S. K. retweeted
The biggest misread of anyone predicting the end of software engineering was imagining that the world only needed a certain amount of software, and bringing automation to the field would reduce the need for labor.
Exactly the opposite is happening where essentially most things are actually turning into software. Because agents can use tools, work with computers, write software on the fly, and process data like humans (but far faster), we can now throw “software” at problems that never could reasonably be digitized before.
What that leads to is the role of engineering taking on greater importance in the economy, because we can now engineer far more systems and processes than were possible before.
If you’re a bank trying to do new forms of trading, engineers are often your first bet. If you are in life sciences, you expect more and more research and lab work to be engineering centric. If you’re in manufacturing, you’re trying to automate more of the supply chain, all that is engineering. More and more work is shaped like software problems.
Yes we’re not going to be coding manually in the future. But almost everything will be code, which means those that understand it are in a fantastic position.
Some observations about the "total" automation of software engineering:
1. There are more software engineers now than in 2025, and demand is growing.
2. Software engineers have never worked harder than they do now.
3. They largely don't write code anymore, agents write ~100% of the code.
4. The bottom line of the companies that employs these engineers and agents (i.e. the terminal purpose of all this code) is typically not budging as a result of AI adoption.
This is why you have to think in terms of systems. Automating one aspect of a system creates its own friction and moves the bottlenecks elsewhere.
S. K. retweeted
"Long-horizon tasks are still a joke. They do not work, and I do not care what anybody says. Do not show me a stupid evaluation. Do not tell me about some dumb script you ran for 48 hours. Long-horizon tasks are not handled well. They simply do not work."
- Chamath at Stanford AI Club
"2nd, complex problems also do not work. They are neither addressed nor handled well.
Why is this important? If AI develops like any other technology, we are going to experience an initial rise—the hype cycle. Then, we will see a natural contraction because, somehow and somewhere, something is going to fail. We are all going to see this, and then we will enter what is called the “trough of disillusionment.” I think the business and MBA folks will confirm whether that is true.
Afterward, you typically see the slow and gradual adoption of the real, final solution. This happened with the internet, and it has happened in many other cases.
The problem is that we are spending hundreds of billions, potentially trillions, of dollars trying to figure out how to cross this chasm. So, what do we do?
If we do not figure this out, people will reach the trough of disillusionment and say that AI was a joke. I think we need to be able to bring AI into highly complicated environments and make it work.
What is my solution? At a very basic level, you need a symbolic space that guides the embedded space."
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From "techniahqrobot" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
Eric Schmidt: If I could invest in only 1 AI theme, it would be long reasoning.
A model that can stay on 1 problem for hours/days is a completely different thing from a model that answers and stops, and most people still have not priced that difference.
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From "Blackstone and Eric Schmidt" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
Replying to @CyberDivergent @BillAckman @ViralNewsNYC @ORNL @ORNLComputing @DHS @intel @Bechtel @IBM @mattforney
I mean, there's nothing you can do at all. Zilch. Like I said, just a few more years and it's Sharia everywhere.
Stephen Miller’s speech at Charlie Kirk’s memorial was essentially plagiarized. See if you can spot the similarities.
The Storm is Coming by Joseph Goebbels (1932)
“So our dead comrade Horst Wessel wrote, and we are fulfilling his prophesy. The others may lie, slander, and pour their scorn on us — their political days are numbered.”
“They promised you, workers, citizens and creative Germans, a Reich of freedom and beauty and dignity.”
“People, rise up, and storm, break loose!”
“You are the witnesses, the builders, the will-bearers of our idea and our worldview.”
“Well, we the people have awakened! We have risen against oppression, 15 million people have joined in an army of revenge.”
“You, men, women and comrades, are the bearers, witnesses, builders and finishers of this unique people’s uprising… We have served the truth, and only the truth. For twelve years, they have insulted and outlawed and slandered and persecuted us.”
S. K. retweeted
Israel Defense Force headquarters being targeted, it is situated in a densely populated area.
They also placed missile launchers near civilians.🤔
Why is Israel using civilians as human shields?
