Yuri Bundouri retweeted
1/ My Ukrainian friends no longer want to be told how resilient they are.
After recent visits to Kyiv, my second essay for the @EuropesFutures series looks at the costs of endurance, something Europe discusses much less than Ukraine’s capacity to resist.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
I am a member of the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
There are five of us. Five people, appointed by a parliament most of the planet could not find on a map, who decide, once a year, which human being the world has agreed to call good.
I know. I know. I think about it on the tram.
We meet in a building on Henrik Ibsens gate, a street named after a man who wrote almost exclusively about people discovering they are frauds, which nobody on the committee finds funny except me. There is a room with a long table and the portraits of the dead laureates looking down, Mandela, the Dalai Lama, a great many earnest men in spectacles, and one portrait we do not discuss, which is Kissinger, 1973, awarded while the bombs were still falling, after which two of our predecessors resigned and the satirist Tom Lehrer said political satire was now obsolete. We keep him on the wall. A reminder. Every family has the uncle.
It is October in Oslo, which means the sun gives up around four in the afternoon like a civil servant, and it rains the particular Norwegian rain that isn’t quite falling, just hanging there, judging you. I arrive with wet shoes. I always arrive with wet shoes. There is coffee, because this is Norway and there is always coffee, we drink more of it per person than almost anyone alive, and someone’s wife has sent kanelboller, the cinnamon buns, and we sit, five Norwegians, damp, caffeinated, sugared, and we decide the moral standing of the entire species.
Let me tell you how it actually works, because the world imagines a cathedral and it is, I promise you, a book club with a mandate.
287 nominations this year. 208 people, 79 organizations. Anyone can nominate, that’s the secret nobody understands: a professor, a parliamentarian, a former laureate, so the “nominee” list is meaningless, it’s a suggestion box, and every autumn some congressman nominates his own golden retriever and the press writes “SHORTLISTED.” Nobody is shortlisted. There is no short list the public ever sees. There is us, and the coffee, and the rain, and the portraits, and a Norwegian stubbornness that is older than the prize itself.
We read reports. The institute’s advisers write them, thick dull documents, and we argue. Our chairman told the BBC once that in the final meeting “there is a high temperature.” High temperature, for a Norwegian, means someone slightly raised an eyebrow and then apologized for it. We don’t do high temperature. We do a long silence, and then Kristin says “well,” and everyone knows exactly what “well” meant, and it’s settled. That’s our shouting. “Well.” You’d have to be raised here to hear the violence in it.
Now. This year. I will not say the name, because we never say the name, but you know the name.
A certain head of state wanted this prize the way a child wants a thing in a shop window, which is to say loudly, and in public, and with the full belief that wanting it was itself the argument. He said he deserved it. He said he’d ended eight wars, a number that grew most times he said it, like a fish. He had other heads of state phone us. Israel’s prime minister posted it on the internet, “Give him the Nobel.” The leaders of Cambodia and Pakistan announced they’d nominated him, as though announcing it were part of it, as though we tally mentions. A man flew around the globe collecting endorsements for a Norwegian committee the way you’d collect signatures for a petition to the council about a noisy dog.
And here, uff da, is the detail I treasure, the one that makes me smile into my coffee. The nomination deadline is the 31st of January. He took office on the 20th. So for all the phone calls, all the posts, all the gilded lobbying, the only nominations that could possibly count for this year’s prize were filed in the first eleven days of his term, before he had, by his own arithmetic, ended a single one of the eight wars. He campaigned all year for a prize whose window had shut while he was still hanging up his coat. We didn’t have to reject him. The calendar did. We just watched. Norwegians are very good at watching. We have long winters.
People think we sit there weighing his deeds. We don’t. That’s the thing I can’t make the world understand. We’re not grading his homework. We don’t owe anyone the prize for a ceasefire, however real, however loud the announcement. “He made peace” is not a sentence that ends in a medal, the way he believes it does, the way he believes every good thing ends in his name on it. The will of a dead Swede says the prize goes to whoever did the most for fraternity between nations. A dead Swede, I should add, who made his entire fortune inventing dynamite and selling arms, and spent his last years horrified at his own obituary, which called him a merchant of death, and so bought his way to immortality as a man of peace. The whole prize is one guilty arms dealer’s attempt to launder his name. We are, all of us, administering a dead man’s public relations. I find this clarifying. It keeps me humble. It should keep everyone humble, and it keeps, by my count, no one humble at all.
