@msgwrites
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Program Director for The Keller Center. Founder of AI Christian Benchmark. Do Not Hallucinate Substack. Author of The Great Dechurching.
Orlando, FL
Joined May 2009
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Jim Davis and I are giving away something we are proud of - a toolkit to help local church leaders.
This data-driven resource will help your leadership team close the back door, open the front door, & send your members out better equipped.
Brief thread:
pages.thegospelcoalition.org…
There are at least 5 possible scenarios for the "pacing the frontier":
1. ECONOMIC - Anthropic's soon to be released S-1 SEC filing would reveal the challenging economic realities of abundant cheap open source (primarily Chinese) AI and that the largest line item they could trim were training costs.
2. SAFETY - we take @DarioAmodei, @sama, and @elonmusk at their word and this is the primary driver. It is logically possible that something in the last 2-3 days occurred safety wise that made all three of them say, 'let's slow this down.'
3. COMBINATION OF 1 & 2
4. GOOGLE DEEPMIND HAS RSI - the rumors that the GDM team has hit recursive self improvement are true and this creates incentives for competitors to slow things down.
5. PERMUTATION AND/OR COMBINATION OF 1/2/4
All of these scenarios are logically possible. I am most inclined to scenarios 1 or 3 for the reasons that I enumerate here in this essay I wrote exactly a month ago today:
donothallucinate.com/p/1873-…
Tripping this long form essay from a month ago.
I think the AI infrastructure buildout is both inevitable but will be slower and bumpier than expected — and this will have economic, political, geopolitical & cultural implications:
donothallucinate.com/p/1873-…
I think our technological future will have both dystopian and utopian elements to it simultaneously. This makes it hard to talk calmly and rationally about the subject when opinions run hot.
This week's piece focuses on the question I get privately the most - "how concerned should I be about AI (tail) risks?"
Very few like to talk about this question publicly because there can be a taboo about evaluating what has historically only been explored in science fiction. Most of the scenarios I have the greatest concerns about deal with human cognition and literacy in an era where I think people read and write less. However, I will cover the sci-fi stuff too.
Link in comments:
I have been at every one of these conferences since 09.
I have numerous lifelong friends that I wouldn't have were it not for them.
In a digital-everything era, gathering in person for the sake of the church has never been more important. I will be there talking about brand new religious data & would love to meet up in real life.
Shoot me a DM if you'd like to meet up in person.
We are excited to announce the TGC Church Conference! Join us April 5-7 in Indianapolis as we gather for stirring worship, gospel-centered keynotes, and practical equipping from experienced church and ministry leaders. Come with your church to be equipped for your church. Get your ticket right now: TGC27.org
When you join us at TGC27, you’ll hear teaching from keynote speakers:
- @JohnPiper
- @HBCharlesjr
- @PlattDavid
- @MarkVroegop
- @RevKevDeYoung
- @HanibalRod
- @TonyMerida
Plus, learn from experienced ministry leaders, teachers, and thinkers:
- @WesleyLHuff
- @JDGreear
- @LigonDuncan
- @NancyGuth3
- @JenniferWilkin
- @JT_English
- @GavinOrtlund
- @CollinHansen
- @MelissaBKruger
- @MattSmethurst
- @TrevinWax
And many more!
We can’t wait to see you in Indy!
I would strongly urge the @WSJ to reconsider their stance on knowingly publishing fully AI-written content.
It breaks the social contract between the reader and the institution.
It is a race to the bottom.
Please reconsider.
I think this is a mistake by the WSJ & I’m surprised by the move.
The standard here is subjective & I’m not sure by what standard they will ever be able to reject some AI & not others.
It also does significant damage to the trust of WSJ readers who expect human authorship.
"Because the AI infrastructure ecosystem is incredibly highly correlated any failures in execution could have very significant economic fallout and then be followed by cultural, policy, and geopolitical implications."
(link below)
This is my 5,500 word essay explaining the economic complexity and overall concern regarding zero margin for error in the AI infrastructure buildout.
donothallucinate.com/p/1873-…
Spiritual formation is friction.
You don't get wisdom, character, virtue, or ethics without friction.
Not all friction is bad.
I have been working today on a very excellent deck for the first of six sessions in this cohort on AI.
It has been a long time since I have been this excited to teach on something.
I'd love for you to join me. I will be in sessions 1, 5, and 6:
thegospelcoalition.org/cohor…
I wish I didn’t need a new lexicon of niche words to describe strange and awkward new emotions or scenarios from this AI-era.
So, I need to coin another new term:
Aignosis.
Definition and link below...
Aignosis is defined as as the cognitive angst associated with having a high degree of certainty that something was AI-generated but having no definitive ability to prove that your intuition is correct.
donothallucinate.com/p/aigno…