
Co-founder @birdride, @medleylanestdio, @trianglehealthx Engineering @polymarket Half of @wehowlo
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Joined September 2007
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Everyone is so sure MLB needs a salary cap to save baseball.
Meanwhile, the Brewers have proven that isn’t true. And major European soccer leagues don’t have fixed salary caps either.
An alternative idea: allow transfer fees, and require teams to reinvest a percentage into player salaries.
This embraces market dynamics, rewards player development, redistributes wealth, and would reduce player wage disparity.
I had a thought: what if the seeming randomness in the sequence of prime numbers is because they are a dynamical system somehow?
Then I realized that’s actually what they are.
ninjudd.com/primes
I tried this. It is good, but a bit too constrained for my liking.
Then I tried ISO 24495-1 (Plain Language) and it is way better.
Last, I tried Google developer documentation style guide, which is more opinionated, but especially nice for docs.
Thinking back fondly on the first programming job I interviewed for. They gave me a printout of the man page for sed, and I had to write down how I’d solve various problems on a sheet of paper.
Justin Balthrop retweeted
In Germany, a talented 14-year-old earns his club money. In America, his parents pay the club $15,000 a year.
That single inversion explains why "we will not" is the most accurate line ever written about US soccer.
FIFA built a global system for this. Training compensation and solidarity payments send a cut of every transfer fee back to the clubs that developed the player, from age 12 onward. Develop one future pro and your academy gets paid for a decade. Barcelona's La Masia, Ajax, every Bundesliga academy runs on this logic. The kid is the asset.
US Soccer refuses to enforce those rules. When Seattle's Crossfire Premier claimed its $60,000 share of DeAndre Yedlin's transfer to Tottenham, it got nothing. Claims on the Dempsey and Bradley transfers died partly because the federation couldn't even produce the youth training records.
So American clubs earn zero dollars when a kid turns pro. They earn when a kid enrolls. Which makes the parent the customer, and the product is whatever keeps the parent writing checks: travel tournaments, hotel weekends, $500 showcase events, private training at $100 an hour. Elite pathways run $8,000 to $20,000 a year. A comparable academy spot in Italy costs about 120 euros.
Follow the incentive one level deeper and it gets darker. A club dependent on fees can't cut its weakest paying players, so rosters optimize for retention over development. The scouting pool shrinks to families who can afford the cliff, which appears around age 11, exactly when development matters most. The country runs a talent filter sorted by household income instead of ability.
Every four years someone proposes fixing this. The proposal always requires the people profiting from the $15,000 model to vote themselves out of business.
They will not.
Justin Balthrop retweeted
Separate plots with no axis scaling and no visible noise. That is way more suspicious to anyone that works with data than not showing anything at all.
Replying to @fifamedia
If you really think about it, making a team play down by a player when someone gets a red card is crazy. It is a huge advantage to the other team for the actions of a single player.
Imagine if they did that in the MLB or NFL or NBA when a player was ejected!
FIFA could change the rules to punish the player without making the remainder of the game completely lopsided.
Suggestion: require the team to sub on a new player. If they don’t have any subs remaining, they play down a player.
Have a committee determine the severity of the foul after the game is over and suspend the player based on the severity.
You cannot - in a once-every-four-years competition - that is largely a single elimination tournament - make a team play 10 on 11 after a red card, and then remove that team’s offending player for the next game. You just cannot, for ANY reason… let alone a silly, unintentional ‘infraction’ like tonight’s. Not when fans care, root, and spend this much. It ruins the product. And also invites corruption among referees.
The fact is, these VAR refs just aren’t very good. The fact that they didn’t look at multiple angles on the Croatia offsides is embarrassing. They also either lined up the sensor data wrong temporally or used noise to show a touch that didn’t happen.
Doing VAR review well requires a lot of training. FIFA should have a single, centralized VAR team like MLB does.
The VAR refs should be trained to know the sensors are not perfect. xitter.cf/l3d1c/status/207286879…
Only a low IQ non-technical person thinks that a wireless sensor inside a ball with a shitty polling rate that is kicked around for hours is precise enough within low millisecond range to register a string of hair on the ball’s surface, yet magically immune to the pressure wave of someone missing it by 2mm and do all of this over the air in real time across hundreds of meters.
It's an accelerometer. It picks up vibrations and pressure changes from EVERYTHING nearby, even it hitting an insect in the air, then FIFA decides which spike counts as a ‘touch’.
Croatia's disallowed goal highlights scientism's core ideology that "data" is truth: but it is simply not. It is obvious to the naked eye that the ball direction is not altered by the player's head. That is truth. The blip on the sensor could simply be put there later, it could correspond to an earlier or later touch. If it is isolated from the other previous or subsequent touches it could simply be an added graphic. Data is how to fool people that lies are truth, because it is the easiest thing to manipulate. Trust your own judgment always: you don't see a touch? There is no touch.
Justin Balthrop retweeted
My new (and first) campaign: End the VAR slow motion and freeze frame insanity which distorts refereeing decisions.
Free to read @TheAthleticFC on the Balogun injustice!
nytimes.com/athletic/7415297…
How can I tell Balogun didn’t rake his leg from this angle? Because the movement of Balogun’s foot didn’t slow down at all at the point where he would have made contact with Muharemović’s calf. If he made contact with the calf and raked it, Balogun’s foot would have stopped or at least slowed down noticeably, but it didn’t.
Look at the Messi video and see how long Messi’s foot stayed on Mandi’s calf in the Algeria game.



