So who did we give it to?
An eighty-five-year-old woman. A judge. Born in Durban, under apartheid, granddaughter of a Tamil man who came to South Africa as indentured labor, a bus driver’s daughter from the poor Indian quarter, who became the first non-white woman to run a law practice in her province, who defended Mandela’s people when defending them was dangerous, who sat on the Rwanda tribunal and the court at the Hague, and who, at eighty-five, is right now a judge weighing whether a genocide is a genocide. When we told the world, our chairman said the rule of law “underpins the system we have set up to ensure peace,” and that “peace requires justice.” She wasn’t even in Oslo. She was in Nuremberg. In courtroom 600. The actual room where they tried the Nazis. You cannot stage that. God staged that, and God, it turns out, is a better satirist than any of us.
She did not phone us. She did not post. No prime minister demanded it for her on the internet. She had, as far as our deliberations are concerned, the one qualification the loud man could never manufacture, which is that she wanted the work and not the medal. The medal finds those people. It flees the ones who chase it. This is not a rule we wrote. It’s just the only pattern the hundred-odd years of our mistakes has ever shown.
The reaction from across the ocean was immediate. His spokesman posted that we “place politics over peace.” Ja. Perhaps. We’re five damp pensioners in a rainy city; of course it’s political, it was always political, it was political when we gave it to a sitting American president nine months into his first term for the promise of things he had not yet done, and we have been quietly embarrassed about that one for fifteen years, so believe me, we had a particular reason this year to prefer a woman with fifty years of verdicts behind her over a man with eight wars in front of him and a deadline already behind him.
Here is what he will never understand, the thing I’d tell him on the tram if he ever took one. We are the one prize he cannot buy, cannot post his way to, cannot have a friendly dictator phone in for him. Not because we’re incorruptible, nei, we’re as vain and wrong and human as the portraits on our wall. But because the entire point of the thing, the only power a small cold country’s book club has ever held, is that it goes to the person not performing the wanting. The moment you demand it, you’ve proven you don’t understand what it’s for, and proving that is itself the disqualification. He ran the most expensive campaign in the history of the prize and the campaign was the reason. He was never losing to Navi Pillay. He was losing to the concept.
It’s dark now. Four o’clock dark. The buns are gone. Kristin said “well” an hour ago and we all went home. I’m on the tram with my wet shoes, and somewhere across the water a very powerful man is explaining to a camera that the prize is rigged, that we’re corrupt, that he’ll win it next year, and he genuinely might, we’re only five idiots and we’ve been wrong before, Kissinger is still on the wall.
But not this year. This year an old woman in Nuremberg, in the room where the law once stared down the exact kind of man who thinks wanting a thing loudly enough should make it his, got a phone call she didn’t ask for.
That’s the job. We don’t reward the man who ends the war and announces it.
We reward the woman who spent fifty years deciding what a war was.
He’ll never see the difference. That’s rather the whole point of him.
Takk for i dag. I have to change trams.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
1/ A few words on the reasoning behind the forecast: US ISR warnings were delayed twice ahead of ballistic strikes (happened before) and reduced Starshield (not civilian Starlink) speed were likely warning following Zelensky's angry rejection of US proposals.
Replying to @BalazsJarabik
11/ Forecast: Kyiv will likely maintain its restraint on strikes against Russian refineries until the November US midterms, to preserve access to Starlink and ISR. Moscow continues striking Ukraine's energy facilities, but may calibrate the intensity of its attacks.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Zamieszanie wokół terminali Starlink na Ukrainie.
