Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
New essay up. The HALO Effect
- notes on the new“Hire and License Out” deals being done by AI companies, most recently Windsurf
- why they are not killing the social contract of SV
- what happens when your people are worth more than your company
- SAFEs for all things please
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
Alcaraz beat Sinner played one of the greatest major finals in history.
As in 2008 Rafa/Fed Wimbledon finals great.
That Wimbledon final was an announcement that Rafa/Fed were next level above everyone else. Eventually, Novak joined them, and the three of them split nearly 70 major titles.
Sinner and Alcaraz are going to split the majority of majors the next decade plus (they have already won last six in a row) ... unless someone steps up. Currently, it is not evident who that someone else is.
I look forward to the documentary about this match.
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz defends his #FrenchOpen title by winning one of the greatest #tennis matches ever played.
Rallies from two sets down and three championship points against him to defeat No 1 Jannik Sinner 4-6 6-7 (4) 6-4 7-6 (3) 7-6 [10-2]. His 5th major at age 22 and the longest French Open mens final at 5 hours and 29 minutes
Finished it with a forehand passing shot winner down the line. Met the moment and then the clay
He is 5-0 in major finals
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
"Bond investors are the economy's bond vigilantes. ... So if the fiscal and monetary authorities won’t regulate the economy, the bond investors will. The economy will be run by vigilantes in the credit markets.”
Ed Yardeni, 1983
“The European media, and numerous academics, keep up the increasingly implausible narrative that Ukraine can win the war only if the West maintains its support. But this is how people talk with no skin in the game... Ukraine needed brave supporters. It got cheerleaders instead.”
Here is my latest UnHerd column about the end of the transatlantic alliance.
unherd.com/2025/02/the-end-o…
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
🚀 In 1977, while Elon Musk was still in kindergarten, a German engineer named Lutz Kayser launched the world's first private rocket from the jungles of Zaire.
He started what SpaceX finished three decades later following the same ideas of using innovative cost-cutting designs like bundled fuel tanks, off-the-shelf parts, and cheaper fuels.
With $400M (in today's money) raised from private investors, Kayser dreamed of becoming the "Southwest Airlines of Space." His rockets looked like bundles of aluminium pencils and earned the nickname "flying asparagus"—but they worked, reaching altitudes of 30+ kilometres.
But Cold War politics doomed OTRAG's vision. Deals with African dictators sparked international outrage, so Kayser's board fired him. His company shut down in 1987 and faded into obscurity. Today's booming private space industry owes much to this forgotten pioneer who dared to challenge government monopolies 30 years too soon. 🛰️
Super interesting blog post by @muellerfreitag!
muellerfreitag.com/essays/th…
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
“Craft is knowing how to start, art is knowing when to stop”. Did not have Ben Affleck’s astute commentary about AI on my bingo card.
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
Amazing perspective from the pad cameras — the chopsticks catch two 1' pins on the side of the rocket.
Full reusability is a game changer. While the industry is following the red line, SpaceX is on a different curve.
A straight line is an exponential on this semi-log graph.
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
Mario Draghi's new report on EU competitiveness doesn't mince words.
"Across different metrics, a wide gap in GDP has opened up between the EU and the US, driven mainly by a more pronounced slowdown in productivity growth in Europe. Europe’s households have paid the price in foregone living standards. On a per capita basis, real disposable income has grown almost twice as much in the US as in the EU since 2000."
"First – and most importantly – Europe must profoundly refocus its collective efforts on closing the innovation gap with the US and China, especially in advanced technologies. Europe is stuck in a static industrial structure with few new companies rising up to disrupt existing industries or develop new growth engines. In fact, there is no EU company with a market capitalisation over EUR 100 billion that has been set up from scratch in the last fifty years, while all six US companies with a valuation above EUR 1 trillion have been created in this period. This lack of dynamism is self-fulfilling."
"There are not enough academic institutions achieving top levels of excellence and the pipeline from innovation into commercialisation is weak. [...] However, while the EU boasts a strong university system on average, not enough universities and research institutions are at the top. Using volume of publications in top academic science journals as an indicative metric, the EU has only three research institutions ranked among the top 50 globally, whereas the US has 21 and China 15."
"Regulatory barriers to scaling up are particularly onerous in the tech sector, especially for young companies. Regulatory barriers constrain growth in several ways. First, complex and costly procedures across fragmented national systems discourage inventors from filing Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs), hindering young companies from leveraging the Single Market. Second, the EU’s regulatory stance towards tech companies hampers innovation: the EU now has around 100 tech-focused laws and over 270 regulators active in digital networks across all Member States. Many EU laws take a precautionary approach, dictating specific business practices ex ante to avert potential risks ex post. For example, the AI Act imposes additional regulatory requirements on general purpose AI models that exceed a pre-defined threshold of computational power – a threshold which some state-of-the-art models already exceed. Third, digital companies are deterred from doing business across the EU via subsidiaries, as they face heterogeneous requirements, a proliferation of regulatory agencies and “gold plating” of EU legislation by national authorities. Fourth, limitations on data storing and processing create high compliance costs and hinder the creation of large, integrated data sets for training AI models. This fragmentation puts EU companies at a disadvantage relative to the US, which relies on the private sector to build vast data sets, and China, which can leverage its central institutions for data aggregation. This problem is compounded by EU competition enforcement possibly inhibiting intra-industry cooperation. Finally, multiple different national rules in public procurement generate high ongoing costs for cloud providers. The net effect of this burden of regulation is that only larger companies – which are often non-EU based – have the financial capacity and incentive to bear the costs of complying. Young innovative tech companies may choose not to operate in the EU at all."
More: commission.europa.eu/documen….
Dear Mario Draghi, a year ago, I asked you to prepare a report on the future of Europe’s competitiveness.
No one was better placed than you to take up this challenge.
Now, we are eager to listen to your views ↓
xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1mnxeAPOD…
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
I made the closed-source vs. open-weight models figure for this moment.
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
neets who thought they had freedom with their gig economy life are in shambles right now, and their best option is go build submarines
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
Overused perhaps by now, but still:
“There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
The changes in vibes -- why did they happen? marginalrevolution.com/margi…
“It’s like surfing. There can be lots of people out there on their boards. But you have to be at just the right spot to catch the wave at the very top.”
— Jerry Kaplan about the failure of GO
mamma mia! this approach and vision was what @twentybn friends were building a few years ago...oh what a few years does to trends! cc @muellerfreitag
"Li’s vision for spatial intelligence is even more ambitious: training a machine capable of understanding the complex physical world and the interrelation of objects within it.
“[World Labs] is developing a model that understands the three-dimensional physical world; essentially the dimensions of objects, where things are and what they do,” said one venture capitalist with knowledge of Li’s work."
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
how close was world history from a dramatically different path? this close. xitter.cf/spectatorindex/status/…
After the fall of the Berlin Wall, Germany spent three decades enjoying the “peace dividend” under the US security umbrella. Those days are over now.
Given that Europe will soon have to pay for its own defence (#jdvance) I thought I would have a look at the German budget for 2024. It's 476 bn of spending, with this distribution: The red bit - 33% - is social spending - about 75% pensions + 25% social transfers (175 bn total!)
“Germany is sleepwalking into disaster — and Europe with it. With America largely out of the picture, Europe is on its own against Putin and his new Russian empire.”
For a long time, America was the great distant protector of Germany and of Europe.
That's over now. Germany, and by extension Europe, must now stand up for their freedom or fall under the Russian bootheel.
noahpinion.blog/p/europes-fa…
Moritz Mueller-Freitag retweeted
"Perfection is impossible.
In the 1,526 singles matches I played in my career, I won almost 80% of those matches.
But what percentage of points did I win?
54%
In other words, even top ranked tennis players win barely more than half the points they play.
When you lose ever second point on average, you learn not to dwell on every shot.
You teach yourself to think:
'Okay, I double faulted...it's only a point.'
'Okay, I came to the net and I got passed again...it's only a point.'
Even a great shot, an overhead backhand smash that ends up on ESPN's top 10 playlist – that too is just a point.
Here's why I'm telling you this.
When you're playing a point, it has to be the most important thing in the world. And it is.
But when it's behind you, it's behind you.
This mindset is crucial – because it frees you to fully commit to the next point with intensity, clarity, and focus."
–@rogerfederer





























