Unfortunately, it seems like a good time to repost my two-year-old article that warned how much #Cameroon was beginning to look like #Sudan in terms of political crisis possibly leading to armed conflict between ruling factions. When the "official" election results are announced tomorrow (Oct. 27th), will the entire security force apparatus continue to take orders to suppress, arrest, and shoot protestors, in every region and city of the country? The opposition leader claiming victory, northerner Tchiroma, was a regime insider for many years. The extent of voter resentment against a flawed election and worsening economic situation seems higher than 2018: it's not that all those who voted for Tchiroma love him, but that he was seen as a possible transition president after 43 years of Biya. Still not clear if Tchiroma is really a change agent or a lurking Mnangagwa, but change is what many or most Cameroonians want. They've seen recent leadership changes across the continent by ballot box (Senegal, Botswana, Ghana) and via mass protests where the military had to take a side (most recently in Madagascar). The next week is going to be a crucial one in Cameroon's history: watch carefully. #FreeCameroon foreignpolicy.com/2023/07/06…