Od rana 14 pażdziernika 2026 r. niektóre ukr telegramy alarmują że "Elon Musk ograniczył Starlinki" w rezultacie miało rzekomo dojść do przerwania "wielu ważnych misji", jak rozumiem z wykorzystaniem dronów uderzeniowych. Temat zaczął na swoim profilu tg wczesnym rankiem były doradca byłego szefa MON-u Sternenko pisząc:
"Minionej nocy ograniczono działanie terminali Starlink. Łączność zaczęła zrywać się przy prędkościach przekraczających 160 km/h."
Następnie głos zabrał doradca prezydenta Zełenskiego do spraw technologii dronowych Sergij Beskretnow, pisząc na swoim profilu tg: "minionej nocy SpaceX wprowadziło ograniczenia prędkości dla terminali Starlink działających w ruchu. Obecnie ograniczenie to dotyczy pakietu usług wojskowych „StarShield” i ustala limit prędkości na poziomie 100 mil na godzinę."
Następnie post napisał znów Sternenko. Tym razem twierdząc że "Napływają doniesienia z wojska, że właśnie zaostrzono ograniczenia dotyczące korzystania z terminali satelitarnych Starlink przez naszych operatorów. Prędkość, przy której połączenie zaczyna zrywać, to 60–70 km/h."
Temat natychmiast podchwycił Financial Times. W artykule napisano tam o problemach z terminalami Starlink przy prędkości powyżej 160 km/h. Następnie o problemach z łącznością w usłudze Starshield poinformowało także dowództwo VII Korpusu Szybkiego Reagowania
Jednak później pojawiły się głosy że nic takiego się nie dzieje. Jula Kirylenko dziennikarka UP napisała na swoim profilu na tg w komentarzu do postu dowództwa VII Korpusu Szybkiego Reagowania "Informacja ta nie jest w pełni precyzyjna, ponieważ inne jednostki zgłaszają brak jakichkolwiek problemów." Natomiast jeden z obecnych tu X ukr użytkowników Starlinka napisał: "Starlink na Ukrainie działa, standardowe usługi pozostają bez zmian. (...) Jeśli chodzi o plan usług Starshield i zgłaszane ograniczenia prędkości, na tym etapie nie mogę ani tego potwierdzić, ani temu zaprzeczyć."
Warto zauważyć że osoby informujące o problemach ze Starlinkiem mieszają dwa typy usług, być może celowo. Usługa Starlink jest stricte cywilna i od końca 2025 r. jest ograniczona na terenie Ukrainy do prędkości 75-80 km/h. Natomiast usługa Starshield jest usługą wojskową zarządzaną przez Pentagon. To on a nie Musk decyduje o ewentualnych ograniczeniach w prędkości w której działają w jej ramach terminale. Ewentualne ograniczenie ich do 160 km/h nie powinno być aż takim problemem ponieważ ukr drony uderzeniowe FP-2 i AN-196 Liutyj i tak latają z takimi prędkościami.
Na ten moment zaczynam podejrzewać że mamy do czynienia z kolejną próbą wywołania awantury medialnej ze strony obozu Zełenskiego. Dosłownie dwa dni temu Zełenski i jego obóz polityczny oskarżyli Trumpa o brak ostrzeżenie przed wystrzeleniem pocisków balistycznych w kierunku Kijowa. Temat natychmiast podchwyciły i rozpowszechniły w sieciach społecznościowych ukr farmy trolli powiązane z ukr rządem. Jednak potem okazało się że uderzenie na Kijów rus wykonali za pomocą pocisków systemu S-400, który są bardzo trudne do wykrycia za pomocą satelitów ponieważ ich silniki pracują zaledwie przez 10-20 sekund, w rezultacie sygnatura termiczna jest niewielka. Wcześniej także nie były one wykrywane przez amerykańskie satelity.
Poniżej Ukr dron wirnikowy wyposażony w terminal Starlink.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
США пора подорослішати і навчитись ладнати з проблемами самотужки, не розраховуючи на те, що Україна і НАТО їх врятують. Якщо це неможливо - то варто було думати двічі, перш ніж вступати у війну з ядерною державою, з величезним населенням і територією
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Friedrich Merz wird jetzt also von rechtsaußen und linksaußen dafür kritisiert, dass er in der schwersten Zeit der Ukrainer nach Kyiv reist und seine Solidarität zeigt, weitere Hilfe ankündigt und Putin klarmacht, dass wir uns nicht einschüchtern lassen. Was genau wünschen sich die Kritiker der Ukraine-Hilfe genau? Dass Putin den Krieg gewinnt und dann Millionen Flüchtlinge auch Richtung Deutschland strömen? Dass ein militärisch gestärktes Russland nach einem Sieg weitere Länder angreift? Dass Diktatur über Demokratie siegt? Ich finde: Merz hat recht, dass er genau jetzt in der Ukraine ist!
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Replying to @BohuslavskaKate
I lived in South Korea for six years. I can explain...
The deal the South made with Ukraine is that they would take the North Korean POWs on the condition that it not be made public. The reason for this is that North Korea has a three generation purge policy. Any person in North Korea who commits any offense to the Kim regime is sent to death camps along with EVERYONE in their family up one generation, down one generation, and parallel on your generation. All kids, cousins, aunts, grandparents... everyone is sent to prison camps to die if anyone in the family betrays the Kim regime.
"Traitor blood must be purged" is the North Korean practice and everyone in North Korea knows this. Zelensky revealed that these two DPRK soldiers defected to the South so more than likely dozens of innocent family members trapped in North Korea were all found and executed. The North Koreans as make sure everyone (women and children) are tortured in horrific ways before dying. That is why the South Korean President is upset.
Given that Trump is currently blocking weapon shipments to Taiwan, ideally, so it doesn't go to waste, we could just sell it all to the Chinese. They were just looking for stuff to bomb Taiwan with anyway.
Trump asked Xi if China wanted to buy American weapons, US envoy says ft.trib.al/mWBFiWM
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Trump asked Xi if China wanted to buy American weapons, US envoy says ft.trib.al/mWBFiWM
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
I'm Dutch, living in the Netherlands and Russia killed 196 of my fellow countrymen.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Rosja zajmuję Ukrainę. Co to oznacza dla Polski?
Odcinamy całą pomoc dla Ukrainy. Zamykamy lotnisko w Rzeszowie. Ani palety, ani naboju. Tak, jak chce Konfederacja. Co dalej?
Jasionka stoi pusta. Przez Polskę szło osiemdziesiąt procent zachodniej broni dla Ukrainy. Teraz nie idzie nic. Ukraiński żołnierz liczy naboje.
Miesiąc szósty. Front pęka. Dziś mamy w Polsce milion Ukraińców. Chcieli mniej. Dostajemy drugą falę, kilka milionów uchodźców, w tym uśpieni rosyjscy agenci.
Po roku Ukraina upada i mamy 1160 kilometrów granicy z Rosją i Białorusią. Najbardziej doświadczona armia współczesnej Europy, która od 4 lat uczy się zabijać dronami staje przeciwko nam. A wraz z nimi największy przemysł zbrojeniowy Europy.
Duński wywiad policzył resztę. Po pół roku Rosja będzie gotowa na wojnę lokalną, a po dwóch - na regionalną.
Oszczędzimy na cudzej wojnie. Zapłacimy za własną.
A co zrobi Konfederacja w obliczu takiej sytuacji?
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Der ukrainische Präsident bittet Donald Trump erneut um ein Treffen mit Wladimir Putin, um den Krieg zu beenden.
➡️Es ist und bleibt eine Lüge von AfD und BSW, dass niemand mit Putin reden will.
❗️Im Gegenteil: Putin ist nicht an Gesprächen zu Beendigung des Krieges interessiert.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Is this you?
💬 President Vladimir Putin: Russia has no aggressive intentions towards European countries. We simply have no grounds for this.
We are ready for cooperation and for restoring relations with our European neighbours.
t.me/RusEmbUK/3883
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
🇺🇸 The New York Times рассказывает о встрече Путина с посланниками Дональда Трампа Стивом Уиткоффом и Джаредом Кушнером, состоявшейся 5 сентября в Кремле.
По данным газеты, Путин на переговорах демонстрировал уверенность в том, что Россия сможет добиться своих целей военным путем. Он заявил американцам, что в течение нескольких месяцев российские войска наконец захватят весь украинский Донбасс. Кроме того, Россия, по его словам, готова обрушить массированные удары на украинскую энергосистему, создав условия для крайне тяжелой зимы.
На это Джаред Кушнер возразил Путину:
"При всем уважении, год назад вы говорили нам ровно то же самое. Какова вероятность того, что через год мы снова приедем сюда, а вы опять будете говорить то же самое? Может быть, не стоит терять еще один год?"
Дальше: adagamov.substack.com/p/fe6
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Hi Owen, happy to engage on the merits of her statement here. Yes, there is corruption in Ukraine. I’ve actually disagreed with the government’s decision to sanction her, and I’ve been critical of the Zelenskyy government in the past.
There are legitimate concerns about silencing critics, and I know people who have been sent to the front because of believed or perceived actions against the government. That is bad. It erodes trust and confidence and should be called out.
But acting as though she is some lone, brave truth-teller exposing corruption no one else will discuss is deeply disingenuous. Western media has covered corruption in Ukraine extensively, across the ideological spectrum. Ukrainian journalists and independent outlets do the same every day. A simple search makes that obvious.
Of course defense companies profit from war and lobby for defense spending. That is not evidence of some grand conspiracy keeping Ukraine at war. The war continues because Russia invaded Ukraine and continues fighting while demanding additional Ukrainian territory it has not been able to conquer militarily.
If Yulia is advocating for Ukraine to give up territory Russia has been unable to take by force, then she needs to say that plainly. Don’t hide behind vague appeals to “peace.” Say what the proposed peace actually requires: Putin retains control of roughly one-fifth of Ukraine, and Ukraine is then expected to hand over additional territory in Donetsk that Russia could not seize on the battlefield.
That is not peace as some abstract moral good. That is a specific territorial concession to an aggressor, and it has consequences far beyond Ukraine.
If your principle is that a sovereign nation should be compelled to surrender its territory because another country invaded it and the war became costly, then you are hollowing out the very concept of sovereignty. By that same logic, it becomes difficult to explain why borders should be sacrosanct anywhere. You cannot spend years arguing that borders define nations and then suddenly decide that another country’s borders are negotiable because defending them has become inconvenient.
And we should be very careful about the precedent that creates.
There are striking historical similarities here. History does not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. Chamberlain also believed territorial concessions could satisfy an aggressor and purchase peace. The lesson of Munich is not that every negotiation is appeasement. It is that concessions made without changing the aggressor’s underlying calculation can simply buy time for the next act of aggression.
And frankly, I would rather hear a serious argument for that position than endless boo-hooing about “world peace” like we are answering a question in a beauty pageant. Everyone wants peace. That tells us nothing.
Tell me what you are actually advocating.
Are you arguing that Putin should retain the Ukrainian territory Russia currently occupies? Say so.
Are you arguing that Ukraine should surrender the remainder of Donetsk that Russia has failed to conquer? Say so.
Are you arguing that Ukrainians who fought and died defending those communities should now watch them handed to the country that invaded them? Say so.
Then defend that argument on its merits.
And conservatives should be especially careful here. We cannot profess belief in national sovereignty, secure borders, deterrence, territorial integrity, and the nation-state and then abandon every one of those principles the moment they become inconvenient overseas. Those values either mean something or they do not.
Peace may ultimately require painful compromises chosen by Ukrainians themselves.
But advocating a sovereign country surrender land to an invading power is not some morally superior position simply because you attach the word “peace” to it.
Surrender is not peace.
And we will have become profoundly morally confused if we start pretending those two things are synonymous.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
In the first half of 2026, military spending accounted for 44% of all Russian federal budget spending, a new all-time high. Links to the data below. 👇
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
About 40 mins ago a Russian drone — possibly a missile — hit the security services building in central Kyiv. A major rescue effort is under way. Real sense is of security in the capital deteriorating fast: new Russian precision weapons, and too few interceptors.
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Un été difficile en Ukraine 🇺🇦, en cause, des décisions politiques contestables.
