Arbitrary reasons I believe the crypto cycle will be extended. (Note: This is pure speculation, hopium and based on my instinct which has no technical validity, this is just gut fundamentals) #1: Weak Ethereum all time high The largest "altcoin" in the entire space barely broke ATH and then went down shortly after. Currently Bitcoin, the LARGEST coin has more % return from the 2022 bottom until now. How on earth does the bigger, "conservative" and harder-to-move asset give more return than the most productive L1 in crypto? The new Ethereum ATH didn't even account for inflation since 2021. Touching the previous 2021 ATH for like 3 days is not breaking ATH, change my mind. #2: No Dogecoin all time high In 2023 we experienced a memecoin revolution and you're gonna tell me the biggest memecoin by far, Dogecoin, will not hit ATH? Dogecoin is a classic at this point. Doge was the most talked about crypto in 2021. I'm not pretending Doge is a relevant meme nowdays, but it was so fucking big it would honestly surprise me if it didn't reach ATH again and give all the normies a way of exit. #3: No Litecoin all time high Similar to Doge, Litecoin is a dinocoin that has religiously pumped on each altseason, this time around, it has not. It has hovered on the same $70-$120 range since 2022. Litecoin will forever have a spot in my heart because it was the first crypto I ever bought, I do not hold it anymore but I track it from time to time because it has been a good indicator of the cycle top for the last 2 cycles. I believe there needs to be a proper dinoseason before the cycle ends, Litecoin has been around for well over a decade and it's still alive. #4: Bitcoin broke ATH before the halving If you have followed the charts closely, you may remember that we were "ahead of schedule" for a long ass period during this cycle. People are saying an extended cycle is hopium, why would such anomaly surprise you when Bitcoin broke ATH before the halving even occurred, something that had never happened before. Every cycle is filled with surprises. #5: The suffering aspect of the cycle 99% of altcoin holders have suffered since Nov-Dec 2024, of course there are exceptions (as always) but for the vast majority this has been the case. The winning strategy in crypto has always been patience over anything, just hold, wait and buy the dips. We have lived through a massacre for the past year and to me, that always indicates that something big is around the corner. The best of life always comes with immense risk and courage. Altcoins look like shit right now, so many think they look like a terrible option. When everyone in crypto thinks something is a terrible option, it's not uncommon for it to have a "revenge rally". #6: The 10/10 liquidation event October 10th of this year wiped a LOT, and I mean a LOT of big players. I personally had like a 1.6x long and even that was liquidated. It hurt a lot but it made me realize that a "cleanse" was needed. Basically any type of leveraged long position was liquidated that day. To me a mass liquidation even was a symptom that the market was over-leveraged and a reset was needed. Of course this doesn't prevent people from using leverage again but the point is that we were getting greedy and the market punished us for it, this is a good thing. #7: BTD.d, ETH/BTC and OTHERS/BTC Bitcoin dominance has been going up since 2022, and at the second the market starts looking juicy, with a decent macro outlook, suddenly everyone is bearish? It's clear that altcoins are here to stay. It would be wild to think BTC dominance will simply climb into eternity. Plus it has been going down this entire massive BTC correction (???), what is that telling us? ETH/BTC ratio clearly bottomed on April 2025, so similar to point #1, you're gonna tell me that Ethereum holders survived rain and storm just for the explosion to be this weak? If the ratio has topped, then there is literally zero reason to hold Ethereum, because you're taking more risk than just holding Bitcoin and getting less ROI. To me that sounds idiotic. OTHERS/BTC ratio has been in freefall since 2022, it's basically the opposite of BTD.d, you're gonna tell me it's going down forever? It's hard to tell if this chart is bottomed but the 10/10 liquidation wick clearly touched the "bottom resistance" of the chart. #8: Metals and stocks are at all time high Gold, silver, S&P500 etc. are at all time highs. And right this moment, people start calling for a detachment from Bitcoin, they're saying Bitcoin is not on par with traditional assets as Bitcoin doesn't represent the same safety that Gold provides. If the traditional market is stagnant and Bitcoin goes up, they also call for a supposed detachment and claim that Bitcoin has won and is the only and most superior asset in the world. Each single time people think Bitcoin is either lagging or ahead compared to the traditional markets, that's an indicator that BTC is under or overvalued. A lot of stocks look really good, I don't see a reason why Bitcoin should look as terrible as some people think it does. #9: Positive macro setup, good or bad? Similar to #7 regarding BTC.d - Since 2023 we have lived the craziest memeseason that's ever happened, all of that while bitcoin dominance kept increasing and altcoins were technically losing value against the king. How is that possible? 2023-2024 was the MOST bullish period BY FAR of the cycle while macro signals were looking like absolute ass. Right the second the FED started cutting rates and the setup for 2026 started to look decent for the first time in YEARS, now people are bearish? Make it make sense. #10: Majority calling for a top and general sentiment This one is abstract and many people could tell you different answers depending on who you follow, but from my POV, a solid 60-70% of the timeline is calling for a top. Please point out a single time where the majority has called something, and it manifested in the charts exactly as described. It's not that easy. I think many of us can agree that this cycle has not experienced euphoria, so was the last bit of euphoria in 2021? Will that never repeat ever again? Since the top of 2021, things like the halving, stock to flow, rainbow chart and other models became super popular, which indicates that people in crypto (including me) became obsessed with predicting the next cycle top. When everyone is trying to predict what happens next using tools/models that "predict" or "indicate", things get harder. Everyone tells you that models are useless but suddenly the 50EMA being broken is now a 100% verdict indicator that BTC has lost its steam? This is not an exaggeration, I have never seen as many people calling for the death of altseason as much as right now. Many are convinced that a true altseason can't even happen again. Crypto influencers now tell you that the alt season is selective and only a few assets will be the chosen ones for the golden bullrun. What does that mean, is the majority correct? Should we all rotate to BTC because bitcoin dominance will just keep increasing forever and altcoins have no value? Everyone is lost in the end and no one knows exactly what will happen. These are just clues at the top of my head that tell me this cycle can get extended to 2026. Of course I want the market to go up, so these opinions are biased to what I want to happen, but also in a way, I tried to be objective with myself and tried to analyze the overall sentiment and what has happened before and relate them with basic rules of life like: good things are never easy. People often relate crypto with becoming a millionaire fast and easy, and honestly I cannot think that could but further from the truth. Crypto is something that eats up your mental state, requires a LOT of discipline, patience, consistency, virtue and if you quit being humble, you will lose it all. I believe the patient and those who have survived all of this will be rewarded.

