@losfaXBT

I like Bitcoin

Joined June 2026
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Losfa@losfaXBTAug 6
Comparing the last two $BTC bear markets: same structure, but every wave has been shrinking percentage-wise each cycle. If that pattern holds, Wave 5 should come in under 38.81% meaning BTC never trades below $50,625 again. Those waiting for catastrophy will get front runned
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bitcoin:native Same shit, different range. When you want to pump the price you excessively sweep the low's to make everyone in a long position feel uncomfortable, whereas stoplosses above the highs are starting to feel safe building more sellside liquidity to smash through.
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Got some time off X but now I'm back. Decided to delete my stock and alt posts,will focus only on $BTC from now on
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They are buying all your $BTC before they send it,
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$BTC the only way is up
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bitcoin:native ATH's anchored VWAP id now flipped. Im looking for a ltf sweep to 78300 to scalp long to 82800. My big size leverage limits at 74-69 are wating and a smaller hedge at the level I talked about last post xitter.cf/losfaXBT/status/209580…
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bitcoin:native orderflow view Leverage is entering the market while price hasn't chosen any direction yet. We can see a neutral perp CVD but spot aggressively bidding with price chopping means the OI is mostly shorts entering the market. There is still more liquidity to the downside but the seeing it get frontrunned temporarily, I think that mm's are creating liquidity above the highs. Better wait for NY to have confirmation xitter.cf/losfaXBT/status/209432…
Losfa@losfaXBTAug 31
Every bitcoin:native weekly open is currently leaving a wick that acts as a hard pivot, giving us a clean trigger for the next major directional move. The average swing off the last 6 completed pivots is 9.44%. Based on this week’s opening wick, i expect a bullish week possibly sweeping 83k. More importantly, 6 of the last 7 weeks have seen the opposite pivot form on Friday. This gives us a strong statistical edge that today's Monday wick holds as the low through the week.
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Every bitcoin:native weekly open is currently leaving a wick that acts as a hard pivot, giving us a clean trigger for the next major directional move. The average swing off the last 6 completed pivots is 9.44%. Based on this week’s opening wick, i expect a bullish week possibly sweeping 83k. More importantly, 6 of the last 7 weeks have seen the opposite pivot form on Friday. This gives us a strong statistical edge that today's Monday wick holds as the low through the week.
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Look at bitcoin:native and $XAU side by side. Bitcoin put in its macro bottom early Feb '26. Every wick below that level? Liquidity grabs. Deviation. Nothing more. Meanwhile gold printed its top the same week and has been bleeding ever since. One asset tops. Another bottoms. Capital rotation is happening you are all just busy looking at 15 minute charts.
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bitcoin:native looks like a three drive pattern, weekend will probabbly be weak
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Losfa retweeted
based16z
@based16zAug 27
Don't forget to change your mind 3-4x a day based on the 15 minute chart
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$XAU in low time frame looks like its distributing. Deviated above the weekly anchored VWAP from the ATH and closed below. It currently isn't showing any strength for more upside Entry was a little early,I should have waited for the bear flag to break down before shorting but i sticked to the plan. Will look to trim some profits prematurely to add more later because of the bad entry xitter.cf/losfaXBT/status/209076…
Losfa@losfaXBTAug 21
I believe $XAU bull cycle has ended and its entering a boring-choppy slow bear market. Based on the past, XAU bear markets are multi year long. I think that is the last chance to offload your gold in premium price if you still hold. I shorted the anchored VWAP from the ATH with a manual TP
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$BTC is printing bearish divergences on major resistance and my 36 day pivot is around the corner.I expect a retracement at least to the .382 fib before the next leg up. Resistances like these dont get flipped first try xitter.cf/losfaXBT/status/209108…
Losfa@losfaXBTAug 22
$BTC has perfectly respected this 36-day cycle pivot since August 31, 2025. 10 consecutive hits with an average move of 19.58% The next pivot lands on August 26. Since price is pushing aggressively into this date, the probability of forming a local top is high. To be clear: I am not expecting new lows. Just a healthy retracement to cool off before the next leg up.
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$BTC has perfectly respected this 36-day cycle pivot since August 31, 2025. 10 consecutive hits with an average move of 19.58% The next pivot lands on August 26. Since price is pushing aggressively into this date, the probability of forming a local top is high. To be clear: I am not expecting new lows. Just a healthy retracement to cool off before the next leg up.
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I believe $XAU bull cycle has ended and its entering a boring-choppy slow bear market. Based on the past, XAU bear markets are multi year long. I think that is the last chance to offload your gold in premium price if you still hold. I shorted the anchored VWAP from the ATH with a manual TP
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