Nightmare king (@liljas2) header
Nightmare king (@liljas2) profile picture

You will always get paid more by thinking independently and acting contrarian to an extent. $TAO ๐Ÿ’ฏ๐Ÿ‹

Quezon City, National Capital
Joined December 2017
Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)Photo by Nightmare king (@liljas2)
Time will tell for my investments.
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BREAKING: Nvidia stock, $NVDA, crashes over -10% on reports that the companyโ€™s board is preparing to fire him from his role as CEO after news of a second affair.
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Nightmare king retweeted
Holy crap, why does $NVDA nonstop TMZ scandals keep getting โ€œleakedโ€ left and right. The cluster of news coming out about Jensen feel extremely bizarre.
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Nightmare king retweeted
The big money in the market isn't made by trading. It's made by sitting! - The market rewards patience, not activity - Expect normal pullbacks in winning stocks - Small profits are often the enemy of big ones - The biggest trends unfold over months & years - Conviction comes from preparation, not hope - Add only to winning positions - Holding great stocks is the most difficult part The real edge is having the discipline to stay with a winning stock while others get shaken out.
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UBS expects Micron to hold 90+% gross margin exiting FY2028. $MU $DRAM $EWY
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๐Ÿšจ WHAT IS HAPPENING TO AI STOCKS?!๐Ÿšจ ๐Ÿ”ด $FN -9% ๐Ÿ”ด $MU -4% ๐Ÿ”ด $SNDK -4% ๐Ÿ”ด $WDC -4% ๐Ÿ”ด $AMD -3.2% ๐Ÿ”ด $INTC -3.2% ๐Ÿ”ด $SKHY -3% ๐Ÿ”ด $SMCI -2.9% ๐Ÿ”ด $AMAT -2.8% ๐Ÿ”ด $MRVL -2.8% Overreaction, or the beginning?
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Nightmare king retweeted
Consolidating some recent bullish points for memory: 1. All 2027 DRAM & HBM capacity at Samsung, $SKHY & $MU sold out. Kioxia can only fill 40-50% of demand also per FundaAI. With some firms e.g. hyperscalers "begging" for supply (Digitimes) lol. 2. $SNDK investor day NAND market passes $300B in 2026 and $500B in 2027 (CFO estimates). Supply "tight into 2028". And ~80% gross margins guided through FY2030 = longer term visibility over margins = doesn't seem so cyclical to me... 3. U.S. urges $AAPL not to buy Chinese memory (WSJ) Even though it would've been for Apple's Chinese devices, it's good to protect Western incumbent pricing. Kinda removes the Chinese overhang from CXMT / YMTC where some had concerns they'd destory the market by dumping "cheap memory". 4. $MU ~$100B of min. revenue LTAs. Around 20-22% of that backed by prepayments, mainly to allow for Micron to expand capacity. Very abnormal (bullish) behaviour. 5. Samsung says shortage persists through to 2028 and gets tighter in 2027. Samsung are allocating 60-70% of capacity to LTAs, and also guided HBM4 revenue up more than 3x QoQ into Q3. I expect continued margin expansion for the most profitable company in the world...no slowing down.
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Nightmare king retweeted
I published the cybersecurity thesis 2 months ago. These were the results: โ€ข $QLYS +70% โ€ข $TENB +44% โ€ข $RBRK +43% โ€ข $S +52% โ€ข $CRWD +35% Not hype. Not luck. These were the exact names I flagged as the best positioned in the AI security stack. Most people will only see the chart after the move. The ones who read the thesis early are the ones sitting on it. This is why I keep saying it: Read every single thesis. Not just the ones that already printed. The edge is never in the ticker. Itโ€™s in the work before it. โ€” Outlier Capital
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You donโ€™t have to be a genius or copy โ€˜the smartโ€™ to make millions the next 5-10 years. All it requires is to ask 10 questions: 1. Who primarily sits on AI? OpenAI, Anthropic (Claude), xAI (Grok) and the emerging defense/space/government users. 2. What do they need to run? Chips from $NVDA and $AMD, primarily, with custom ASICs from the hyperscalers themselves. 3. What keeps the chips running? HPC/Cloud like $IREN $NBIS $WULF $CIFR $RIOT $BRUN datacenterโ€™s e.g. 4. Who invest in Datacenters and the AI buildout? $MSFT $META $AMZN $GOOG $TSLA and increasingly sovereigns + private capital. 5. What is the bottleneck that chips cannot function without? High-bandwidth memory (HBM) and NAND storage such as $MU and $SNDK.โ€จโ€จBoth are sold out multi-years out. HBM is one of the tightest physical constraints after power. 