Director Europe, Russia, Eurasia @csis. Host EuroFile/RussianRoulette. Fmr State Department (PM/T/SP). Dad, husband. Largely at @maxbergmann.bsky.social

Washington DC
Joined June 2009
Max Bergmann retweeted
It's been a good week for Putin. In recent days, Trump has: * Struck a diesel deal lifting some sanctions * Restricted Starshield for Ukraine * Cut intel warnings of Russian missile launches against Ukraine for several days * Canceled Lindsey Graham sanctions * Demanded Ukraine dump Zelensky * Absolved Russia for helping Iran fight the US * Pushed Europe to resume buying Russian gas
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Max Bergmann retweeted
So much wrong with this beyond aligning with Russia. Two significant & morally reprehensible lies stand out: 1. "Zelenskyy is using Diesel Refineries in Russia as a target, knowing that these attacks are seriously hurting the world diesel markets, including those in the United States." 2. "Zelenskyy doesn't care, and frankly, with all of the money that Europe is famously giving him, and that Crooked Joe Biden gave him in the past, he doesn't want to end this war, and probably never did."
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Looks like what runners and cyclists feared could come true: Trump’s plans for a new golf course at East Potomac Park seem to eliminate the existing three-mile roads that circles the island. It’s a popular destination for running, riding, and driving access to Hains Point.
New: Trump says that East Potomac Golf Course will close on Nov 15 for the redesign by Tom Fazio. “Restoration work will begin on the Fazio Design on November 15th, when the old Course will be closed to play. The new Course will be opened in approximately 15 months.” This comes as there is a heated legal dispute right now about whether the government can redesign the course.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Ukraine is moving Russian data to the cloud.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
This gets difficult. 🇺🇸 threatens action against Europe if it restricts Starlink, but at the same time Starlink restricts use for the defence of a European country 🇺🇦. Europe needs sovereignty - not submission.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
If Musk is responsible for weakening Ukraine's defenses at this critical time, his businesses need to be excluded from any critical infrastructure in Europe. Not as a sanction, but as self-protection.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Based on the information currently available to us, we cannot confirm that Starshield’s full capabilities have been restored. Four (4!) days after we submitted our inquiries, we have yet to receive a response from the Pentagon or SpaceX. We hope to receive confirmation that unlimited speeds have been restored and that Starshield is operating as it did previously, providing reliable communications essential to protecting our people amid intensified Russian aerial attacks.
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This is such a disaster for all American tech and defense companies in Europe.
Ukraine's Starshield terminals still don't work properly, President Zelensky confirms, disabling Ukrainian interceptors used to shoot down Russian jet-powered drones that have been hitting civilian targets in recent weeks. kyivindependent.com/planned-…
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Max Bergmann retweeted
.@elonmusk make sure @Starlink keeps all records and communications regarding your alliance with Russia. Subpoenas are coming. I am sure the European market will want to know what happened.
Ukraine's Starshield terminals still don't work properly, President Zelensky confirms, disabling Ukrainian interceptors used to shoot down Russian jet-powered drones that have been hitting civilian targets in recent weeks. kyivindependent.com/planned-…
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Latest: ​Zelenskyy tells reporters over WhatsApp that restrictions on Ukraine's Starlink systems remain. Interceptor drones can't function, logistics and operations hobbled. The maximum speed is 161 kph; "exceeding this limit causes the Starlink connection to cut out completely, resulting in the loss of the drone." He says Ukraine has done tests to determine whether SpaceX is truly facing technical issues, as has been told Kyiv by the US side, or if this is a "deliberate operation... to restrict us, cut us off, and prevent us from defending ourselves and protecting our people, both at the front and among the civilian population." He says Ukraine "sent a couple of vehicles equipped with Starlink terminals into European Union territory." "They moved at speeds exceeding 180kph, and the Starlink systems worked perfectly. We have the relevant logs and evidence to prove this." He adds: "The conclusion is clear: the restrictions are in effect within Ukraine but do not apply within the European Union. In other words, this is a planned operation."
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Max Bergmann retweeted
OneEuropeOneMarket is finally becoming a 🇪🇺 top priority. The only condition for a stronger EU. Only way to cut our dependencies. Scaling up the Single Market will boost investments, repatriate jobs and savings, make 🇪🇺 competitive with the giants 🇺🇸🇨🇳 @DelorsInstitute @iespega
That's a wrap for #EUCO. EU🇪🇺 leaders adopted conclusions on: 📌competitiveness, including One Europe One Market 📌Ukraine 📌Moldova 📌MFF 2028-2034 📌the Middle East 📌European defence and security 📌migration 📌enlargement and reforms See main results➡link.europa.eu/KRTJK7
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Max Bergmann retweeted
The EU will stump up €70bn for Ukraine, & it'll be financed the same way as the €90bn loan: European Commission issuing debt to capital markets against headroom in the EU budget, with Russia's frozen assets serving as implicit collateral for repayments when the loans come due
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Back from a successful trip to Washington to meet @SecWar. The gravest dangers of the 20th century are returning, armed with the technologies of the 21st.    We need to strengthen our military capabilities, out-innovate and out-produce our adversaries, and strengthen our alliances. No alliance in the world is as close as 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 We’ve never been content to merely watch history unfold. We’ve acted to determine its course. When freedom and tyranny are in competition we stand for freedom. We discussed the frontline for freedom in Ukraine, the threat posed by Iran, and our responsibility to strengthen European NATO in the face of Russian aggression. The UK is the causeway across the Atlantic that binds together Europe and America. In times of our greatest peril, we have shown ourselves capable of achieving great things. We still can. We’re delivering the biggest sustained increase in defence spending since the Cold War - a stronger Britain, in a stronger Europe, for a stronger NATO.
