@onlyhashes

Bitcoin Sidekick. Bitcoin TV Live. Laser Eyes. Bitcoin-only. Privacy-first. Zero third-party SDKs. Weekly report: The Signal.

The MOON
Joined January 2026
Most Bitcoin apps want your identity before they show you a price. We built the opposite. Start with Ore, the on-device intelligence layer inside Bitcoin Sidekick. Twelve compiled Core ML models across four families: regime, fee, narrative, and anomaly. Every inference runs on your device. Ore reads the market and says it plainly. It flags regime shifts. It gives a three-point fee forecast: now, roughly thirty minutes out, and roughly sixty. It tracks narrative drift, whether the media is leaning more bullish or more bearish. And it names anomalies in human terms, like Bitcoin moving unusually relative to equities, instead of raw labels. Ore's predictive signals are uncalibrated. So we refuse to show a fake-precise percentage. Instead it shows an honest band: Calm, Watch, or Elevated. Pro adds one-tap Notify me on any signal, a rolling 7-day Intelligence Archive that now charts a narrative-divergence trend and a sentiment-flip timeline, and over-the-air model updates with the app bundle as a safe floor. That is one layer of one app. Only Hashes is a one-person Bitcoin software studio. In Bitcoin, a hash is proof of work, effort that cannot be faked. We hold software to the same standard. Three native apps. Bitcoin Sidekick runs on iPhone, iPad, Mac, and Apple Watch, with real-time price over WebSocket, a full candlestick and indicator suite, an order book depth chart with a liquidity heatmap, a mempool explorer, a Lightning node map you browse by country, a mining dashboard, and a Bitcoin library bundled offline. Bitcoin TV Live turns Apple TV into a live dashboard you read from across the room, with the same Ore intelligence rebuilt native for tvOS. Laser Eyes is native to visionOS, eight tabs floating as real glass panels you arrange and resize in your space. The architecture is the product. Pure Swift 6.2, complete strict concurrency, on-device Core ML. Zero third-party SDKs. No accounts, no login, no telemetry, no analytics, no user identifiers, no cross-app tracking, no backend that knows you exist. Several text summaries are pre-generated on our relay, and the only thing ever sent to fetch one is a locale code. No user data, ever. Privacy is architectural, not a preference. The business model matches. Pro unlocks tools, never data. Free users see the same Bitcoin data as paid users. No dark patterns, no hostage screens. One developer. Every feature earns its place, or it does not ship. No altcoins. No "crypto." Just Bitcoin. Proof of work. Proof of craft. onlyhashes.com
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Strive Grows Bitcoin Treasury as Price Holds Near $84K Strive added 3,311 BTC for $280 million and exercised $208 million in warrants, lifting its treasury 11% to 32,773 BTC, and is now raising $500 million more through a new preferred share class. A UK court ruled Chinese law governs claims to the 61,000 bitcoin seized in the Zhimin Qian fraud case, leaving defrauded investors' ownership unresolved. Bitcoin held near $83,400 to $84,000 as traders awaited Thursday's US inflation data, shrugging off an $800 million selloff tied to South Korea's AI chip stock rout. Coinbase pushed for early post-quantum preparation as researchers built Bitcoin's first working quantum-resistant Lightning Network defense.
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Oil Shock Tests $80,000 as CPI Arrives Read more on Only Hashes: onlyhashes.com/weekly-review…
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The AI narrative won’t take Bitcoin from $2T to $10T in the short term. The money printer will.
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Bitcoin Stabilizes Near $82.5K on Iran De-Escalation BTC Price (USD) ↑$82,546 7D Return ↓-4.4% Fear & Greed ↓59 Bitcoin trades near $82,546, up 0.8% in 24 hours but still down 4.5% on the week after a liquidation flush below $81,000 wiped out over $1 billion in leveraged longs; funding has flipped positive at 0.011% against a 0.003% baseline, signaling fresh re-leveraging into the bounce, while mempool fees sit near 1 sat/vB on very low congestion. The rally tracks Trump ruling out an Iran strike before the midterms, pulling Fear and Greed down to 59 from a 67 baseline as sentiment cools rather than panics. ETF flows split: $57.4B cumulative and +$2.7B over 30 days, but -$266M over the last five as BlackRock-led outflows resumed. A strengthening dollar (DXY 121.4 vs. 119.5 baseline) keeps macro headwinds in place; CPI in 5 days is the next catalyst that could re-test this bounce.
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Bitcoin Rebounds To $82K Amid Heavy ETF Outflows Bitcoin slid below $81,000 this week in a $1 billion liquidation wave, with ether liquidations outpacing bitcoin's six to one, then rebounded to about $82,500 after Trump ruled out an Iran strike before the midterms. US spot ETFs kept bleeding, losing $484.9 million on October 7 and $244 million more Thursday, even as miner revenue jumped 78% on the recovery. US government wallets moved over $1 billion in Bitcoin from a 2016 Bitfinex hack address, while researchers warned AI could threaten bitcoin's cryptographic signatures within months.
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Bitcoin Pulls Back As Macro Pressure Builds BTC Price ↓$81,169 7D Return ↓-3.5% Hashrate (30D) ↑+18.8% Bitcoin fell to $81,169, down 3.5% over seven days after a failed breakout above $85K, with QCP framing an $80K-$90K Q4 range as support near $80K holds. On-chain strength cuts against the price action: fees and congestion stay very low while hashrate keeps climbing (+9.7% 7d, +18.8% 30d), a sign miners aren't capitulating. Funding turned positive on $8.1B open interest even as price fell, a setup that can resolve either way. ETF flows stayed net positive over five days (+$321M) and thirty (+$3.46B) despite a $485M single-day outflow headline. The drop reads macro-driven: DXY is strengthening, the 10Y sits at 5.27% on an oil-fueled Treasury selloff, and Fear & Greed cooled to 64 from a 69 weekly average, with CPI due in six days and FOMC in nineteen.
