Institutional Investor, Market-Maker/Floor Trader, 20+ years. Founder of Chicago Options Market-Making, Prop and HFT firms at the CBOE & CME | Board Member

Utah/Chicago/Tahoe/|No Advice
Joined July 2020
A short video where I discuss Variance futures with the @Cboe Link: cboe.com/tradable-products/s…
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I’m at the skate park, kids have their music. Same as mine. Weird. New music is mostly lame.
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drifting a Hellcat in Vegas
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I think it's crazy that people haze Mormons; they are nice, high trust, considerate, polite, family-oriented and the single most inclusive group I know of.
When you give 60,000 Mormons unlimited juice boxes.
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Mormons are the nicest people group you'll ever meet.
I know people love to make fun of the Mormons because it's easy, but look at that student section. Texas, take note.
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Noel Smith retweeted
TLDR: movement in the $VIX and VIX options yesterday far outstripped moves in the SPX. there's information about market fragility here that we should be mindful of. the VIX and SPX are negatively correlated. run the regression and it's on the order of -80%. but the slope of the regression (change in VIX per change in the SPX) is time varying. we have periods when the VIX moves a ton relative to the SPX move (Feb'18 volmagedon). in contrast, 2022 brought an extremely dull VIX, muted reactive to moves in the SPX. yesterday, especially from 12:30 to 1:30pm, both the VIX and $VVIX moved a great deal relative to the move in the SPX. I show this below (thank you, Claude). typical VIX beta (% move in VIX per 1% move in the SPX) has been around 7. yesterday it reached on the order of 50. from 12:30 to 1:30, SPX down just 60bps...VIX up 29% (50x)... talking my own thinking here, but there is no security in markets better equipped (at a low price) to hedge a near term crash than a short-dated out of the money call option on the VIX. this is what got really bid yesterday. the Oct 25 call (expires Wednesday) went from being worth 6 cents in the morning to more than $1 a few hours later. it exploded not just because the VIX rose so much, but because "vol of vol" surged as well. no security is more "spot up, vol up" than the VIX itself. it will be interesting to see if this was a one-off or indicative of a larger shift in behavior where investor seek to cover deep left tail risk.
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My friend Jonny Imerman launched a very nice FREE app; it's strictly about gratitude and thanking people. There is no agenda or weirdos behind it, just good people that I've known for 20 years+. It's called Open Thanks. openthanks.com/app
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Noel Smith retweeted
.@Cboe $VIX just came alive big-time. Rumors flying someone getting blown out. Totally different trailing 30min than everything prior this week
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QQQ -5.2% in a week
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prob Leo calls
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Why Zuck?
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ha (not my work)
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BREAKING: 30 year average mortgage rate has hit 7.56%, per MortgageNewsDaily.
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