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Why is our next mayor putting Maryland and Virginia residents ahead of the safety of Washingtonians? 200 District residents are full-time ride share drivers, not “countless.” More in Capital Commonsense. capitalcommonsense.com/p/our…
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The extent to which Putin has convinced most of the people who wants Europe to adopt more restrictionist immigration policy that they should also help him conquer Ukraine and that these two causes are closely linked is really remarkable.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
“However, after what was described as a “night of carnage” in Kyiv because of the blackout, a senior source said Mr Musk had been alarmed about the possibility of adverse consumer reaction in Europe.” telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Despite all the trolls and uninformed people parroting the same tired lines about how “consultations alone will take years” or “EU can’t do anything beyond regulating plastic bottle caps", things are moving surprisingly quickly xitter.cf/business/status/211082…
Considering the repeated calls to replace Starlink in the EU, followed by the usual snarky comments, mostly from Americans, about how SpaceX is "irreplaceable" and Europe is supposedly incapable of competing, I think it's worth looking at some facts. First of all, EU countries have launched hundreds of satellites over the past decade, with annual deployments growing from just 16 in 2015 to 135 in 2025. Eutelsat OneWeb already provides continuous coverage across Europe with more than 600 satellites On top of that, the EU is developing IRIS², a constellation of ~350 satellites, with the first launches scheduled for 2029. The EU's GOVSATCOM programme has already been operational since January 2026, pooling satellite capacity from member states for secure government communications. Now, let's get to the actual argument. Is Europe behind SpaceX, with its thousands of satellites in orbit? Absolutely. At the moment, it's not even close. Starlink has significantly cheaper consumer terminals, much greater network capacity, a larger constellation and a far more accessible service for ordinary customers. No argument here. But that's also part of the problem. Starlink is simply a better and more affordable product for most consumers right now, so customers and government contracts naturally gravitate towards SpaceX, making it harder for European competitors to attract the revenue and investment needed to catch up. Let's also not pretend SpaceX appeared out of nowhere. It benefited from decades of American aerospace infrastructure, NASA research, publicly funded programs and government contracts, alongside its own substantial private capital Putting a European startup, or even a single country's space agency, against that entire ecosystem is a losing proposition from the beginning. But why should it stay that way? Europe already has the aerospace industry, launch facilities, technological expertise and financial resources to develop a competitive alternative. To launch satellites successfully and cheap you need to decrease the launch cost. Currently, European rocket Ariane 6 is generally more expensive than Falcon 9, and Europe still lacks a comparable operational reusable launcher. But projects like Themis and Maia are already in development. If Europe keeps pouring money into SpaceX, how exactly do you expect these European projects to become competitive? The same applies to satellite terminals. SpaceX has excelled at mass-producing consumer-friendly equipment costing a few hundred dollars, while comparable OneWeb equipment can cost several thousand. But that advantage comes from economies of scale, production efficiency, mass adoption and, sometimes, subsidising hardware to gain market share. You can't have mass adoption if you mass adopt Starlink Europe doesn't need to replicate Starlink's entire global network to build a viable alternative. The objective is sufficient coverage, capacity and reliability across Europe and neighbouring regions, not necessarily every random island in the Pacific or remote village in the Brazilian Amazon - something that SpaceX does much better. That's a much more realistic objective than immediately matching Starlink worldwide. There are several ways to achieve this: direct investment, research funding, initial subsidies, long-term government contracts and procurement policies prioritising European satellite providers wherever feasible, particularly for critical infrastructure. In strategically sensitive areas, I'd go even further and eliminate dependence on SpaceX entirely wherever a viable European alternative exists. Which brings us to national security. Starlink is an American commercial system subject to US jurisdiction, while Starshield is specifically designed for US government and military customers. Starlink's own terms allow the company to suspend services following requests or orders from government agencies. Now imagine a hypothetical scenario where the US attempts to annex Greenland militarily. Would you really want critical European communications infrastructure dependent on an American company that could could simply switch off everything on political demand? You simply cannot outsource your country's critical communications infrastructure to a foreign provider and pretend there are no strategic risks involved. I don't like writing it, but US is not a reliable partner. And beyond security, it's also about money and long-term economics. European money, investment and talent should stay in Europe, not continuously flow to America. Do you want European aerospace graduates to have actual career opportunities in Europe, instead of feeling they need to move to the US? Do you want European companies building rockets, satellites, manufacturing facilities and research centres, creating skilled jobs and attracting investment? None of that happens if your entire strategy is to keep buying American Starlink terminals while complaining that European alternatives are too expensive or technologically inferior. There's a massive difference between saying Europe cannot fully replace Starlink today and claiming that Europe is fundamentally incapable of developing a competitive alternative, while quoting memes about muslim immigrants and plastic bottle caps. And if Europe keeps financing its competitors instead of building its own capabilities, SpaceX will indeed remain "irreplaceable". Not because Europe can't compete, but because it is not committed to the competition.
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Max Bergmann retweeted
U.S. intelligence officials warned the Ukrainian Embassy in DC that if there are more strikes on Russian energy sites, the U.S. would halt intelligence sharing. “The warnings were so widespread that anyone with a Ukrainian-sounding last name got a call” ...
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Max Bergmann retweeted
Amid today's hybrid threats, one constant endures: When 🇬🇧&🇺🇸 confront challenges together, we are stronger, safer, more effective. Good to speak today along with @wesstreeting at the @CSIS-@RUSI_org U.S.-UK Defense Forum: csis.org/events/future-us-uk…
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Max Bergmann retweeted
NEW: The order to limit a satellite system used by Ukraine for battlefield communications and drone operations came from inside the White House, according to two US officials and a Western official briefed on the matter.
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