lol this can't be accurate due to being self reported. Not surprised to not be a major red flag but I doubt I'm less difficult than average.
I am not a red flag; 16.75% less difficult than the average person. idrlabs.com/interpersonal-pr…
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"the operation is very likely to go okay on your son"
"what do you mean, 'very likely'?"
"well it's hard to know with operations, there is a lot of disagreement about the probabilities"
"what probabilities do people give?"
"well personally I think this operation is likely to succeed. some people think it's certain, others think this operation never works. among top surgeons, the median view is that it goes bad about 5% of the time"
"wait, this operation goes wrong maybe 5% of the time?"
"that is one view, as I say, it's hard to know"
"and what does 'goes bad' mean"
"it means death. Or worse"
"DEATH. You're telling me the median top surgeon thinks there's a 5% chance operation will kill my son."
"yes, or worse. but that is the median view. there's a pretty broad range of opinion on the subject."
"okay, but the operation is necessary, right?"
"no. but it might be extremely beneficial. It might improve your son's quality of life by two or ten or a hundred fold. It's very hard to know."
"can we delay it? can he have this operation next year?"
"we are really quite excited about doing this operation now. we think it would be good for our hospital and we reckon we need to gain experience in doing this kind of procedure. otherwise the expertise might go elsewhere. also if it works we want to help many other people soon"
"so you want to do it on my son?"
"yes. he's a great test candidate"
"now?"
"we still have a few kinks to work out, but as soon as possible, if that's okay"
To me, this is the situation we are in with AI. Except it isn't someone's son, it is everyone's son. Everyone's daughter. All of us.
Maybe the operation goes well, and we have far better quality of life. Cure disease, massive wealth, new experiences. I think most people underrate how good this looks.
Maybe it goes badly and we die. AI researchers think there is a 5% chance it kills us all. Thousands were surveyed. The typical one thought it was 5%, some thought lower, some higher. The AI CEOs have basically all agreed with this (or thought it was riskier).
I am not arguing that "AI is good" or "AI is bad" or even "we need to take a balanced approach". I argue it is worth paying attention to. Worth understanding.
If someone were operating on my child and said they didn't know how it would go, I'd want to understand the operation. That's why I want to understand AI.
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When I was 11, I used to play World of Warcraft almost every day after school.
I was, for all intents and purposes, an only child living in NYC with two working parents.
After school, I would rush home, hastily 'finish' my homework, and log online.
During my time playing, I naturally formed friendships because we were all on the same level, striving for common goals, and realizing that collaboration made the journey more enjoyable, and sometimes quicker.
Two of my closest friends online were a father and son duo who were fantastic to play with. They would always log on a bit later than me, but I always eagerly awaited their arrival.
After many months of bonding over voice chat, we got to know each other quite well.
What I remember most vividly about our time together was the palpable closeness between the father and son. They understood each other deeply and functioned seamlessly as a team, never making me feel like an outsider.
One week, I went away for a few days. Upon my return, my online friends were nowhere to be found. Weeks passed, and a rumor surfaced that the father had passed away. It was the first time in my life I had experienced loss. I sent messages expressing my condolences, hoping to understand what had transpired.
Eventually, the son logged back online. When I reached out, it turned out to be his mother on the other end.
I remember the conversation as if it were yesterday.
His mother revealed that her husband had been battling cancer for a long time, and it had ultimately overtaken him. Knowing his time was limited, he chose to spend as much of it as possible with his son, meeting him at his level as a way to connect.
The bond between the two was extraordinary and has left a lasting impression on me.
Interestingly, I know for a fact that when they needed a break from gaming, they would go fishing, to the movies, or play outside, activities they both genuinely enjoyed because of their shared interests and bond.
As parents, in an ideal world, we hope to instill our passions in our children—be it Jiu-Jitsu, real estate, investing, etc.—hoping they will embrace these interests. However, that's not always the case.
My friends would likely laugh reading this because they know how much I hope my son loves Jiu Jitsu the way I do.
Perhaps, instead of fostering tension between parent and child, it's worth considering this duo's approach. Meet your child where they are. Engage with what they find interesting.
If it's video games, then so be it. – at Queens, NY
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I wouldn't be surprised if in retrospect this hearing was considered historical.
It's the first very significant US policy event where rather than discussing the "are there extreme risks?" question, Sen. Blumenthal convened some of the best world experts on AI risks to discuss in great details what we should do about those.
In the remark below, Sen. Blumenthal unambiguously scoped the hearing around "intelligent device out of control, autonomous, self replicating, creating diseases or other kind of evils purposely engineered by people or simply the results of mistakes."
Thank you so much Sen. Blumenthal for doing that, this hearing will probably have far-reaching effects.
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The urgency around A.I.’s advancements demands serious action & substantive legislation. The future is not science fiction or fantasy. It's not even the future, it's the here & now.
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Oklahoma plans to kill Richard Glossip on May 18. The state's own attorney general has said that this would be a "grave injustice," but other people in Oklahoma are determined to go ahead and kill him. Sound crazy? Keep reading; it gets crazier.
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The wait is almost over. Mortal Shell releases on August 18 for PC/PS4/Xbox One.
[RT this for a chance to win a copy of the game, we'll select 3 winners tomorrow at 5pm BST.]
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Four Shells, four styles. Possess Tiel and outmaneuver.
MortalShell.com
👉 50 people who retweet this will be randomly selected to receive a beta code!
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Ten minutes of new and uninterrupted gameplay. You won't want to miss this one...
youtube.com/watch?v=T2e5daTV…
👉 25 people who retweet this will be randomly selected to receive a beta code!
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Wimbledon paid for pandemic insurance for the last 17 years. Due to 2020 #coronavirus cancellation, they will receive $141 million from the policy.
Pandemics were a known, insurable risk.
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So...no handshakes, kisses, hugs, fistbumps or gatherings, got it. But quick question: that thing where people spit in their hand and then shake on it - where are we with that?
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I’m pretty sure I should be on this graphic. @MSNBC
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I love the idea of @joerogan moderating a presidential debate change.org/p/commission-on-p… 👍
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And hours later another mass shooting this time in Dayton, Ohio - the death toll could have been much higher. Enough is enough. We need common sense gun laws. We owe it to ourselves, our children and the countless Americans impacted by gun violence to get this right.
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One candidate wants off of the Truman show.
It is the defining issue of our time.
Just great Andrew. 🙏
“Now back to spin alley for our hard hitting ‘Decision 2000’ (TM) coverage with all the night’s best lines analyzed by the most trusted analysts in television news...”
Truly historic closing from Andrew Yang: HE BROKE THE 4TH WALL!!! This whole thing is pure entertainment. It's a reality show with people in makeup throwing their rehearsed attack lines at each other. It's a reality show and that's why we have a reality show President. #DemDebate
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With accelerating developments in technology and AI, capital efficiency and humanity will be increasingly at odds. We need to bring capitalism into the 21st century and make our own well-being the goals of the economy.
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I will give $1,000/mo for the next 12 months FREE to someone who retweets this and follows me by July 4th 😃 Let's show why money is the answer & why this is the campaign for people. No purchase necessary. US citizens only. yang2020.com/rules




