6. What is the single thing that stops clusters from scaling?โ€จ Moving data between GPUs/servers at the speeds and densities AI requires. Copper hits a wall, so photonics takes over such as $AAOI $COHR $LITE. โ€จThese are the โ€œlightโ€ layer that turns individual GPUs into usable AI factories. 7. Which large capital pools are being drawn in, and how? BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Apollo, KKR, Goldman are creating dedicated AI-infrastructure financing platforms. They are drawn in because the cash flows look like long-duration infrastructure (contracted power + compute leases) rather than pure tech risk, and the scale matches their permanent capital. 8. What happens when AI leaves the datacenter and becomes physical? AI moves from pure digital inference into autonomous platforms that sense, decide, and act in the real world. This is the shift to Physical AI and multi-domain autonomy Think drones, such as $ONDS, perception from $OUST. 9. How does space connectivity close the loop for AI systems, drones, and remote operations? Space connectivity closes the loop by linking AI systems, drones, and remote ops globally. $ASTS provides direct-to-device broadband so drones and edge devices stay connected anywhere. $PL runs onboard AI on its satellites and downlinks real-time insights. $RKLB provides the launch capacity + satellite platforms (and defense-relevant space systems) that make both possible 10. Where does the money ultimately flow?โ€จ From models โ†’ chips โ†’ memory โ†’ optics โ†’ power โ†’ physical autonomy โ†’ space infrastructure. Whatever is essential to keep this buildout going is what makes the most over the years. Final takeaway: Weโ€™ve all been given an INCREDIBLE life changing opportunity the next years, and few really understand it. The worldโ€™s infrastructure is changing. Not one layer. Every layer. AI is not a thesis. Itโ€™s LIVE and living. No need to predict which model wins. Just follow the physical dependencies and the bottlenecks that cannot scale quickly. The capital is already being forced into those exact layers. AI is sovereignty. Those who controls it, controls the world. Thatโ€™s the fight. Your welcome, onwards, -BP Not financial advice.
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Nightmare king retweeted
2027๋…„๋„ D๋žจ ๋ถ€์กฑ = D๋žจ ์ „์Ÿ ์˜ฌํ•ด๋ณด๋‹ค ๋‚ด๋…„์— ๋” ํฐ ๊ธฐํšŒ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•  ๊ฒƒ ๐Ÿ’ป ๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋ก  HBM ์ถœํ•˜๋Ÿ‰, 2026โ†’2027๋…„ ์•ฝ 50% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ ์ „๋ง โ€” ์ ์œ ์œจ 21% ์œ ์ง€ ๐Ÿ“Œ ์ฐจํŠธ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ใƒป๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋ก  ์—ฐ๊ฐ„ HBM ์ถœํ•˜๋Ÿ‰(์—‘์‚ฌ๋ฐ”์ดํŠธ ๊ธฐ์ค€): CY2024 0.11 โ†’ CY2025 0.57 โ†’ CY2026E 0.97 โ†’ CY2027E 1.46 ใƒป์—…๊ณ„ ์ „์ฒด HBM ์ถœํ•˜๋Ÿ‰ ๋Œ€๋น„ ๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋ก  ์ ์œ ์œจ: CY2024 7% โ†’ CY2025 ์ดํ›„ 21%๋กœ ์•ˆ์ •ํ™” ใƒป์—…๊ณ„ ์ „์ฒด HBM ์ถœํ•˜๋Ÿ‰์€ CY2027E ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์•ฝ 7์—‘์‚ฌ๋ฐ”์ดํŠธ์— ๊ทผ์ ‘ ๐Ÿ“Œ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ํ•ด์„ โ€” ์›จ์ดํผ ์บํŒŒ ์†Œ๋ชจ๋Ÿ‰ ๊ด€์  ใƒปHBM์€ ๋น„ํŠธ๋‹น ์›จ์ดํผ ์บํŒŒ๋ฅผ ํ‘œ์ค€ DDR5 ๋Œ€๋น„ ์•ฝ 3๋ฐฐ ์†Œ๋ชจ ใƒป๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ 2027๋…„ HBM ์ˆ˜์š”(์•ฝ 7์—‘์‚ฌ๋ฐ”์ดํŠธ)๋Š” ๋™์ผํ•œ ํŒน์—์„œ ์•ฝ 20์—‘์‚ฌ๋ฐ”์ดํŠธ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ๋ฒ”์šฉ DRAM์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜๋Š” ์บํŒŒ๋ฅผ ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํก์ˆ˜ํ•˜๋Š” ์…ˆ ใƒป์ด ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋ก ์€ HBM ๋งค์ถœ ํ™•๋Œ€๋กœ "์ด์ค‘์œผ๋กœ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ"๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋Š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ โ€” HBM ๋งค์ถœ ์ž์ฒด์˜ ์„ฑ์žฅ๊ณผ ํ•จ๊ป˜, HBM์ด ์†Œ๋ชจํ•˜๋Š” ์บํŒŒ๊ฐ€ ๋ฒ”์šฉ DRAM ๊ณต๊ธ‰์„ ์ง€์†์ ์œผ๋กœ ํƒ€์ดํŠธํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋งŒ๋“ค์–ด ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์„ ๋†’์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€์‹œํ‚ค๋Š” ํšจ๊ณผ ์ถœ์ฒ˜ : ํ…”๋ ˆ ์ฑ„๋„๐Ÿ’ป๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์†Œ๋ถ€์žฅ๐Ÿ’ป[๊ทธ๋กœ์“ฐ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜]
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Nightmare king retweeted
The humanoid and physical AI re rate is going to be violent and fast. Gonna be a fun one to watch.
