not sure if btc continues to provide diminishing returns but it is certainly possible (i choose to believe it wont for now) but alts (on average) will continue to get more difficult and dangerous to trade imo, irreversible trend. (1) massive competition amongst increasingly sophisticated buyers (who simultaneously believe less) (2) primarily traded on perps/with leverage. (3) huge dilution in coins with mkt valuing stuff high by default without justification (4) launch FDVs always capturing 100% of optimism for the asset without respecting price/valuarion (5) too much pre-market price discovery for (4) to be safe the average 2017 buyer buys spot and hodls weeks/months cos they believe, add on the way up, asset was trading at low val early so works out. average 2025 buyer is buying on perps without checking the valuation and sells whenever their PNL goes red or force sells in liquidation. however, it will remain the best place for returns for smart ppl. skill expression and asset selection is much more important. patience much more highly rewarded over being "early" on liquid markets last few years. and then outlier assets will continue to exist, maybe 1 every couple of years, and when they turn up you can turn brain off and 2017 it. imo anyways (hopefully)

People that mourn mistakes simply don’t believe in themselves. Everyone that wants to make it in 1 month is really saying “I need to get very lucky because I do not believe I am equipped to make it in a sustainable way over the next 5-10 years”. Those people would be much better off studying, trying again, failing, learning, etc until they do believe in themselves. And then it doesn’t matter.