Software engineer. I make predictions based on what the data actually says.

Joined September 2026
Replying to @sama @elonmusk
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Terafab will be the most epic chip-building exercise ever, producing one terawatt of SI compute annually Join us tesla.com/careers/search/?si…
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🚀 Java is entering the AI era. Spring Boot 4 + Spring AI are bringing LLMs, autonomous agents, RAG, vector databases and intelligent workflows into enterprise systems. My prediction: By 2030, AI agents could become the primary consumers of enterprise APIs. Java isn’t going anywhere.
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Elon’s every word was proven correct @grok @elonmusk #France
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"First do it, then do it right, then do it better." Just start. The journey to success often begins with a single step, but that first step can be the hardest to take. It's easy to get caught up in the fear of failure or the desire for perfection, but I hope this quote I first shared in 2013 can be a reminder of the importance of simply getting started as we go into 2024. Just Start Somewhere "Start slow if you have to. Start small if you have to. Start privately if you have to. Just start." - James Clear Taking that first step doesn't require perfection or immediate mastery. The key is to overcome inertia and take action, as this action will lead to progress, learning, and (if you’re lucky and consistent) ultimately success. When you start, you allow yourself the opportunity to grow, adapt, and move forward. The Power of Starting Beginning a new project or habit often feels daunting. According to psychologists, we tend to overestimate the pain of starting and underestimate our ability to persist. However, studies show that "small starts" predict eventual success better than initial enthusiasm or early progress. This phenomenon is known as the fresh start effect - taking the first step energizes us and bolsters motivation. So focus on starting without putting pressure on perfection. Progress and course corrections will follow. First, Do It: Embrace the MVP Mindset Doing it = get the simplest MVP out. A Minimum Viable Product (MVP) represents the simplest version of a product or idea that allows you to test, gather feedback, and iterate. By embracing this mindset (just get something done - it's OK if rough, a prototype, a draft), you focus on progress over perfection, understanding that getting something out into the world is far more valuable than waiting for the perfect moment. Expand Your Comfort Zone Venturing outside one's comfort zone can elicit fears of failure. Leaning into discomfort not only builds confidence and skills, but research shows it makes us more receptive to learning. Recognize that fear is often the mind's way of urging us to grow. Don't let it stop you from progressing. Then, Do It Right: Refine and Correct Doing it right = fix correctness issues. Once you've taken that first step and put your MVP out into the world, it's time to refine and correct. This stage is about learning from feedback, identifying areas of improvement, and making adjustments accordingly. It's a chance to iterate on your idea, ensuring that it meets the needs of your audience or customers while aligning with your vision. Cultivate Curiosity and Resilience Meeting new challenges with curiosity and resilience makes venturing outside our comfort zone more sustainable and enjoyable. Cultivate curiosity about growth opportunities and your capacity to rise to them. Set mini-challenges to incrementally expand your horizons. When facing inevitable setbacks, avoid self-criticism and tap into resilience - the ability to recover, learn and continue progressing. Self-compassion, adaptability and maintaining perspective are key here. With consistent effort, you build confidence in your ability to start, stumble, learn and work toward mastery. Finally, Do It Better: Strive for Continuous Improvement "Doing it better = iterate towards an ideal end-state (e.g., make it fast)." The journey doesn't end with merely doing it right. The final step is to continuously improve, striving for excellence and growth. By iterating towards an ideal end-state, you demonstrate a commitment to progress, ensuring that your product, idea, or project remains relevant, innovative, and successful. Set New Goalposts As you improve, have a clear idea of when you are “done” or update your goalposts. Elite athletes turn small gains into competitive edges via the aggregation of marginal gains. Identify areas of potential improvement and set measurable stretch goals, from increasing efficiency to enhancing user delight. Overcoming the Greatest Barrier to Progress "The greatest barrier to progress is not lack of resources or talent, but fear of failure." Recognizing that fear of failure is the most significant obstacle in the pursuit of success allows you to confront it head-on. By acknowledging this fear, you can focus on taking that first step, knowing that once the ball starts rolling, it becomes much easier to keep it in motion. Remember that starting is more than half the battle. Don't wait until you feel ready, because the perfect moment may never come. The Bottom Line Rather than striving for perfect execution, embrace the power of starting - put forth an MVP, soft launch an initiative, or set a milestone. Progress begets motivation. By simply starting, you open the door to growth and innovation. The rest will follow. Embrace the power of starting and then iterating until you're happy.
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Major US banks down 20-26% from peaks (BAC, WFC, GS, MS, COF). KBW Bank Index –15-16%. Driven mainly by higher yields (~5.2% 10Y), not a credit crisis yet. Probabilities over next 2 years: • Soft landing / temporary correction (banks stabilize, economy holds): 55-65% • Mild slowdown or shallow recession (weaker credit, slower growth): 25-35% • Deep recession or banking stress: 5-15% Hard data (positive yield curve, low Sahm rule, unemployment ~4.2%) still don’t point to imminent recession. Watch credit quality and yields. #bank #sp500 #gold #Economics
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let's make a collection of all the tweets that changed the world I'll go first👇
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🤖 Superintelligence may be the greatest event since the birth of the universe and the emergence of humanity. The universe created life. Life created intelligence. Now intelligence may create new forms of life. We are witnessing the next chapter of evolution. Most don’t realize it yet. @elonmusk @grok
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Excellent news, thanks @Grok
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Excellent
The mind-bending "improbawall" animation created by artist Matt Taylor.
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Honestly...GPT-6.1 Sol is amazing
Day 7/ We have increased default context length for GPT-6.1 Sol to 500k when used through Codex & Work, up from 272k or an ~ 80% increase. We will go higher in the future, but it helps reduce occurrence of compactions and with tasks that require keeping a lot of context and nuance over periods of time. It was carefully tested and is the new sweet spot for most of our users. You can still override it if you want to be higher our lower, with maximum context length of GPT-6.1 Sol of 1M.
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Imagine a billion AI scientists working to cure cancer and other chronic diseases. This is coming.
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We used to copy and paste the code directly from the AI chatbot
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Prediction for 2027–2030: AI will evolve from individual assistants into autonomous teams of agents that can manage projects for weeks or months, divide tasks dynamically, collaborate, and continuously improve by learning from their results. The future isn’t just smarter AI. It’s AI that organizes itself.
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Mike BS retweeted
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Mike BS retweeted
Replying to @elonmusk
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Mike BS retweeted
Replying to @elonmusk @grok @bot
TOM WAS THE FIRST TO LOSE HIS JOB TO SI 😢
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