Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst) header
Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst) profile picture

Director @signalrisk. Co-founder @mytravelrisk. Former Senior Associate @CSISAfrica. Co-Author https://xitter.cf/t.co/2kumBmdVqF

cape town
Joined November 2011
Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)Photo by Ryan Cummings (@Pol_Sec_Analyst)
Ryan Cummings retweeted
When your in the relegation zone with 8 points from 30 and your CEO and DOF are celebrating a lucky last minute equaliser like they've won the lottery it says everything about the ambitions of the club
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Stop applauding it. We're in the relegation zone with 8 points from 30.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Deeply ahistorical take. Coalitions at local government have been with us for 10 years now. At national level it’s been 2 years. This is something real political analysts foresaw 20 years ago. The founders of the Democratic dispensation understood this is how things work.
The old South Africa is gone. Yesterday's South Africa has departed. The defining factor of the first 32 years, ANC monopoly, is over. A new South Africa is emerging, with many parties wrestling over our future. Democracy is alive and well. Now we will see. To 2029, and beyond
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
man @ebolarin these guys @RonakGopaldas @Pol_Sec_Analyst @SongezoZibi showing us what is possible when elections are free and fair as @cchukudebelu looks on in envy Ok I too am green right now
A Gay White South African man named Chris Pappas who can speak Zulu, defeated Jacob Zuma in the Zulu Homeland state to become the new Governor of the state. Incredible things are happening in South Africa, Incredible things are happening in Africa in 2026.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Chris Pappas was elected mayor of uMngeni Local Municipality in KwaZulu-Natal in 2021 and was nominated by his party for reelection in July 2026. Duduzane Zuma, Jacob Zuma's son, is deputy leader of the uMkhonto weSizwe Party and has not run in local elections. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chris_Pap… en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duduzane_…
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RT @advocatemahere: 🔸You have no idea how lucky you are. Our lot just decided that elections won’t happen in the 2028 cycle and amended the…
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
The reason some of you are so panicked by these results is because you know you are going to sit by passively and let a lot of the things you are worried about just happen. Just like you sat idly while the city fell apart.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
You need to rid yourselves of the idea that people in political parties hate each other. It’s just you supporters. I used to lob the biggest grenades at Zuma but when he’d see me he’d shout my name, wag his finger and reach in for a hug. Politics is politics. Humans are humans.
.. Helen and Nomvula having a moment after the first numbers on the board….
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Replying to @Pol_Sec_Analyst
There are also a lot of Christian coloureds who side with Israel.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
One of the more striking things about this result is that the ANC + MK + EFF fall short of 50%. Think about that for a moment.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Replying to @Pol_Sec_Analyst
Simple realism - people drink water, not policies.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
And catch our latest episode here…. m.youtube.com/watch?v=RvKWSF…
My colleague Justice Malala and I are proud to share that we have been nominated in the Best Politics & Opinion category at the South African Podcast Awards for our podcast, This Is Politics. When we started this project a mere 10 months ago, on 10 December 2025, when we launched our first episode, our aim was to create a platform for thoughtful, engaging and accessible conversations about South African politics, its personalities, policies and the issues shaping our country. We wanted to go beyond the headlines, interrogate the political moment and offer listeners informed perspectives on the developments that matter. To receive this recognition so early in our journey is both humbling and encouraging. It speaks to the value of the conversations we have sought to foster and the growing audience that has embraced the podcast. Thank you to everyone who has listened, engaged with and supported This Is Politics. We are grateful for the nomination and look forward to continuing the conversation. @justicemalala
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Johannesburg is in ruins and senior ANC leaders want to spend their time on here going after me for daring to ask people to “vote wisely”. That tells you everything you need to know about how we got here.
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This is MAJOR. Likely the largest social media global influence operation in history has been uncovered: an anti-migrant, anti-Muslim campaign run by two Israeli firms, Timor Group and Percepto International. 🇿🇦 South Africa: As we have suspected. An evidentiary foundation for further investigation.
Huge news! For 3 years @SohanDsouza & I have investigated a covert paid ad campaign pushing anti-Muslim, anti-migrant & anti-Qatar hate speech across Europe, Lebanon & the US. Today we publish Manufacturing the “Great Replacement”: 533M recorded exposures in 30 countries. 1/25
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
‘Michael Carrick will be given time to turn things around’ and ‘the hierarchy do not want to rush next steps’ should be read and digested for what it really is: an indecisive club without any succession planning or contingencies because it doesn’t have clarity of identity in the first place. A club that often takes the cheap instead of the smart or right route because of the crippling Glazer debt, plus decision-makers who are never aligned - except in their own self-preservation. And it ends up costing more. It explains the chaotic nature of lurching from one coaching philosophy to its extreme, to revisiting candidates that were on the agenda - some as far back as 2019 - that were already ruled out, to having a shortlist of options with nothing in common to take over a mishmash team that has suffered from horrid squad planning; both in incomings and exits. Blame the players, blame the name in the dugout while the people who brought them to Manchester United, kept them, created the absolute opposite of a culture of excellence are allowed to rinse and repeat.
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Les Forces démocratiques alliées, #ADF/#ISCAP qui ont tué des milliers de personnes dans des attaques contre des civils et des forces de sécurité dans l'est de la République démocratique du #Congo au cours de la dernière décennie, génèrent entre 1 et 1,6 million de dollars par an à partir de sites d'extraction d'or dans une seule région de la province du Nord-#Kivu indique un nouveau rapport de @TheSentry_Org. Nos recherches dans les régions de #Manguredjipa, #Pangoyi dans le secteur de #Bapere et le long de la rivière #Lindi (frontière naturelle entre le Kivu et la #Tshopo) attestent que plusieurs sites miniers avaient été envahis par les #ADF qui y ont ensuite exploité de l'or en recourant à une main d'œuvre obtenue par le kidnapping des creseurs artisanaux. Les #ADF ont recouru à leur réseau de ravitaillement local et aux otages afin d'écouler l'or extrait illégalement dans cette région vers les centres de négoce de Manguredjipa, #Njiapanda et #Butembo. Les négociants de Butembo ont par la suite exporté l'or vers l'#Ouganda et ceux de l'Ouganda vers les Émirats Arabes Unis (#Dubaï). @ryanmofarrell @Pol_Sec_Analyst @SimNasr @rebayacall @caleb_weiss7 @PatrickMuyaya @AMwalushayi
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
28 gangsters call you president @GaytonMcK, while our Cape Town Metro Police must fight gangsters and take illegal guns off the streets daily! I work to make communities safer. You have phone calls with gangsters.
I have never seen you come out at nite when kids are laying dead in the streets of CT, you are never at nite on the Cape Flats. You worry about licensed guns, go get the illegal guns from gangsters that get bought by money from tenders from your government.
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Sorry Steven. But you all need calling out for this and we can't discriminate. If Wilcox wants Howe and you back it you're backing Wilcox. So you're no friend of this fanbase
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Ryan Cummings retweeted
Latest episode of ThisIsPolitics out now….
Gwede Mantashe says and does the most outrageous things - and never gets reprimanded or disciplined by the @myANC. It’s time Ramaphosa and the party bosses fired Mantashe. He is a liability! @Makhanya1937 youtu.be/HmNTdxDH_6g
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