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My developing thesis:
1. $7 trillion of profitable small businesses will change hands in the next 25 years -- 馃憢馃徎 bye Baby Boomers.
2. Virtually no one is focused on buying these sub $15 million businesses. Too big for an individual. Too small for private equity.
3. You can *still* buy these assets for 3-4x their annual profit. That's a ~30% year 1 return with no debt and no growth.
4. Most ambitious peers are trying to build the next billion-dollar company. There's a lack of sophisticated operators in this space.
5. Content is the flywheel. Sharing the journey publicly attracts proprietary deal flow, the right investors, and the best talent.
To be clear:
I am not the first to identify this opportunity.
Folks like @BrentBeshore @awilkinson @SievaKozinsky @XavierHelgesen are way ahead of me.
But hey -
I think we're in the 2nd inning of a 9-inning game.
There will be many winners.
Broker sent me a CIM this week for a content business doing $450k in revenue and $150k in gross profit.
Asking price: $6,500,000
Be careful out there folks...
Recent conviction:
I need to ask more/better questions.
As the business owner, my job is not to solve problems.
My job is to find and motivate great people to solve those problems.
Every time I proactively jump in, I toxically undermine their accountability.
Raising equity deal-by-deal is a suboptimal approach for anyone trying to buy multiple cash-flowing businesses.
You may lose a deal because you can't raise the money in time.
Your investors are concentrated in a single business, rather than a diversified group of businesses.
You don't have the opportunity to reinvest pre-tax profits into other businesses you own.
A single raise to fund multiple acquisitions is better for everyone, especially when buying volatile small businesses.
Every week I analyze hundreds of small businesses up for sale.
98% of them are garbage.
In time, I've learned to quickly filter out the noise.
Here are 7 simple questions to avoid wasting your time on a bad opportunity:
Focus here when reviewing a new deal:
- Revenue diversification
- Motive for selling
- Cash conversion
- Asking multiple
- Inventory levels
- Transition plan
- Key man risk
- Addbacks
In time, you'll begin to recognize what a great businesses looks like.
Thanks for reading. I hope you enjoyed this breakdown.
For anyone new to my writing, I share thoughts on creating wealth through buying (and building) cash-flowing SMBs.
Would love to have you follow along @itsDanny_V
If you acquire a business for 3x its annual cash flow, use no debt, and keep the business flat, you would generate a 33% year 1 cash-on-cash return.
4x = 25%
5x = 20%
Stop fixating on purchase price.
Instead, focus on your ability to mitigate risks and grow the business.
Seems like daily I get asked:
"I'm 23 and have $25k in savings. Should I use that to buy a $1,000,000 business?"
No.
Instead, go find a well-paid job working for someone you admire.
Learn to read a P&L, structure deals, manage people and save cash.
Jog before you run.
Bank debt is the #1 funding source to acquire small businesses (sub $1m EBITDA).
Unfortunately, interest rates keep climbing.
The days of using SBA loans to fund 90% of a deal are over.
You need to get creative.
Here are 5 clever strategies you may not know:
Rising interest rates may seem like a major obstacle.
But let me encourage you:
If you can get a deal to pencil in this environment, it's going to look that much better when interest rates eventually come back down.
Stay the course.
Hope you enjoyed that short breakdown on creative deal structuring.
If so:
1. Follow @itsDanny_V for more. I write about building wealth through buying (and building) cash flowing small businesses.
2. Like + Retweet the below to share with your audience:
Bank debt is the #1 funding source to acquire small businesses (sub $1m EBITDA).
Unfortunately, interest rates keep climbing.
The days of using SBA loans to fund 90% of a deal are over.
You need to get creative.
Here are 5 clever strategies you may not know:


