rid yourselves of the idea that people in political parties hate each other. It’s just you supporters. I used to lob the biggest grenades at Zuma but when he’d see me he’d shout my name, wag his finger and reach in for a hug. Politics is politics. Humans are humans.
Denzil Taylor (@DenzilTaylor) profile pictureDenzil Taylor@DenzilTaylorNov 4
.. Helen and Nomvula having a moment after the first numbers on the board….
Image from Denzil Taylor (@DenzilTaylor)
Image from Denzil Taylor (@DenzilTaylor)
Image from Denzil Taylor (@DenzilTaylor)
Image from Denzil Taylor (@DenzilTaylor)
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South Africans take for granted the privilege of being able to cast a vote without the threat of intimidation and violence. The ANC got a lot wrong but certainly got democracy right. For that I'm truly thankful.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Dillan Oliphant (@dillanoliphant) profile picture
Dillan Oliphant@dillanoliphantNov 5
Replying to @Pol_Sec_Analyst
There are also a lot of Christian coloureds who side with Israel.
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This is a good question. My only response is that foreign policy positions is a luxury for communities seeking basic public services. More importantly, the coloured vote is not uniform and shows a high degree of variance (Palestine doesnt resonate as widely outside of muslims)
bojack whoresman (@LebohangMosia_) profile picturebojack whoresman@LebohangMosia_Nov 5
the coloured vote in cape town is particularly striking, especially given the large muslim community. how do you vote for a party that supports israel, which is committing genocide against palestinians, many of whom share your faith, and reconcile that?
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Johannesburg being handed over to the DA
News24 🇿🇦 (@News24) profile pictureNews24 🇿🇦
@News24Nov 5
Follow our live updates here: brnw.ch/21x6Ul2
Image from News24 🇿🇦 (@News24)
Image from News24 🇿🇦 (@News24)
Image from News24 🇿🇦 (@News24)
Image from News24 🇿🇦 (@News24)
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What many fail to realise is that pan-Africanism is a central pillar of the EFF's ideology. As of today, there are EFF sister parties in Botswana, Eswatini, Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, Nigeria and Zimbabwe. This is a movement, not a party, which stays true to its principles
Mr Bat (@linda_mot) profile pictureMr Bat
@linda_motNov 5
EFF could have been what ActionSA is today if that arrogant guy from Seshego decided to listen to our cries, stop with the arrogance and his fantasies about illegal immigrants.
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Julius Sello Malema (@Julius_S_Malema) profile pictureJulius Sello Malema
@Julius_S_MalemaNov 4
Now or never; this is our final push ground forces. Youth Command, it is victory or death; let's mobilise young people in full force.#VoteEFF ✊🏿
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Its mostly coming from people who have access to privatized public services who expect the poor to eat solidarity and ideology
bareback contessa (@_theekword) profile picturebareback contessa@_theekwordNov 5
I don’t know guys but calling people assholes or stupid because they didn’t vote the way you wanted - is that really the way to get them on your side?
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Ryan Coetzee (@RyanCoetzee) profile picture
Ryan Coetzee
@RyanCoetzeeNov 5
One of the more striking things about this result is that the ANC + MK + EFF fall short of 50%. Think about that for a moment.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Gavin Mabie 🇿🇦 (@GavinMabie) profile picture
Gavin Mabie 🇿🇦@GavinMabieNov 5
Replying to @Pol_Sec_Analyst
Simple realism - people drink water, not policies.
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