S. K. retweeted
Scientists have been publishing climate models since ~1970.
A good way to evaluate their skill is to compare what they expected to happen in the years after the model was published to observed climate changes.
It turns out most models were pretty spot-on:
S. K. retweeted
The share of Americans employed by the government steeply dropped in the decades leading up to 2000, and has remained essentially flat since. A bloating federal workforce is a myth.
The envelopes and ballots are separated at the polling station. The same polling stations that tally in person votes.
Once the person votes in person, there's no way to track if a poll worker replaced that person's ballot with a fraudulent one. Derp.
Replying to @i_hate_intel @wiz_political
SK you really need to wake up, the argument you are trying to make is just wrong. Again, I urge you to do your own research. Wiki even has a page on international mail in voting. Something else you can look up is from 2005. Jimmy Carter (Democrat President elected in 1976) and James Baker co-chaired the commission of Federal elections and a report was issued. The goal was to maximize voting while being secure. To paraphrase the one most important line in the report.
“Absentee ballots remain the largest potential source for voter fraud”.
If people want to collude and cheat they will. Once the envelope and ballot is separated there is no possible way to catch it. - ok! I am out, I can only turn the light on for you. It’s up to You to open your eyes to see.
That was 1980. We are not 44 years later, right?
Explain to me where the mail fraud is exactly. In 2020, where's the mail fraud? Where are these scores of dead people vbm?
Of course you "mute" because you can't actually defend your points.
Replying to @i_hate_intel @wiz_political
SK you really need to wake up, the argument you are trying to make is just wrong. Again, I urge you to do your own research. Wiki even has a page on international mail in voting. Something else you can look up is from 2005. Jimmy Carter (Democrat President elected in 1976) and James Baker co-chaired the commission of Federal elections and a report was issued. The goal was to maximize voting while being secure. To paraphrase the one most important line in the report.
“Absentee ballots remain the largest potential source for voter fraud”.
If people want to collude and cheat they will. Once the envelope and ballot is separated there is no possible way to catch it. - ok! I am out, I can only turn the light on for you. It’s up to You to open your eyes to see.
S. K. retweeted
Here are some presidential bellwethers for your map-watching, as you figure out statewide outcomes.
PA - Northampton, Erie
MI - Kent
WI - Door
NC - Granville, Lenoir
AZ - Maricopa
NV - Washoe
Others
IA - Marshall
MN – Olmstead
VA – Radford City
NH - Towns of Hampton, Jaffrey
S. K. retweeted
This is amazing.
62% of Gazans support a 2-state solution, 19% support a 1-state solution with equal rights, and only 9% support removing Israel and having a Palestinian state from the river to the sea.
Gazans are way more moderate than British/American student protests!
S. K. retweeted
Since Allegheny is likely going to be one of the first vote drops on Election Night, consider these county numbers:
2016: Clinton: 56.55%, lost by 0.7.
2020: Biden: 59.6%, won by 1.2.
2022: Fetterman: 63.4%, won by 5.
The closer Harris is to 60% or over, the better her chances.
S. K. retweeted
Bookmark this:
Be prepared for a lot of surprising results on Election Night... many that no one was talking about
S. K. retweeted
🧵I’ve read through the evidence section—the first 85 pages—of Jack Smith filing on Trump’s private criminal efforts to stay in power despite knowing that he’d lost the election.
The evidence is stunning. It’s clear why Trump did not want the public to see this testimony.
13 things jumped out to me on Trump’s attempt to defraud the American people and steal the 2020 election.
S. K. retweeted
Watching this video you will go through a full range of reactions - from anger, to tears and laughter. Watch this.
S. K. retweeted
Unearthed video: JD Vance thanks Project 2025 leaders for their “incredible work” of creating a plan for Trump to ban abortion nationwide and cut Social Security
These lefties lie. In 2016, it was HRC only having $12 minimum wage, nothing to do with "genocide." You simply always find something to complain about. Hence, Dems move to where there are far more voters: the centre.
Enjoy being left out.
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