We simmed Blazers @ Lakers 5,000 times, every possession, real rotations 🏀
Basically a coin flip: Lakers win 51.8%. Most typical game LAL 112, POR 111
Dame at the Lakers is real: 28.2 PPG and 12-6 in 18 career games there, 39.9% from 3. Sim has him at 21.9 a night on a ~30 min load, 25+ in about a third of runs
Portland's on the glass too, 4th in offensive rebound % so far (only 2 games) after finishing 2nd last year
Simulated game, not a prediction
Called it, almost perfectly. If Saquon wasn’t injured it would have played out perfectly.
Javonte Williams anymore TD ✅
Saquon anytime TD ✅
Ryan Flournoy alt yards 50+ ✅✅✅
Tanner McKee over 200 passing yards ✅
I will continue to provide more info if this gets over 20 likes 👍
My MNF props slip, DAL @ PHI 🏈
Saquon Barkley o2.5 rec: needs a bigger pass-game role. 4 catches in 4 games, never more than 1 in a game
Saquon Barkley o13.5 rec yds: same story. 8 rec yds all season, but he's back and Philly is thin at WR
Tanner McKee o200.5 pass yds: 215 in his only start, vs a Dallas D that's 31st in dropback EPA
Javonte Williams TD: scored in 5 of 6 games, 7 rush TDs
Ryan Flournoy 50+ rec yds: the swing leg. Hit it once in 6 (90 vs TB), but 7 catches on 9 targets last week
My MNF props slip, DAL @ PHI 🏈
Saquon Barkley o2.5 rec: needs a bigger pass-game role. 4 catches in 4 games, never more than 1 in a game
Saquon Barkley o13.5 rec yds: same story. 8 rec yds all season, but he's back and Philly is thin at WR
Tanner McKee o200.5 pass yds: 215 in his only start, vs a Dallas D that's 31st in dropback EPA
Javonte Williams TD: scored in 5 of 6 games, 7 rush TDs
Ryan Flournoy 50+ rec yds: the swing leg. Hit it once in 6 (90 vs TB), but 7 catches on 9 targets last week
This is going to get no love or likes. But I will tell you the script. Barkley going to score first for the Eagles. He is going to have over 60+ receiving yards by the end of the game with over 100+ scrimmage yards.
Tanner McKee is going to look excellent all game.
Ryan Flournoy will be the top receiver with over 100 yards.
Javonte Williams 1 TD
Game ends: 30-28 Cowboys
My guess is the Eagles covers the +4.5 but Cowboys win.
My MNF props slip, DAL @ PHI 🏈
Saquon Barkley o2.5 rec: needs a bigger pass-game role. 4 catches in 4 games, never more than 1 in a game
Saquon Barkley o13.5 rec yds: same story. 8 rec yds all season, but he's back and Philly is thin at WR
Tanner McKee o200.5 pass yds: 215 in his only start, vs a Dallas D that's 31st in dropback EPA
Javonte Williams TD: scored in 5 of 6 games, 7 rush TDs
Ryan Flournoy 50+ rec yds: the swing leg. Hit it once in 6 (90 vs TB), but 7 catches on 9 targets last week
Chased the QQQ relief gap this morning and paid for it.
2x QQQ $727 calls expiring today at $0.27 = $54
QQQ had already topped about 25 min before we got in, then kept making lower highs
Sold both at $0.08 = -$38
Lesson: no same-day calls after a 2% gap unless it pulls back to VWAP and holds, or breaks resistance on volume. Small size kept the damage small.
Got a nice deal on a Rolex from France.
This is the picture of the package, it should be fine
🤖 Made with AI
Wouldn’t shock me if Auburn beats Georgia, they really do have a knack for beating #1s
We will see…
CPI came in hot and SPY had been sitting flat after a week of strength. Bet: news was going to move it hard.
5x SPY $770 puts expiring today at $0.14 = $70
Sold 2 at $0.30, 2 at $0.47, 1 at $1.35
= about +$219 before fees
Lesson: we sold way too early. It ran toward $1.75, and fixed small targets left money on the table. Same-day lottos bleed out fast, so from now on every trade gets charted and exits on chart signals and trailing stops.
Not financial advice.
UCL Matchday 2 card is set ⚽
Early window (9:45 AM PT): BTTS in Lens–Sporting and Sabah–Slavia. Slavia shipped 3 in their opener and Sabah need goals after a 4-0 loss.
Late window (12 PM PT): Arsenal ML (Lille have lost 8 straight away vs English sides), Saka anytime, Atleti ML, Gala–Barca o2.5 (Barça put 5 on MD1), Inter ML, Saibari score or assist, Olise anytime. Saibari's starting at the 10 with Musiala out.
9 picks, 1u each. Let's eat.











