Lo retweeted
So much can and should and will be said about David Crowley and his remarkable victory, let the record show that that Tom Tiffany ran a despicably awful campaign that brought out some of the worst in Wisconsin. Toxic and divisive and so very wrong for this state. Awful even by the standards of Wisconsin Republican campaigns. His only saving grace was conceding respectfully on election night.
Lo retweeted
Bad policy, bad character make bad politics: erratic tariffs, impulsive Iran war, blanket pardons, apparent corruption, weaponized justice, ICE brutality, mountainous deficits, hiding Epstein, abandoning allies and coddling enemies. Hoping for a course correction, for the country and for my party.
Lo retweeted
This video completely broke me—I’m sitting on my couch sobbing. The way they go from celebrating Talarico’s win to realizing Gina won too… it’s so fucking beautiful 😭🥹😭 #ElectionNight #TexasPolitics
Lo retweeted
and i'm crying
This video completely broke me—I’m sitting on my couch sobbing. The way they go from celebrating Talarico’s win to realizing Gina won too… it’s so fucking beautiful 😭🥹😭 #ElectionNight #TexasPolitics
Lo retweeted
100%.
I modeled this out.
Based on EVs cast
And the Marquette poll's partisan split by voter method preference (which was actually incredibly accurate in 2024, down to hundredths of a %):
That split would be:
- Mail 66-33 D
- IPAV 53.33-46.67 D
- Election Day 52.67-47.33 R
At 2022-level turnout, the result would be:
🔵Crowley: 1,375,516
🔴Tiffany: 1,343,397
(Final result: 🔵Crowley +32,119)
Assuming the accuracy of the partisan split above, Tiffany can't win without near-presidential turnout.
He would take the lead at 3.32M total ballots cast, or 2.543M on Election Day. Obviously that isn't happening.
So he'll need to do slightly better than 5.33% on Election Day.
An R+6 EDay wins it narrowly at 3.04M total votes cast (2.262M EDay). That's probably an upper bound for total turnout.
So to win, Tiffany will need to drive turnout disproportionately among conservatives and win Election Day by ~6%.
That said, I believe we're seeing the necessary conditions in conservative counties and in Dane + especially Milwaukee Counties for this to occur.
In fact, I believe there is enough weakness in the partisan EV breakdown by county, that the firewall may be lower than that calculation indicates.
Time will tell on that I suppose.
Either way, well within reach with a strong Election Day.
Lo retweeted
I don’t want flying cars or folding iPhones or data centers.
I want an end to mass shootings, healthcare for all, free and fair elections, a government free from Christian nationalism, and our planet and people to be cared for.
Lo retweeted
If you are a woman in WI politics (R or D idc) and it is subzero weather and you need your car jumped plz dm me and I will help you and promise not to take pics of myself doing it, send screenshots to conservatives on twitter for political points, and you won't "owe" me anything
Lo retweeted
Piers Morgan on slavery reparations: "I could claim to be a victim of the Vikings in England... It's absurd."
Marc Lamont Hill: "My great-grandparents were enslaved in the United States. My great-grandparents. So we're not talking about thousands of years ago."
Lo retweeted
🚨 BREAKING:
Watters: "Do you think it's OK to cut off a penis?"
El-Sayed: "Do you really want to have this conversation? Are you circumcised?"
Watters: "Yes."
El-Sayed: "Then maybe you'd like to move forward."
Lo retweeted
Hell yeah. MAGA's private school voucher entitlement scam takes $708 million annually from WI taxpayers.
This Should be required everywhere in Wisconsin.
Appleton Common Council votes to show taxpayers how much of their money goes to private school vouchers
nbc26.com/appleton/appleton-… #wipolitics
Lo retweeted
"I'm too hood, I'm too ghetto. Y'all told me that all year. But when other people do it, y'all don't say nothing. So this is for the girls that look like me."
Angel Reese had a lot to say to her critics after LSU won the National Championship 💯
Lo retweeted
Robert De Niro: "In the entire New Testament, there are just under a thousand mentions of Jesus. In the first half of the Epstein files, there are 38,000 mentions of Trump, his family, and private club. 38,000. What is he hiding?"
Lo retweeted
Apparently a soldiers wife was tricked by ICE into showing up to get a military ID and was detained. She is set for deportation. She has 4 American born kids. Absolutely disgusting way to treat service members families. Good on Bobby for campaigning on this.
Lo retweeted
El-Sayed: "Weak, cowardly, won't stand up until his poll numbers drop ... he has the audacity to do an ad looking at the drugs prices in Canada, expect he voted four times to keep you from buying the prescriptions drugs in Canada. It's incoherent."
Lo retweeted
Mamdani: There is no explanation for these tactics. There is no explanation for federal officers firing this many rounds into a car that has a five year old in the car. Look at how many people live right here. This is a residential neighborhood. We are right here by a subway.
And the pretext of ICE is, in their words, to keep this country safe. How is it keeping everyone safe to have, as you just heard from the police commissioner, individuals wearing construction vests in masks with long guns? Residents have no idea if these are law enforcement agents, or if they are simply attacking someone on the street. And when it comes to ICE, it begs the question, what's the difference? There is no explanation for this.
Lo retweeted
Ossoff: Each time Mike has called himself a trucker tonight, you'd think he's cruising down 85 behind the wheel. This is a congressman's son who inherited a seat in Congress, who now runs his daddy's trucking company, who voted seven times for the war in Iran, who voted for the tariffs, who voted to cut your health care — all so he could give a tax break to data center developers and some of the wealthiest people in the country. His office has been in cahoots with some of the most notorious white supremacists in America. He's already brought disgrace to our state.
But I am so grateful to Georgians for investing the trust in me to represent Georgia in the Senate. I've stood up to the drug companies, to the big tech companies, and to the insurance companies who are denying us the care that we need when we need it. And I humbly ask for your continued support in this election.