I noticed on Facebook that Ian Martel has started a PEI Amateur Weather Tracking page. I know Ian and it looks like he has a great group for PEI. Check him out for his updates.

So no weather to speak of for PEI, but there is some news. Chris and I are moving to Fredericton next month. Over our 65+ years Chris and I have always called PEI home, Islanders through and through. Now we start our next chapter in NB. Still Islanders though :)

The system moving through tonight may track further to our north. This would reduce the amount of snow for PEI. Tignish and West Prince areas may see a little more. Ten to 15 cms in those areas and 5 CMS for everyone else. Only 2 to 5 CMS of new snow left on ground after tonight.

How does that equate to amounts? Souris: 20-25 CMS Montague: 25-30 CMS Belfast: 15-20 CMS Charlottetown: 25-30 CMS Summerside: 35-40+ CMS Wellington: 35-40 CMS Tignish: 30-35 CMS Watch for some frz rain possibly mixing in.

So we could get a bit of a surprise from this storm. Many forecasters use the 10:1 ratio for predicting projected snowfall, but for this storm using the Kuchera ratio formula we could get more. The Kuchera ratio range for this storm is 16/18:1 . That's quite a bit higher.

Winds will be gusting out of NE for all of PEI with gusts potentially reaching 80+ km/h. Barometric pressure could be down around 975 MB as the storm passes.

I really think we have missed this storm snowfall but time will tell. For me looks like just trace snow for everyone but it will be breezy so watch out for that drifting snow.

Latest update for PEI, snow totals have increased. I'd say eastern PEI is in the 25-30 range and western PEI is a little less at 20 to 25 CMS. This boils down to how far north the system tracks. Parts of NS could see 40 CMS of snow. Any hope this changes to rain is unlikely.

So the most recent model runs have shown a bit of a deviation in the track of the storm. Currently the projected track has taken a track more southerly, offering less snow. Let's say 10 to 15 for West Prince and 15 to 20 for everyone else. Still watching track changes.

So you don't hear from me alot, but I just wanted to give my 2 cents. How much snow will we get? Looking at the latest model outputs, it looks like PEI could get from 20 to 30 CMS by Tuesday at lunchtime. Monday will be the start and snow totals could go up as Monday gets closer.

So how windy is it going to get?? Windy, windy, windy! Peak winds tonight I'd say will be around midnight. Peak winds could be higher than we have seen for some time. Tie down anything that could blow away. Power outages are possible. Winds will be out of the south. No snow.

As always nothing stays the same with weather models. Snow totals for eastern PEI are going up. Temperatures will be colder by current models meaning snow totals go up. More later.

Things have changed with tentatively more snow on Monday for the east. Waiting till the next model runs run. I'll have a better idea tomorrow, but for now, tomorrow looks like 5-10 CMS for the east. Lesser amounts as you go west.

Here is my two cents regarding the weather for Sunday and Monday. Sunday I'm guessing 5-10 CMS in the east with lesser amounts as you go west. Monday is an outlier but I really don't think there will be much. Maybe 2-5 CMS. Could see some drifting Monday.

Haha.....I would rather it have been tomorrow. Had a Charlottetown appt and Souris appt today :( .

How much will remain on the ground is questionable. The air temperature will be the deciding factor. I'll post to this thread with the next model run. Be prepared cause it could be substantial.