Capital flows anticipate market moves. They reveal the hidden strength and weakness behind every asset and asset class. Built by traders, for traders.
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PCE at 3.5%. F.E.D spot rate at 3.5%/3.75%. These were the flows across the category during the week.
All segments contracted, as expected, but one clearly entered distribution mode with significantly higher volume. The market aggressively liquidated Junk Bond. More on this intermarketflow.com/intermar…
Intermarket transmission follows recurring patterns. Markets ignore them—until they take center stage.
The spillover from bonds into high yield, utilities, and homebuilders is already underway. Small caps are a leading indicator today. More here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Interest rates change. Correlations change. Does your portfolio adapt? Intermarket analysis connects bonds, equities, commodities, and currencies to the rate environment—informing allocation, hedging, and risk management.
Current market drivers here...
Intermarket Flow retweeted
A falling stock is not automatically a buying opportunity.
In credit-dependent cyclicals, smaller companies are emerging as potential short candidates.
See how bond-market stress connects to their technical structures. Read our latest report here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Intermarket Flow retweeted
Rising rates compress margins at companies with weaker pricing power. The Russell is the first major index where it shows, but under the hood, sector by sector, this has been going on for a while — especially in cyclical factors.
$IWM is the tell today. Small caps sit at 270.89 on the lower band while QQQ rips 1.23% on half the usual volume. Funding stress hits small caps first, and I expect 269.50-270.00 this week.
Intermarket Flow retweeted
The indices aren't reflecting the reality of the market, let alone the economy. In my view, there's no rotation — for weeks now, all we've seen is outflows. Not risk-on, not risk-off. Just risk-out. Or hands-out, if you prefer.
Why this isn't a buy-the-dip market. Where the bond selloff is spilling into equities — and, far more important, which sectors are next in line after utilities and homebuilders, which have already been hammered. More on this here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
The indices aren't reflecting the reality of the market, let alone the economy. In my view, there's no rotation — for weeks now, all we've seen is outflows. Not risk-on, not risk-off. Just risk-out. Or hands-out, if you prefer.
Rising rates compress margins at companies with weaker pricing power. The Russell is the first major index where it shows, but under the hood, sector by sector, this has been going on for a while — especially in cyclical factors.
$IWM is the tell today. Small caps sit at 270.89 on the lower band while QQQ rips 1.23% on half the usual volume. Funding stress hits small caps first, and I expect 269.50-270.00 this week.
This is exactly the kind of news that sends this company's CDS higher — and the whole circle's with it. From credit to valuations, it's only a matter of time. Not much mystery here.
A falling stock is not automatically a buying opportunity.
In credit-dependent cyclicals, smaller companies are emerging as potential short candidates.
See how bond-market stress connects to their technical structures. Read our latest report here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
The bond selloff is becoming an equity story.
The focus: smaller, credit-dependent cyclicals, where financing pressure meets weakening demand.
Which setups are emerging—and how far has transmission progressed?
Read the report: intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Learn intermarket analysis in real time.
Institutional-level reports connecting market evidence to actionable insights on risk and opportunity.
Learn it. Apply it. More on this here.. 😎intermarketflow.com/capital-…
Ratio analysis tells a story—especially when combined with intermarket analysis and quantified through statistical and quantitative methods. Markets are not linear, and neither should their analysis be. Explore this week’s report intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Different assets do not always mean different risks.
Bonds, equities, commodities, and currencies can respond to the same interest-rate pressure. Intermarket analysis helps reveal when portfolio diversification is weakening. Real time reports here
intermarketflow.com/intermar…
Near all-time highs. Falling volume. Shrinking returns.
Major equity indexes have yet to fully reprice the yield curve shift. Now volatility is catching up.
Understand the disconnect—and the case for hedging.
Read our latest report →intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Markets can go weeks without much happening—until everything happens in one.
Bond stress. Deteriorating credit. Pressure on equities.
Learn how these moves connect and what they mean for portfolio risk.
Read the latest IntermarketFlow report here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
The transmission from bonds to equities is creating opportunities. This chart quantifies its progress—and the associated risk. Small, credit-dependent cyclicals are the vehicles for traders with an appetite for risk and a short bias. More on this intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
Small companies. Cyclical businesses. Heavy credit dependence.
That is where bearish opportunities are taking shape as bond-market stress spreads to equities.
Our latest report connects the transmission to the technical setups. More here intermarketflow.com/bond-mar…
