
all is vanity // head of trading @1kxnetwork
pandora's box
Joined June 2017
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everybody is talking about the global chip shortage but nobody is discussing the global rock shortage
we keep breaking rocks up into smaller rocks and at this rate someday there will be no more big rocks
what if everything is okay?
interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had
with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works
already-clean.goodfire.com/
yo uhhh hmmm
Replying to @karimhelpme
saw an art display yesterday of literally hundreds of bears. simulation things
karim helmy retweeted
does anybody know where I can trade cow perps? I have a statarb idea
For 5,000 years, one productive beef cow has been worth about one ounce of gold.
Mesopotamia. Rome. The Viking Age. The ratio held.
In 1926, a good cow cost $22. A $20 gold coin held 0.9675 ounces of gold. Almost exactly one ounce per cow.
Today, a young productive beef cow sells for $4,000 to $5,000 at auction. Gold sits around $4,500 an ounce.
The ratio has held for five millennia, and still holds today.
karim helmy retweeted
[joe rogan] so you're saying you've never been fed?
[domestic cat that was fed thirty minutes ago] that's right joe. i've never been fed in my entire whole life
[joe rogan] wow
