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Nightmare king retweeted
SK Hynix, $MU , and Samsung have sold out of 2027 capacity for DRAM/HBM. $SNDK, Samsung, Micron current annual NAND capacity has been sold out, with Kioxia and SK Hynix expected to finalize allocations by August 2026. - Customers are being allocated only 60โ€“70% of the volumes they initially requested - industry insiders pointed out that 2027 will enter the most severe moment of memory shortage - Allocation amounts are mostly decided, but final shipment pricing will be determined closer to delivery Source: Digitimes, citing industry sources. Hard to see those memory "oversupply" claims in early-mid 2027 when they're all sold out of capacity already.
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Nightmare king retweeted
Reuters reported that Chinaโ€™s CXMT is considering building a second DRAM fab in Beijingโ€™s Yizhuang district, in addition to the new fabs currently under construction in Shanghai and Hefei. Including the Hefei and Shanghai fabs now under construction, CXMTโ€™s total capacity is expected to more than double from current levels to over 600,000 wafers per month. The proposed second Beijing fab is not included in that figure.
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Nightmare king retweeted
Most people pray for more money. Few pray for the wisdom to manage it. Thatโ€™s why some people become richโ€ฆ and end up broke again. Making money is a skill. Keeping and growing it is another. Itโ€™s never about how much you make. Itโ€™s about how much you keep.
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Nightmare king retweeted
Wow, a historic single day recovery. $SIVEF +30.89% $IQEF +28.6% $AEHR +26.53% $CIFR +17.82% $NBIS +17.3% $AAOI +15.6% $LPK +14.48% $AXTI +14.12% $MU +12.54% $SNDK +12.8% $SOI +11.1% $TSEM +10.39% $LITE +9.25% $INTC +8.22% $AMD +8.11% $MRVL +7.27%
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Nightmare king retweeted
๐Ÿšจ JUST IN: TETHER TO OFFER DIVIDENDS IN TOKENIZED GOLD Tether announced that shareholders will have the option to receive dividends in Tether Gold (XAUโ‚ฎ), expanding the use of tokenized gold as a payout alternative.
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Nightmare king retweeted
โš ๏ธU.N. SOUNDS ALARM OVER IMMINENT FINANCIAL COLLAPSE UN Secretary-General Antรณnio Guterres has issued an emergency letter to all 193 member states, warning the United Nations could run out of funds by July as President Trump moveโ€™s to cut U.S. funding.
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๐ŸšจTHE U.S. SHUT DOWN WHILE MARKETS WERE ASLEEP!! A "partial" government shutdown is now live after the House failed to vote on a funding deal. Lawmakers may fix it when they reconvene on Monday โ€” or they may not. Because it happened over the weekend, markets had NO chance to react. That reaction now comes Monday morning. Until then, markets open with headline risk. Hereโ€™s what traders will be watching at the open: โ€ข Futures reaction at the open โ€ข Volatility spikes from policy uncertainty โ€ข Risk assets pricing a longer shutdown โ€ข Rotation into Treasuries and safe havens โ€ข Missing economic data creating macro blind spots Historically, short shutdowns rarely crash markets. But they do increase uncertainty โ€” and markets hate uncertainty more than bad news. Because this shutdown began while liquidity was thin, price discovery was delayed, not avoided. Monday is when the bill comes due. Washington may be closed again. But markets never are. ๐Ÿ”ฅ
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Nightmare king retweeted
๐Ÿ’ฅBREAKING: $14 trillion BlackRock just filed to launch a Bitcoin premium income ETF.
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This is a beautiful introduction to #Bittensor by @Raleigh_CA Only takes 10 minutes of your time.. $TAO
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Owning $TAO is like having exposure to digital real estate inside the world of Decentralized AI. The next big thing in crypto is Bittensor.
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