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Bitcoin Falls Below $83K on Iran-Driven Oil Spike Bitcoin fell below $83,000 to an October low near $82.7K after a report of a potential Iran strike sent oil above $102 and pushed Treasury yields toward 2002 highs, triggering heavy liquidations and a $485 million ETF outflow, the largest since June. Corporate buyers kept accumulating: Robinhood added $25 million in Bitcoin, Metaplanet rebought a net 1,000 BTC, and Sberbank won approval to custody Bitcoin in Russia. Researchers also warned AI could threaten Bitcoin's cryptographic signatures within months, urging a "bunker mode" defense well ahead of any quantum threat.
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OnlyHashes retweeted
Second law of financial engineering: "To create stability, you must do work." $STRC $MSTR
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The periodic table has a new element
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Bitcoin Breaks Lower as ETF Flows Turn Positive BTC Price ↓$83,502 24h Return ↓-2.8% Fear & Greed →71 Bitcoin fell 2.8% to $83,502, breaking below $84K as an Iran tanker-attack scare hit oil and bonds. On-chain health stayed clean: next-block fees near 1 sat/vB and hashrate up 16% on a 30-day basis despite a short-term dip, so this reads as a macro flush, not a network problem. Funding collapsed to near-flat from its weekly average and ETF flows still turned positive into the drop, with Robinhood adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet. Fear & Greed held at 71 even as price fell, while the dollar pushed above its 30-day baseline and 10-year yields topped 5.3%. CPI lands in a week and FOMC in three; with leverage mostly reset, that print is the more likely trigger for the next move.
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How secure is Bitcoin? Let’s do the math…
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Bitcoin Steadies Near $84K as ETF Inflows Return Bitcoin steadied between $84,000 and $87,000 after more than $555 million in crypto liquidations and an oil spike tied to Iranian tanker attacks briefly pushed it under $84,000. A four-year-high US services inflation reading is clouding rate-cut hopes, yet Bitcoin ETFs returned to $119 million in net inflows and on-chain data show roughly 24,000 BTC leaving exchanges, pointing to longer-term accumulation. Strategy booked a $4.1 billion tax benefit on its holdings, and Genius Group resumed buying after a court injunction lifted.
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Bitcoin Stalls Below $87K Resistance Again BTC Price →$86,174 7D Return ↑+2.3% Fear & Greed →73 Bitcoin trades near $86,200, up 2.3% on the week after a third rejection at $87,000 since late September; a break below $84,000 opens $80,000, while $87,000 reclaimed targets $88,500. Fees stay negligible near 3 sat/vB and hashrate keeps climbing, up 13% over 30 days, as difficulty epoch progress nears a quarter. ETFs added $210M over five days and $4.1B over 30, funding stays positive but below its weekly average, and open interest holds near $8.4B. Fear & Greed reads 73, greed territory, even as price stalls under resistance. The real test is macro: the 10-year yield sits near 5.3%, the dollar is strengthening, and CPI lands in 8 days with FOMC 21 days out, the next clear trigger for which side of the $84K to $87K range wins.
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Strategy Tops 848K BTC as Bitcoin Stalls Near $87K Bitcoin held near $85,000 after a third rejection at $87,000 since late September, as the dollar hit an 18-month high and Treasury yields climbed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC minutes. Spot ETFs saw a one-day $90 million outflow but still closed a third straight week of inflows at $241 million. Strategy's holdings topped 848,000 BTC, Strive added 2,000 BTC targeting $400,000 to $500,000 by 2029, and Metaplanet sold then rebought Bitcoin at a higher price to prove liquidity.
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This explains how Bitcoin works
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Bitcoin Stalls Below $87K as Institutions Accumulate BTC Price ↑$85,655 24h Fee →2.5 sat/vB Funding Rate ↑0.0042% Bitcoin trades near $85,655, up 1.4% on the day and 3.4% over the week, repeatedly failing to clear $87,000 resistance before sellers push it back under $86,000; fees stay near 2.5 sat/vB on very low congestion while hashrate rises on a 30-day basis. Funding has climbed above its weekly average, open interest holds near $8.4B, and Strategy, Metaplanet, and Strive all added Bitcoin this week as ETFs logged a third straight inflow week. That institutional demand is absorbing pressure from a dollar at an 18-month high and elevated real rates, partly offset by expanding net liquidity. Fear and Greed holds steady at 70, and Wednesday's FOMC minutes plus next week's CPI print are the near-term catalysts that could decide whether $87,000 finally breaks.
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Yields Cap an $82,776 to $87,149 Range Read more on Only Hashes: onlyhashes.com/weekly-review…
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Amount of CO₂ emissions from mining bitcoin
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Bitcoin is much more than money
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Bitcoin Holds $85K Amid Cooling Sentiment BTC Price →$85,285 7-Day Return ↑+0.85% Fear & Greed ↓65 Bitcoin trades flat near $85,285, up 0.85% on the week but pinned 2.2% below its 30-day high; funding has collapsed near zero and fees sit at the floor, signs of washed-out leverage and quiet on-chain activity even as hashrate falls 14.8% over seven days. Fear and Greed has cooled from 71 to 65 amid weekend-thin volume, with headlines split between a bullish $85K reclaim and Middle East tension warnings of calm-before-the-storm. ETF flow data is unavailable today, but MSTR's 23% NAV premium and a newly cleared 3x futures fund point to persistent product demand. A strengthening dollar is the macro headwind to watch into next week's CPI print, 23 days ahead of FOMC.
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