Some takes about this Opus 5.5 thing 1. All the informative videos I have seen produced by this thing are (in my opinion) trash. The "Claude" vibe is too easy to recognize. Instead of videos, they look and feel more like an animated power point presentation, or a dynamic website. Anyone with video experience knows you can't just put info every fucking second and expect people to read it just like that. What am I supposed to look at, the flashy animation on the right? The text on the left? The micro text splattered everywhere? The text on each corner!? Of all these Claude videos, following what's happening feels impossible. The pace is not right, too much information + a fake feeling that I am actually learning something. 2. These Opus 5.5 videos are abusing some that makes them feel too artificial. Music sync. Music sync is something I use as a magic resource to make any video just... better. Syncing music with visual is a practice that can take your creation to the next level. Claude is abusing music sync, so it syncs the drums with the visuals and people who have no idea how video creation works, instantly think the video is just great because "everything plays just right". Yeah, it's basically AI abusing music sync with visuals and making it seem way more sophisticated than it actually is. I say abusing because it is. The feeling that *everything* is connected to the music is tiring after a while. It feels more like I'm watching some kind of Dance Dance Revolution recording instead of an informative video. Conclusion: If you are using simple prompts and letting vanilla Claude make all the creative decisions, you are an idiot and your video will look so fucking generic, repetitive, tiring, with bad pace and hard to follow. You need to pause every seconds to actually be able to read whatever slop Claude is creating. (Like I said, this should be a PPT presentation, not a video) My take it's that it's trash, these videos are too hard to follow, it's slop disguised as educational content. (Talking specifically about informative videos). Honestly, I've seen some stuff that's genuinely impressive, the way I would use it is ask Claude to generate XYZ animation or graphic and then import it into an actual human-made project. I do the same with Envato Elements when I need something that would take hours/days to make anyway. But giving Claude all the creative power for a video, just trash and ugly.

ethereum:0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933 Is something that will never be replicated. This frog token is 3 years old and it just continues to print INSANE amounts of volume every day since inception. It keeps printing THOUSANDS of holders on-chain. Listed on every imaginable exchange on earth. Literally built different. A million tokens worth peanuts are created every day, none will replicate what this mf frog did. Still blows my mind. Considering the volume history of this token and the verifiable non-stop demand of it, I am inclined to believe the job is not over and Pepe could surprise a big portion of CT, most of CT thinks Pepe is a forgotten 2023 coin that lost its punch. Pepe is just chilling there in the top 5 memecoin ranking for the past 3 years like it's nothing. The moment people calls it boring, that's when you inject your capital into this frog. ethereum:0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933 to 69bn

Advanced ethereum:0x76e222b07c53d28b89b0bac18602810fc22b49a8 TA You are not ready for what's about to happen (Joe coin will appreciate in price)

The social cycle we are experiencing will be studied.

how I feel walking into the next bull market after round tripping life changing money in 2024

250k on Instagram and 100k on TikTok for @joecoin_ Don't sleep ethereum:0x76e222b07c53d28b89b0bac18602810fc22b49a8

You know when people start saying shit like "$ZEC style run" to talk about other assets, that's the precise moment to keep top blasting $ZEC

For the past 3 years I have seen this at least 5 times, a new EVM chain launches, the first explorer that supports it is Blockscout and when everyone complains about it, Etherescan comes to the rescue lol