winds and the way they blow stuff around
Joined March 2009
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This is unsurprising given the proximity to the east coast (≈ 10 km), the huge increase in BTV-3 cases on the near-continent over the past month, and the recent warnings issued over the risk of airborne incursions into East Anglia, Kent and East Sussex gov.uk/government/news/chief…
Will Thurston retweeted
Bluetongue, a viral disease that sickens cattle and kills sheep, is spreading rapidly across northwestern Europe after it resurfaced in the Netherlands last year—and three newly developed vaccines appear unable to stop it. scim.ag/86f
How can you forecast the arrival of devastating crop diseases spread by fungal spores, blown 1000s of km on the wind and from countries in which you don't have knowledge of crop disease surveys? Use automated media scraping to generate proxy observations! rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.co…
Great work using the @metoffice NAME atmospheric dispersion model, led by @JacobwwwSmith with @imthursty @TJKrupnik @CIMMYT @cam_plantepi @MetOffice_Sci and Nepal Agriculture Research Council co-authors, under the ARRCC programme cimmyt.org/projects/asia-reg…
Great example of the care needed when considering Journal Imapct Factors: Massive drop in Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., from 8.9 in 2022 to 3.0 in 2023. Is it mostly due to the Dee et al. (2020) ERA5 reanalysis paper, cited > 10k times, dropping out of the 2-year citation window?
Yesterday in Exeter the temperature hovered around a chilly 12 °C all afternoon - despite us being in summer and the wind being southerly. However, this southerly wasn't bringing us air from Iberia or Africa - back trajectories suggest an air mass origin in Iceland or Greenland!
How do we at the @metoffice use NAME atmospheric dispersion model outputs to help @APHAgovuk and @Pirbright_Inst conduct surveillance and control of bluetongue disease? 👇
Bluetongue is an exotic notifiable disease in Great Britain, spread primarily by midges, which can threaten animal welfare and trade. Learn how APHA plays a part in controlling this disease: aphascience.blog.gov.uk/2024…
#aphascience
Latest qualitative risk assessment for bluetongue estimates a "very high" probability of a BTV-3 infection in livestock via windborne midge incursion to GB from the continent in 2024
bbc.co.uk/news/science-envir…
QRA written by @APHAgovuk in collaboration with @Pirbright_Inst and @metoffice NAME outputs assets.publishing.service.go…
More on our multi-agency approach to preparing for and controlling bluetongue from Defra xitter.cf/DefraGovUK/status/1787…
We are supporting farmers to manage the risks of bluetongue and other animal diseases, alongside @APHAgovuk and @Pirbright_Inst.
To keep up to date with the latest situation visit gov.uk/bluetongue
Important application of the @metoffice NAME atmospheric dispersion model:
science.org/content/article/…
'Officials in the UK [...] are worried infected midges will blow across the North Sea from the Netherlands. They are monitoring winds and modeling potential “plumes” of midges'
Really nice assessment published yesterday of the bluetongue situation to date in England, where 126 cases (119🐄 + 7🐑) of BTV-3 have been confirmed across Kent, Norfolk, Suffolk & Surrey, and wider Europe, where multiple serotypes are circulating gov.uk/government/publicatio…
Postage stamps: Postage stamps:
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On the radar today: new Weather Forecasting Stamps & Collectibles mark 170 years of @metoffice history ☀️☁️🌧️🌨️🌪️🌩️ ms.spr.ly/6015iIUp7
#WeatherForecastingStamps
#StampCollecting
#MetOffice170
#Weather
#MetOffice
Six+ years after leaving @BOM_au, something useful has finally come out of the years of CPU time and terabytes of disk space I churned through on the HPC (apart from the _many_ pretty animations like this)...
...thanks to Jeff Kepert and Kevin Tory picking up the baton, we now have a fast, physically based model of ember transport by bushfire plumes. Unlike the LES above, it runs in tenths of a second on a laptop, so can be used in operational firespread models authors.elsevier.com/c/1iDgH…
Will Thurston retweeted
Always good to work with @imthursty and Max Blake @Forest_Research - showing the power of interdisciplinary research in responding to invasive forest pests @cam_plantepi @plantsci @plantchief
Great to see a new biological application of NAME @Cerian_W @cam_plantepi
"Investigations and modelling using the Met Office dispersion model NAME (Numerical Atmospheric-dispersion Modelling Environment) by the University of Cambridge and Forest Research have shown that...