
Founder & GP @TipTopVC - Vertical AI, Operator-led, Pre-seed/Seed. Previously founding CMO @GreenlightGuru. Angel & LP.
Austin, TX
Joined August 2010
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Nick Tippmann retweeted
"SaaS is dead" is what all the cool kids say on online these days.
But while they are collecting their heat like Pokemon cards, and getting people to smash that "like" button, there's something else happening in the private venture capital market that they shouldn't sleep on:
The evolution of vertical software turning into vertical AI.
These are companies who already have distribution, lots of customers, and oh yeah... real revenue that isn't just "potential revenue."
VCs are keeping an eye on this too, so I sat down and talked with @ntippmann from @TipTopVC this week for the Capital Report to discuss everything we've wanted to know about "vertical" world in venture capital.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Excited to share my conversation with @ntippmann! Nick is a vertical AI and GTM expert so it was great to talk shop with him about AI, how B2B SaaS evolved, and how distribution has changed.
Here are some takeaways and insights from the conversation:
Vertical AI changes the value proposition from efficiency to execution. Nick’s core framing is that SaaS helped people save time, while vertical AI can actually do the work. That shift changes the buyer, the budget, the pricing model, and the ceiling for how large these companies can become.
The real TAM unlock is services and labor, not software. Traditional vertical SaaS was constrained by software budgets. Vertical AI can compete with outsourced services, internal labor, and professional work that previously sat outside the software spend category. That is why Nick sees the opportunity as dramatically larger than the prior wave of vertical SaaS.
The best vertical AI companies will not be thin wrappers. Nick’s bet is on companies that combine workflow software, domain-specific context, proprietary data, and agentic execution. The model is not “AI replaces SaaS,” but “SaaS evolves into a system of work.”
Incumbents are vulnerable when their strength becomes rigidity. Legacy systems of record often have distribution, data, and customer relationships, but they can also be slowed by old architecture, existing pricing models, and organizational inertia. Nick is most interested in markets where the incumbent is entrenched but not especially nimble.
Distribution and trust may matter more in AI, not less. Because software is easier to build, it is harder to stand out. Nick argues that content, community, events, brand, empathy, and domain expertise remain critical. In vertical AI, credibility with the buyer can be a moat before the product moat fully compounds.
Outcome-based pricing is becoming the new frontier. AI products are pushing companies away from seat-based SaaS pricing and toward pricing tied to completed work: per resolved ticket, per document, per workflow, per enriched record, or against avoided professional services spend. The best pricing models will align with the value customers actually experience.
Forward-deployed services are not a weakness; they may be evidence of where value accrues. Nick sees OpenAI and Anthropic building services-heavy motions as a sign that intelligence alone does not solve enterprise problems. Context, implementation, workflow integration, and judgment still matter — which supports the vertical AI thesis.
Seed investors need to look past the demo. In a world where a founder can vibe-code a polished product quickly, Nick focuses on deeper questions: Does the company get better with usage? Is there proprietary data exhaust? Are there reinforcement loops? Can the wedge expand into adjacent workflows? Is there a real vision beyond the initial tool?
The wedge still matters, but the expansion timeline is compressing. Nick acknowledges that AI lets companies build more faster, but he still wants a sharp entry point. The difference is that founders may need to move from wedge to broader workflow coverage much earlier than in the SaaS era.
GC AI is a case study in founder-market fit plus distribution. Nick backed the company because Cecilia Ziniti brought deep credibility in legal, had early community instincts, and chose a focused wedge in in-house legal. The insight was not just that legal work fits LLMs; it was that in-house legal has distinct workflows, budgets, and pain points from law firms.
VCs and founders are often talking past each other. Nick thinks VCs underappreciate how brutally hard execution is, while founders often misunderstand fund math and why “good growth” may still not be enough for the next round. The AI era has raised expectations, especially as investors compare every company to the fastest-growing AI breakouts.
Nick’s contrarian view: foundation labs moving up the stack does not kill vertical AI. His argument is that the labs’ move into applications and services actually proves the opposite: raw model intelligence is not enough. Durable value may accrue to companies that own the workflow, the customer relationship, the domain context, and the system of work.
Really enjoyed this episode of @InvestNStartups. Thanks to Nick for coming on!
Nick Tippmann retweeted
A year ago I sat down with @ntippmann of @TipTopVC on investing and building in vertical AI. We left one question unresolved.
Where do foundational AI models end and where do the applications begin?
Since that time we have seen the launch of Claude Design, OpenAI's Rosalind, and other vertical applications from the frontier labs.
I am re-releasing last year's episode with a new epilogue as I invited Nick back to discuss what has changed since our first conversation.
The Agenda
00:00 Defining vertical AI
05:07 Where general AI fails
09:36 Vertical AI software, not just chatbots
16:44 Pricing logic after the seat model
24:04 Underwriting at pre-seed and seed
27:20 Capital intensity and seed-strapping
36:48 TAM analysis and the Frontiers Market example
41:46 OpenAI's Instacart hire and the gray zone
45:55 Austin as a vertical AI hub
58:21 Epilogue: Where the models end and applications begin.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Everyone’s chasing general AI, but in accounting, biotech, and other industries being 98% right is still wrong.
@ntippmann talked to me about where Vertical AI wins
xitter.cf/Jason_A_Scharf/status/…
Not every industry can afford hallucinations. Being right only 98 percent of the time isn't good enough.
That’s where vertical AI steps in.
Today on Austin Next: @ntippmann founder of @TipTopVC, joins me to explore how specificity is reshaping software and why vertical AI might be the lever that brings laggard industries into the 21st century.
We cover:
• What Vertical AI Really Means
• Specificity as the New Moat
• Founders, Not Just Models
• When General AI Fails
• Seed-Strapping Real or Not
• Rewriting Pricing Logic
• Vertical AI Talent Mix
• Redefining TAM in Niche Markets
• Scaling without Overspending
What’s Next Austin?
“Austin becomes a global hub for vertical AI winners…”
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Not every industry can afford hallucinations. Being right only 98 percent of the time isn't good enough.
That’s where vertical AI steps in.
Today on Austin Next: @ntippmann founder of @TipTopVC, joins me to explore how specificity is reshaping software and why vertical AI might be the lever that brings laggard industries into the 21st century.
We cover:
• What Vertical AI Really Means
• Specificity as the New Moat
• Founders, Not Just Models
• When General AI Fails
• Seed-Strapping Real or Not
• Rewriting Pricing Logic
• Vertical AI Talent Mix
• Redefining TAM in Niche Markets
• Scaling without Overspending
What’s Next Austin?
“Austin becomes a global hub for vertical AI winners…”
Nick Tippmann retweeted
👀 Vertical SaaS data points via Stripe Annual Letter
cc: VSaaS experts @davelyuan @ntippmann @pw_mcgovern @MSchlueterMoore + co
Nick Tippmann retweeted
There’s a crazy amount of opportunity in vertical AI. Going deep on business workflows combined with AI, and owning the end user experience, is going to be a huge advantage. Some incumbents will make it but tons of room for new startups to emerge as well.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Excited to be hosting an AI Vertical Saas Panel with @HeadlineVC @fikavc @bonfire_vc, @ntippmann. Register here to attend! lu.ma/ic428aq5
🎉 Big news! The official calendar of events for #SFTechWeek and #LATechWeek is now LIVE!
And thrilled to announce that this is officially our BIGGEST Tech Week, ever!
- 850+ events 🤯
- San Francisco: Oct 7-13 🌉
- Los Angeles: Oct 14-20 🌴
Link to register below to see all events👇
Nick Tippmann retweeted
apparently this is the first time @HustleFundVC went for an event of this format
I’ve been to enough pitch competitions to tell you confidently that this was well organized and educational!! Big props to the panel — @ntippmann, Jeremy, @arturo___p !!
Nick Tippmann retweeted
In 2011, Marc Andreessen famously proclaimed, “Software is Eating the World.” The thesis was that internet startups were “poised to take over large swathes of the economy,” and make all the failed dreams of the dot-com era (Act I) finally come true.
Andreessen was at least half right. In the decade that followed (Act II), software companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Google ascended to become the most valuable in the world. Billions of people did indeed buy smartphones, as predicted. And entire industries—news, entertainment, travel, communications, retail, productivity, finance, and more—were swallowed whole by software.
But software still hasn't eaten everything. The industries that form the foundation of the American economy—healthcare, logistics, construction, transportation, manufacturing, etc—are still waiting for the revolution. Just ask any consumer trying to find the right specialist at a hospital, or get insurance for a leaky roof. All across America, we are confronted with the type of antiquated, complex bureaucracies that we thought software would fix. The pandemic revealed how brittle our systems are. It’s now clear our foundations are crumbling.
But there’s good news: we are now on the precipice of Software's Third Act, in which startups will finally deliver on the dream of transforming the economy’s foundational industries. Identifying, backing, and supporting these companies is my life’s work, and inspires everything we do at The Council Fund.
