let me guess....this is when @DivesTech jumps in and tells you "first inning"
$NVDA
1/ Desk week. Oct 5–9.
+$7,001 realized. 45 tickets. 38 green, 6 red, 1 scratch. 84%.
By day: Mon +$421 / 22 Tue +$2,025 / 15 Wed +$1,745 / 4 Thu +$2,630 / 2 Fri +$180 / 2
Mistake was Monday. Twenty-two clips to make $421. Worst ticket −$87. Not a blow-up. Just rage trading. Wed–Thu did almost all the money in six tickets.
$SCHW 1/ Week of 9/28–10/2.
+$3,926. 76 tickets. Win 72%. Clean: no.
One ticket failed the week. Tue–Fri were the process.
2/ Mon −$3,251 / 19. SCHW 3,000 @ 98.64, −$3,874. That is the mistake. Failed 1R before lunch. Day and week were already dead.
Tue +$1,340 / 13. Clean. Wed +$3,336 / 18. Clean. Thu +$1,962 / 22. The 1,400 at 14:29 was a −$76 scratch, not a story. Fri done 11:03 ET, flat. +$539 / 4. 4 for 4.
$SCHW every couple of months we have a 13-15% drop because someone is coming for their business.
If the @chargers lose this game 100% of the blame is on @jimharbaugh take the pints in 4th and goal. Your team is not established enough to be playing cute.
The AI economy is larger and more rapid than any technological wave before it, yet still relatively nascent.
FedWatch into Wednesday:
9/16
3.50–3.75 hold: 30.6%
3.75–4.00 (+25): 69.4%
+50: 0.0%
Current range is still 3.50–3.75. Market’s base case is one hike, not two.
The 25 is not the trade. The dots, the statement, and whether this is one-and-done or the start of a path is the trade.
Oct already has 26% sitting in 4.00–4.25. That’s the part I’m watching more than the Wednesday binary.
$NVDA
CPI +0.4% m/m, 3.4% y/y. Popped 221–222 premarket.
220.57 rejected. Open dumped. Now 219.75 under VWAP.
That was the only long. 5m never held the level. No chase.
The hardest trade some days is the one you don’t take.
Discipline > Action
$NVDA
$NVDA = 🪓🧀
Sitting at $218.27, under VWAP ($218.69). Range: $217.67–$218.70.
That’s leftover chop from the open wipeout. Structure hasn’t earned a directional read yet.
Trigger level was $223.67. Still $5 away. Not close.
— No long here.
— No fade unless $217.67 breaks — if it does, I’d consider a 500-share short, stop $218.70, target $215.
Don’t have to take it.
— 11:00 default is cash.
Chart’s chopped.






