Henrik Sigstad retweeted
HOW TO REFORM ECON REFEREEING WITH AI
Frontier AI is clearly extremely useful in the review process, but it should be done right. The right model is not that all referees ask ChatGPT to point out strengths and weaknesses of the paper. (The point of asking human referees is to get their human judgement.) The right model is something along these lines (helpfully illustrated by Astra in the flowchart):
1. If the editor plans to send the paper out for review, they first generate a frontier AI report (e.g. using a modified version of my open source paper reviewer. I think open source is nice here because the journal can modify it to their purposes.)
2. The authors then get the AI report back from the journal and are given the opportunity to provide comments, explain how they plan to address the points in the report (if they agree with them), and push back on any points they disagree with.
3. The journal then sends out the initial manuscript, the AI-generated frontier report, and the response from the authors.
This makes everything constructive and avoids cheap duplication of AI efforts as well as removing the incentives of referees to suggest comments that most good AI systems are likely to flag in any case. The next extension should be to require authors to submit a full replication package with code and data at the submission stage to check consistency between the paper, code, data, and reported results.
Henrik Sigstad retweeted
I’m really excited about this paper! Some of my work has pointed out problems in empirical work, but this one is all about new 🔧s.
If you (or your referees) want to know about the mechanisms by which a treatment affects an outcome, you may be interested. A 🧵.
Want to know about the mechanisms by which a treatment affects an outcome? This paper develops tools for testing hypotheses about mechanisms under weak assumptions. Check it out!
New paper by @jondr44 and Kwon:
restud.com/testing-mechanism…
#REStud
#EconX
#EconTwitter
A possibly useful resource for people working on empirical papers in Brazil: github.com/hsigstad/brazil-i…
A reference on the legal and political institutions — courts, procedure, MP, elections, procurement, corruption statutes — and how they work in practice.
Includes pointers to where Brazilian institutional data lives. Feel free to fork and ask Claude Code to extend the repo to your area.
Henrik Sigstad retweeted
If you're feeling a bit down about social science after that Nature article, consider the new approach to econometrics we outline in this paper. There's lots of valuable work to be done to reduce the problem.
Excited to share a new paper with @jfischman, just accepted at JEL.
We argue that empirical research tends to be biased and overconfident due to a weakness in the dominant econometric framework: insufficient attention paid to humans “in the loop” with the research process. 1/
Henrik Sigstad retweeted
📢New paper: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐚 𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐨𝐫𝐧: 𝐁𝐫𝐚𝐳𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡, 𝟏𝟓𝟕𝟒–𝟏𝟗𝟐𝟎.
Joint with @glambais.
We built the first long-run GDP per capita series for Brazil, using 30,000+ archival price and wage observations across major regions🧵
Henrik Sigstad retweeted
Paul G-P (@paulgp), Michal Kolesár, and I have a new guide to leniency designs (aka judge/examiner IVs), prepared for the JEP
The bottom line? Keep calm and UJIVE on!
Os tribunais são essenciais para eleições livres, mas candidatos podem usar ações judiciais para difamar oponentes ou desacreditar a eleição. Em novo artigo com @glambais & Moya Chin, apresentamos um estudo sistemático sobre ações eleitorais nas eleições municipais do Brasil.
Devemos restringir o acesso aos tribunais eleitorais para evitar abusos? Provavelmente não—os tribunais são vitais para a integridade eleitoral. Mas regras como sucumbência, multas por litigância de má-fé e a limitação de ações pré-eleitorais podem conter processos infundados.
Veja o artigo completo para mais detalhes: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.…
Courts ensure fair elections, but electoral lawsuits can also be used to attack opponents or discredit the process. For instance, none of the 400+ lawsuits filed before the 2020 U.S. election succeeded in court, and the most recent election saw a similar number of cases.
Should access to electoral courts be restricted to curb abusive lawsuits? Probably not—they're essential for election integrity. But policies like loser-pays rules, fines for bad-faith cases, or limits on certain pre-election filings could help reduce frivolous lawsuits.












