
Technical Storyteller @Rippling and writing about data, business, housing, and more @ https://xitter.cf/t.co/553u1SeQLU
San Francisco
Joined April 2009
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A big reason I went back to an office job: it’s a forced socialization mechanism where in-office is a feature.
It's incredibly difficult to just have these off-casual temporal relationships unless you love chatting it up with your barista or dog park buddies
I’m bearish on churning strategies like this because of consumer agents like Instinct / Muse.
Once you don’t have to remember to move money / cancel something on a particular date and the agents can fully automate these deals - the banks and businesses are going to stop offering promotions that are net negative
You can borrow $150,000 from Chase at 0% interest for 12 months, and on month 11 use American Express's money to pay Chase back so the 0% clock resets for another year
The banks have a legal name for this and somehow it isn't fraud
Every major bank runs a war with the bank across the street to steal borrowers with 700+ credit scores. Chase offers 12 months at 0% APR on the Ink Business Unlimited to pull you in. American Express offers 12 months at 0% on the Blue Business Plus. US Bank goes up to 18 months at 0% on the Triple Cash
When you pull $150,000 across a stack of these cards and put the money into inventory, equipment, real estate, or client acquisition, you have 12 to 18 months before the promotional window expires and the 22% interest rate kicks in
Most people panic around month 10 if their cash is still tied up in a deal
Rich borrowers open a second round of 0% business cards on month 11, or trigger a 0% balance transfer check from a competing bank, pay the first set of cards down to $0 before day 365, and push the maturity wall out another 12 to 18 months
The whole play costs a 3% to 4% transfer fee once a year
Think about what 3% a year for $150,000 of working capital actually looks like. An SBA loan takes 4 months of tax returns, puts a lien on your house, and charges 10.5% interest. Hard money lenders want 12% plus 3 points upfront. Meanwhile two trillion-dollar banks will pay each other off for 3% a year because their computer algorithms are fighting for market share
The catch is why 95% of guys who try this on their own get stuck on step one:
1. If you put that $150,000 on personal credit cards, your personal credit utilization spikes to 80%, your score drops 110 points in 30 days, and no second bank will touch you on month 11. The entire stack has to sit on business credit cards that stay off your personal Experian, Equifax, and TransUnion reports
2. The order you apply in decides whether you get $150,000 or get shut down at $12,000. Chase has the 5/24 rule and checks recent inquiries on Experian. Amex lets existing cardholders apply for business cards with a soft pull once the first card is open. US Bank and Wells Fargo look at different bureaus and give 3x higher limits if you park $500 in a business checking account 30 days before you apply. Capital One pulls all three bureaus at once, so applying there first ruins your file for everyone else
Get the sequence right and your LLC holds $150,000 to $250,000 of bank money that rolls forward while your personal credit score stays above 740
If you have a 700+ credit score and want my team to build and sequence your 150K-250K 0% funding stack for you, book a call using the link in my bio
jay retweeted
Remember when these people pretended to be “free speech absolutists”
Larry Ellison’s TikTok has shut down the promotional account for Alex Gibney’s Elon Musk documentary. theverge.com/tech/1013453/ti…
jay retweeted
EXCLUSIVE: Elon Musk came to Donald Trump with the plan to throttle Ukraine’s use of SpaceX’s Starshield satellite internet network, sources have told the Telegraph.
The tech billionaire made the proposal during the US President’s row with Volodymyr Zelensky over strikes on Russian oil refineries.
‘The reality is that they were both in it,’ a senior source said of Musk’s and Trump’s involvement.
But after a night of carnage in Kyiv caused by the slowdown, Musk was alarmed about the possibility of adverse consumer reaction in Europe.
The SpaceX boss then proceeded to tweet, blaming the US administration, and ultimately, President Trump for authorising the slowdown.
‘He tweeted out that he was innocent and that it was the US administration that did it,’ the source said.
jay retweeted
Yesterday, the Board of Education took an important step toward ending the public school lottery and giving families the certainty they need to put down roots in our city.
Starting in the 2028–29 school year, families will know which neighborhood public elementary school their children are assigned to based on their home address, while retaining choices that reflect the incredible diversity of San Francisco.
I am also pleased that this direction includes a commitment to ensuring our schools have the resources they need, so parents can feel confident that whichever school their children attend, they will find a welcoming environment where they can learn and thrive.
I want to thank the Board of Education and SFUSD leadership, including School Board President Phil Kim and SFUSD Superintendent Maria Su, for helping make San Francisco a city where more families can build their futures.
Wow people really stopped believing in meritocracy
Replying to @dvassallo
Daniel, you're conflating the engineers it takes to build AWS with the mid-wit code monkeys on H-1B in the IT departments of Walmart, Fidelity, and the rest. The latter far outnumber the former, and they are there for one reason: wage suppression across American IT.
One lesson I've learned with entrepreneurship is to invest instead of build.
When everyone was searching "keyword + reddit" my first thought was to build a Reddit reply bot for marketing.
Instead I should have just bought RDDT as the stock has since quadrupled.
The problem with building startups is that you don't know if the value goes to platforms, third parties, or customers.
For Reddit, everyone and their mom was also building Reddit comment bots. And eventually Reddit started cracking down on third party applications.
jay retweeted
I saw Jon Stewart on AI, and I found the case it made cogent, and interesting for everything it ignores.
- It starts from a POV of distrust towards tech in general
- The AI CEOs statements about AI being super dangerous becomes more stark from that POV, and quite concerning
- The statements about benefits, few and far between, are also extremely unspecific (vs like there's a 25% chance we're all dead)
- The benefits sound like pie-in-the-sky never going to happen stuff (cure cancer), or the existing ones as slop or job killers
- The real far out benefit (rich UBI) sounds exactly like socialism, also a fair shout
- This makes the CEO concern statements basically sound like boasts, which many are
- From the outside Dario vs Sam pov differences wash out, it all becomes "they want to self regulate" as Trump said. From their respective actions, I'm not sure this is wrong.
- So the net effect is, it's done by bad/selfish/weird people to gain power, it's highly dangerous, they're not interested in actually being stopped, they mostly sound disingenuous, it current causes mostly slop and job loss, and maybe in the future we might get some real benefits. Yeah that does sound bad.
It's an unfalsifiable series of arguments that plays well into an existing worldview of distrust and I'm not sure what the solution is, beyond the slow boring of hard wood to get through.
The argument against of course is that a) this is a nascent but powerful technology, b) it has caused ~0 actual real world problems, esp compared to every other technology, c) has caused no real drop in jobs or looks likely to, d) the chance of existential risk is unproven but is entirely hypothetical (not even theoretical) in both conclusion and path, and e) it's making the rich richer but also making our current lives much better.
It definitely seems a harder argument to make.