In the full essay (linked below), I cover:
⏳ why Act III is finally the time for software to transform essential industries
🦿 which founders will have a leg up in Act III
🌁 why Silicon Valley will still be center-stage in Act III
🧗 how companies can scale vertically vs horizontally
🌟 how we @thecouncilcap support them
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Introducing our inaugural report, The State of the SaaS Capital Markets, a deep dive into enterprise software, uncovering the trends shaping the SaaS markets – both public and private – and the exit environment.
Considering investment trends, valuations, valuation drivers, and exit activity in 2023 in the context of the investment environment over the last decade, we share with you our top 10 predictions for 2024. 🔮
Download the full report: info.sapphireventures.com/th…
And check out our accompanying blog post: sapphireventures.com/blog/th…
Let us know what you think we got right, where you have a different perspective, or what we may have missed.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Simply put: there is just no actual threat to vertical SaaS/ISVs continuing to capture payments volume.
So long as that holds true, there is no reason to believe in the death of vertical SaaS as a whole even if AI renders the development of the actual software semi-commoditized.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Read @BucknSF's whole thread
Re: adjacencies occupied ->
Our *crowded* @CloudRatings category quadrants = reality of competitive landscape
& we exclude many vendors!
Hard to grow profitably OR horizontally
Replying to @BucknSF
This inevitably means more battles between adjacent companies. Because it is hard to grow addressable budget as a point solution unless you are solving a very hot problem. The problem is most adjacencies are now occupied by bigger/better companies. Outside of new AI stuff.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Do you really understand your customer's lifecycle?
EVERY. SINGLE. STEP.
What fo they go through from start to finish?
Where are the points of high friction?
Very few early-stage founders have actually done this exercise.
Nick Tippmann retweeted
There's 2 types of marketing:
- Direct Marketing
- Brand Marketing
@ntippmann shares the importance of both on @VC10X_🎙️
🔗Full episode here - youtu.be/Gyer7FateBQ?si=jfpz…
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Replying to @ntippmann
@ntippmann, former Chief Marketing Officer at @greenlightguru, delves into the question - "Is AI an opportunity, neutral, or a threat?"
Dive deeper into our episode here 👇
cloudreturns.cloudratings.co…
#CloudReturns #VerticalSaaS #Investing
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Had the pleasure of hosting @ntippmann on @VC10X_🎙️
Nick is a vertical SaaS investor and advisor. He's also an LP in several VC funds.
Previously Nick was CMO at Greenlight Guru where he led marketing efforts from $0 to $10s of millions in ARR while bootstrapping.
In this episode we talk about:
- The growth story of Greenlight Guru
- How to leverage SEO as a growth channel?
- How much work does it take to put SEO to work?
- How long do you have to wait to start seeing results from SEO?
- How startups should think about GTM approach?
- What makes him excited about Vertical SaaS opportunity?
- How he evaluates startups & VC firms before investing in them?
- How does he keep track of all his investments?
& lots more
Catch the full episode on YouTube - youtu.be/Gyer7FateBQ?si=g2J6…
Listen on Spotify - open.spotify.com/episode/5zd…
#saasgrowth #verticalsaas #seo #growth #marketing #limitedpartner #vc
Nick Tippmann retweeted
📨 latest newsletter covers AI nuances of:
- Lower switching costs - via @creandum @axeliaklein @richardkeuntje
- Open source models - via @davelyuan
- Small language models - via @nathanbenaich
Plus a @ntippmann podcast + @repvue's index
saasletter.com/p/saasletter-…
Nick Tippmann retweeted
Don't miss out on our latest episode featuring @ntippmann
If you can't attend, the podcast is available here:
cloudreturns.cloudratings.co…
@ntippmann - Vertical SaaS Operator -> Investor xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1MYxNobnz…
Nick Tippmann retweeted
While horizontal SaaS startups have long been an attractive area of investment, today, we’re witnessing a shift towards vertical solutions, specifically vertical solutions with the potential to leverage AI successfully.
At Sapphire, we believe vertical AI is the new horizontal. 🚀
As outlined by Sapphire Partner @rajeevdham,
@JasonRBrooke and Andrew Vogeley, our conviction stems from 3 major advantages offered by vertical software.👇
🔷Leverages sector specific data, which improves the usefulness of AI
🔷Has the potential to disrupt underserved industries 🔷Companies in the space have a combination of durable and efficient growth
🔗bit.ly/46S6vf1
#genai #generativeai #verticalsaas





























