Repairing our relationship with technology to rebuild agency, purpose, and belonging.

Oaxaca, México
Joined February 2007
David Sasaki retweeted
Replying to @mikiebarb
It’s hard to hate up close ✌🏼
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Gambling has rapidly become a part of American life. What is this doing to individuals and society at large? Join us on June 18 at 1pm ET for a webinar with @kylascan, Matt King, and @JonathanDCohen1, moderated by @germanrlopez. Register: aibm.org/events/the-gamblifi…
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Five months in, Boys & Men Online is cutting through the hysteria and thinking about what online life is actually doing to boys and men. @oso’s latest piece hits on the real conversations about prediction markets, porn, gaming, and AI that we need to be having. menonline.org/p/slot-machine…
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It’s actually crazy we don’t have RCTs of programs designed to help young men/women find love. Finding recruits would be easy. Follow up time wouldn’t be that long. Numerous cheap candidate interventions are available but untested.
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David Sasaki retweeted
Aakash Gupta
@aakashguptaApr 26
Warren Buffett, in his first sit-down since stepping down as Berkshire CEO, gave the cleanest indictment of legalized gambling in a decade. He called it a tax cut for the wealthy. The math proves him exactly right. Americans wagered $165 billion at legal sportsbooks in 2025. They lost $16 billion of that. FanDuel pulled $6 billion of the losses. DraftKings pulled $5.3 billion. Every state with legal mobile sports betting collected a tax on the bettor side. New York alone took in over $1.2 billion in 2025 sports betting tax revenue. Layer the lottery on top. State lotteries generate over $90 billion a year. The bottom half of income earners account for roughly 70% of total spend. The average lottery player makes $38,000. A household earning $20,000 spends three times more on tickets than one earning $30,000. The implicit tax rate, meaning whatever the state keeps after prizes, runs 30 to 50% depending on the game. No other revenue source in America has that base and that rate. The structural design is the engine. A single straight sports bet carries a hold of 4 to 5%. A four-leg parlay carries a hold above 30%. FanDuel and DraftKings spent five years rebuilding their apps to make parlays the default product. FanDuel's blended hold rate hit 11.4% in 2025, up from roughly 7% in 2022. The product got worse for the customer and the customer wagered more anyway. Now look at the substitution. Nine US states have no state income tax. Seven of those nine run state lotteries. Seven of those nine have legalized sports betting. The states most committed to never taxing wealth are the same states running the largest extraction machines on people who cannot afford to lose. Read it as policy. Here is what Buffett is actually pointing at. The state needs revenue. It can raise income tax on the top decile, or it can run a lottery plus a sports betting tax. The second option raises the money from the people who can least afford it. The first option becomes politically optional. New York's $1.2 billion in 2025 sports betting tax is $1.2 billion the state did not have to ask of someone earning $5 million. DraftKings and FanDuel sell a privatized collection mechanism for a regressive tax that the state never has to defend at the ballot box again. Voters approve legalization once. Collection runs forever. The state takes a cut. The wealthy get a quieter top bracket. The bettor's cut shrinks every quarter as the parlay menu gets pushed harder. The function of a government, Buffett said, is not to play its people for suckers. Thirty-nine state governments now do.
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David Sasaki retweeted
People come at this issue for many reasons: states' rights, morality, closing a tax loophole, religion, protection of minors, etc. Regardless of why, there is a growing consensus that decisions around sports betting should return to states. wsj.com/finance/regulation/l…
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Kalshi runs these super predatory, untruthful ads. And now 41% of prediction market users say their main reason for using the platform is to make money
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David Sasaki retweeted
‘$500M Bet On The Iran Strike — Before It Happened’ Ed Elson (@edels0n) speaks with Jonathan Cohen about the massive wagers in prediction markets on the war with Iran. Then he discusses Anduril’s (@anduriltech) funding round and why a new wave of defense tech startups are shaking up the defense sector with Dan Primack. Finally, Ed gives his take on why defense might become the next investing trend. Jonathan Cohen (@JonathanDCohen1) is the Policy Lead at the Institute for Boys and Men and author of Losing Big: America’s Reckless Bet on Sports Gambling . Dan Primack (@danprimack) is the business editor at Axios and author of the Pro Rata newsletter. Ep available now in reply👇
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David Sasaki retweeted
Kevin Roose
@kevinrooseFeb 9
i am begging academics to study AI capabilities using frontier models. the models used in this study (which is going to be cited for years as proof that "AI is bad at health advice") are GPT-4o, Llama 3, and Command R+, two obsolete models and one i've never heard of.
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Sports betting has skyrocketed in recent years: exploding from less than $5 billion annually to $150 billion after the 2018 Supreme Court ruling. This expansion has outpaced our understanding of its consequences. AIBM research shows legalized sports betting is linked to rising bankruptcies, lower credit scores, and financial distress.
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David Sasaki retweeted
"Gambling culture is enveloping American life: What was once a fringe vice is fast becoming a mass-market habit — raising urgent questions about addiction, fairness and regulation." axios.com/2026/02/08/polymar…
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Since 2018, sports betting has rapidly expanded across the country. Research links legalization to financial stress for some bettors, especially young men. This policy framework by @oso, @roundrobin42, and @JonathanDCohen1 outlines nine harm-reduction approaches. aibm.org/policy/how-sports-b…
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AI can help sportsbooks fine-tune their odds. It can also figure out when users are most likely to place bigger or riskier bets, pinpoint who's prone to making bad ones and target them with ads at their most vulnerable moments, says @oso. axios.com/2025/12/14/sports-…
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Want regular updates directly from our team? Follow our staff and fellows! • Richard V. Reeves (@RichardvReeves), president, writing and speaking on boys and men, inequality, family change, and social policy. • Raman Preet Kaur (@kaur_rampr), communications director, sharing updates on our research, publications, events, and media coverage. • Isaac Rose-Berman (@roundrobin42), fellow, focused on gambling policy and its social and economic impacts. • David Sasaki (@oso), director of the Boys & Men Online program, leading digital work on boys and men, culture, and policy. • Anders Knospe (@andersknospe), research and policy analyst, contributing research, analysis, and commentary for the Boys & Men Online program. • Algernon Austin (@algernon_austin), fellow, focused on race, racial inequality, and related policy research. • Curtis Valentine (@curtiseveryday), fellow, focused on education research and education policy. • Ioakim Boutakidis (@ProfBoutakidis), fellow, focused on education research and policy with an emphasis on higher education.
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David Sasaki retweeted
This seems like it would be a welcome shift. Less worry about AI robots extincting humans and more about online gambling and addictive apps seems right to me.
Two conversations this weekend make me think that there's a vibe shift afoot in Silicon Valley around what one should work on and what is worthwhile. Culturally, it feels like the moment is ripe for new frameworks: • Davos expert morality is stale and discredited. • It's also apparent that the "just be super based" Counter-Enlightenment is not really an answer. (Yes, woke went too far, but simply inverting it doesn't work.) • EA is no longer the automatic default for smart people. • There's increasing skepticism of slot and slop machine dynamics. Overall, "what is worthy and valuable?" feels like it's becoming more central.
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Big news from @aibm_org ! New project on Boys and Men Online led by David Sasaki. As he writes: “Don’t expect all doom, gloom, and dystopia. We believe technology holds real promise to help boys and men become our best selves … if we design, use, and regulate it with intention.” @oso open.substack.com/pub/bmonli…
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Increasingly, every person in America will be faced with an important choice about what AI does for society.
Replying to @cloneofsimo
We can collectively decide to not poison our children. This isn't difficult choice. Please make this happen if you are in position of power.
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