Après un printemps bien géré par Kyiv (aide financière de l'UE, bonne situation au front, frappes réussies à l'arrière), l'été a vu un nombre de mauvaises nouvelles pour l'Ukraine.
🔸La décision politique de lancer des frappes contre les entrepôts russes de Wildberries et contre les navires commerciaux en Mer Noire s'est retournée contre l'Ukraine. En pleine période de récolte, les ports de la Mer Noire sont complètement coupés, bombardés constamment, tandis que les entrepôts et supermarchés sont systématiquement frappés, paralysant une partie de l'économie et de la logistique civile ukrainienne. Soyons clair, la Russie n'a pas attendu la campagne ukrainienne pour frapper les infrastructures portuaires et commerciales ukrainiennes, mais en réaction à celle-ci, elle mène une campagne de destruction complète de ces infrastructures, chose à laquelle Kyiv n'était pas préparé.
🔸Fruit du hasard, l'arrivée massive de nouveaux vecteurs en profondeur pour l'armée russe (Geran-4, Banderol, munitions d'Iskander et de S400) coïncide avec la pénurie d'intercepteurs côté ukrainien, permettant des frappes quasi quotidiennes sur la capitale Kyiv, mettant à mal les industries de défense et l'économie civile. N'oublions pas les décisions largement questionnables d'entreposer de nombreuses munitions (dont des missiles anti-aériens) dans deux entrepôts frappés cet été au nord et à l'ouest de Kyiv. N'oublions pas ensuite la frappe sur un salon militaire (qui était public et annoncé) qui a tué de nombreux experts/industriels d'entreprises de drones ukrainiennes (largement plus que le bilan officiel).
🔸Sur le plan politique, Zelensky enchaine les erreurs, avec le limogeage soudain de Fedorov (qui s'est lui-même complètement grillé et ridiculisé en demandant une élection et en acceptant un travail à l'étranger alors qu'il avait le soutien populaire), les affaires de corruption autour de Budanov et le refus du président de parler à la presse ukrainienne, alors qu'il répond régulièrement aux interviews de médias étrangers. Seule lueur d'espoir, la nomination de Mykhailo Drapaty au poste de CEMA, qui commence tout juste son travail avec la difficile mission de stabiliser la situation dans le Donbas en cette fin d'été.
🔸Sur le plan militaire, la situation s'est fortement dégradée dans le Donbas en août, bien qu'il est trop tôt pour parler d'une reprise de l'offensive russe au même niveau qu'en 2024 ou 2025. La situation dans le sud s'est améliorée et l'armée ukrainienne poursuit ses frappes de drones.
En 4 ans d'observation du conflit, j'ai souvent observé les changements de stratégie d'un camp ou d'un autre et les périodes de difficultés ukrainiennes. L'hiver prochain risque d'être très compliqué pour l'arrière (moins que pour le front, puisque l'hiver permet de mieux contenir les infiltrations russes), il faut s'attendre à l'afflux possible de centaines de milliers d'ukrainiens vers la Pologne et l'UE, au vu du risque de pénurie généralisée d'électricité et de chauffage.
Côté russe, brièvement, il faudra surveiller l'Etat de l'économie qui souffre particulièrement et l'évolution de la situation des raffineries, qui provoque des pénuries de carburant dans une partie du pays…
Yuri Bundouri retweeted
Die NYT kommt jetzt mit einer komplett neuen Story um die Ecke warum CIA Director Ratcliffe in Moskau war
CIA-Direktor John Ratcliffe besuchte diese Woche Moskau inmitten von Bedenken der US-Geheimdienste, dass Putin möglicherweise keine genaue Einschätzung des Krieges in der Ukraine von seinen eigenen Beratern erhält, so die New York Times.
US-Analysten haben in Frage gestellt, ob Putin vollständig über die schweren Verluste Russlands und die ins Stocken geratenen Erfolge auf dem Schlachtfeld informiert wird.
Ratcliffe soll diese Einschätzung der US Geheimdienste dem FSB-Chef Aleksandr Bortnikow übermittelt haben und Moskau gedrängt haben, ernsthafte Verhandlungen aufzunehmen.
Ratcliffe sagte Bortnikow, dass Russland in 18 Monaten nur etwa 1 % des ukrainischen Territoriums erobert habe, dass die Lebenserwartung eines russischen Soldaten an der Front weniger als 35 Minuten beträgt und dass die ukrainische „Meister-Game“ in der Drohnentechnologie untragbare Kosten für Russland verursache.
Er stellte keine Drohungen bezüglich Konsequenzen in den Raum, falls Putin Verhandlungen ablehnt.
Vor der Reise versicherte Ratcliffe seinen ukrainischen Amtskollegen, dass er russische Positionen ausloten werde, aber keine Zugeständnisse in ihrem Namen machen werde.
Der Besuch widerspricht Trumps eigener Charakterisierung der Reise als „Standardgeschäft“ mit „keiner Botschaft“.
Die NYT berichtet, es habe sich um einen bewussten Versuch gehandelt, normale diplomatische Kanäle zu umgehen, wobei US Beamte hofften, dass Putin, ein ehemaliger Geheimdienstmitarbeiter selbst, die Einschätzung eines CIA-Direktors glaubwürdiger finden würde als Nachrichten von den Gesandten Witkoff und Kushner, die von den Ukrainern als zu eng mit Moskau verbunden angesehen werden.
#Anmerkung: Mehreren Medien Berichten zufolge ist der FSB-Chef Aleksandr Bortnikow direkt nach dem Gespräch mit Ratcliffe für ein längeres Gespräch zu Putin gefahren. Welche Botschaft auch immer überbracht wurde, sie ist im Kreml angekommen. Als Ratcliffe zurück in D.C. war fuhr er direkt zu Trump ins WH zu einem Meeting an dem auch Hegseth und der Chairman des Joint Chief of Staff des US Militärs, Air Force General Dan Caine teilnahm.
Es liegen jetzt also min. 3 völlig unterschiedliche Berichte von renommierten US Medien über den „wahren“ Grund von Ratcliffe’s Besuch auf dem Tisch:
— Warnung vor weiteren (Hybriden) Angriffen auf NATO Verbündete „Rote Linie“
— Druck auf Moskau die Unterstützung des Islamischen Regimes im Iran zu unterlassen
— Putin über die wahre Situation auf dem Schlachtfeld in der Ukraine zu informieren um ihn zu ernsthaften Verhandlungen zu bewegen
#Schlussbemerkung: Ich glaube keine einzige Variante. Was wir hier gerade sehen ist eine mediale PsyOp aus dem Lehrbuch: Streue möglichst viele sich völlig widersprechende Geschichten an die Medien, so dass sich der interessierte Leser die Geschichte selbst aussuchen kann die er glauben will. Zusätzlich stellt der US Präsident noch vor die Medien und sagt, „alles nur Routine“. Sorry Freunde, aber ich beschäftige mich mit solchen Themen schon etwas zu lange um das zu schlucken. — Hier läuft ein Lehrbuchartiges „Cover-Up“ um den wahren Grund zum jetzigen Zeitpunkt zu verschleiern und nicht an die Öffentlichkeit kommen zu lassen, und dafür muss es einen extrem wichtigen Grund geben.
Ich bleibe dabei: Alle „Story-Varianten“ sind in sich nicht wirklich schlüssig, und keine einzige erklärt die plötzliche und ungeplante Reise von Ratcliffe auf die Weise wie sie stattgefunden hat. Ein Zusammenhang mit der völlig ungewöhnlichen und unangekündigten NATO „Air-Operation“ aka „Übung“ mit massiven Aufklärungs- & U-Boot Jagd Flugzeugen im Raum des RU Kaliningrad / Ostsee und vor der Küste von UK über mehrere Tage kurz zuvor, die ebenfalls als „völlige Routine“ beschrieben wurde, ist und bleibt für mich aktuell die wahrscheinlichste Variante.
Das Moto lautet: „Ein Teil dieser Antworten würde die Bevölkerung verunsichern.“





































