Political scientist @stanford, China expert @Carnegieendow, Officer @USAFReserve. Author of Upstart: How China Became a Great Power. Views don’t rep instit'ns.

Palo Alto, CA
Joined October 2015
18 years ago, I moved to DC to be a junior fellow at Carnegie (first day pic below!). What a dream to now join the team as a nonresident scholar!
4: And Oriana is part of a trio of all-star China security hires that we've made in the last 18 months at #CarnegieAsia. I'm really thrilled to have the outstanding trio of @IBKardon @osmastro and @SheenaGreitens anchoring our team.
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Thank you to @giuspaparella and the King's College London Department of @warstudies for the opportunity to present my ongoing research into the drivers of Sino-Russian alignment last week! Credit to @jamescrabtree for the pictures.
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Some thoughts about the state of U.S.-South Korea relations:
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I heard one particular phrase over and over again from our Japanese counterparts while in Tokyo with Stanford's @HooverInst this month. My take on what "strategic autonomy and indispensability" means for U.S.-Japan defense ties and Indo-Pacific security:
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Spending a week in Tokyo with Stanford's @HooverInst pushed me to think about how Japan can play a role in the future of allied industrial production:
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I shared some of my predictions about the Trump-Xi summit for @CarnegieEndow's Emissary with @SheenaGreitens, @zhaot2005, and Yukon Huang. As expected, the meeting was largely a temporary easing of tension—ultimately a good outcome for maintaining status quo in the Taiwan Strait.
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After a week in Taiwan, I headed to Japan with Stanford's @HooverInst for another round of meetings. My view of Taiwan deterrence from Tokyo:
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Oriana Skylar Mastro retweeted
特习会进入倒计时,台湾议题预计将成为特朗普与习近平会谈的重要议题之一。北京可能提出什么?对台军售是否会是会谈焦点?台湾又有哪些担忧?美国之音采访多位知名美中问题专家,分析台湾议题可能如何进入这场备受关注的峰会。 相关报道👉 voachinese.com/a/8201216.htm…
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Some final thoughts from my time in Taiwan with Stanford's @HooverInst:
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For more of my work on Taiwan deterrence, follow the project page at @StanfordIPPL: indopacpolicy.com/deterrence…
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At the end of my week in Taiwan with @HooverInst, I came away with a few more lessons relevant to deterrence:
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I've spent the last week in Taiwan with a delegation from Stanford's @HooverInst, discussing questions of deterrence and readiness with counterparts from across Taiwanese industry, gov't, and think tanks. A few takeaways from my trip to Kaohsiung:
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Join us for conversations on China-Russia alignment, U.S. strategy, and regional order at the Indo-Pacific Policy Lab launch at Stanford, May 14 and 15. May 15 in-person is full. A few May 14 spots left & virtual is open: indopacpolicy.com/ipplablaun…. #IndoPacific #NationalSecurity
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