Peshawar, Pakistan
Joined November 2024
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Saif al-Adel retweeted
soon as you & a bitch break up they act like they dont never see yo story ho check me out 😭😭😭
Saif al-Adel retweeted
WHAT A GAME TO START THE POSTSEASON!
The Atlanta Braves take a 1-0 lead over Philadelphia behind a HUGE 3-run HR by Austin Riley 💪
Saif al-Adel retweeted
As A Man Nobody Give A Fuck What You Going Thru Or How You Feel Save Dat Shit For When You Alone Or By Ya Self #SadTruth But #OnlyDaStrongestSurvive
Saif al-Adel retweeted
EVERYBODY GO TO THE GAS STATION RIGHT NOW FILL UP YOUR CARS GO TO THE BANK TAKE OUT ALL OF YOUR MONEY CASH IN THE 401K MAX OUT YOUR HOME EQUITY LINE ITS FUCKING OVER
Saif al-Adel retweeted
Sportsbooks don't actually give you odds.
They give you probabilities disguised as odds.
Here's what +money really means:
+100 = 50%
+150 = 40%
+200 = 33.3%
+300 = 25%
+400 = 20%
So when a sportsbook offers you +200...
They're essentially pricing that outcome at a 33.3% chance of happening.
Now imagine your research says the true probability is closer to 40%.
The book is offering +200.
But a 40% probability is equivalent to roughly +150.
THAT gap is what bettors should be looking for
Not:
“Who do I think is going to win?”
But:
“Is the probability of this happening greater than what these odds imply?”
Once you understand that...
You stop looking at betting odds as payouts.
You start looking at them as prices.
That's when you start thinking like a bettor instead of a gambler.
