@horvick

DHM Research, Senior Vice President Also at @OregonAt100 for daily news from the past

 Portland, Oregon
dhmresearch.com
Joined October 2009
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The 20 Oregon cities with the most registered Republicans.
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10,749
They are a significant minority, but there are some registered Republicans and Republican voters in Portland. Current registered Republicans: ~32,300 2022 Drazan votes: ~46,300 2024 Trump votes: ~42,700
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1,225
In the Oregon 2022 general election, this is how the total number of registered voters compared to ballots cast by age and party.
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10
7,739
The top issues for Oregon voters in the 2026 election have changed since 2022. In 2022, crime was much more salient. Here are the total number of reported crimes in Oregon from 2020 to 2026, which helps explain why.
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542
National turnout by age in midterm elections: 1966 to 2022
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413
John Horvick retweeted
John Horvick@horvickMar 23
The relationship between college attainment and the democratic vote in Oregon gubernatorial elections by county: 1970 to 2022
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406
History of Oregon gubernatorial election results by county.
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39,318
Nonaffiliated voters are growing in Oregon, but most voters are still Democrats or Republicans. These maps show the change in Democratic registration advantage among Ds and Rs, by county, 2022 general to October 2026, in percentage points (left) and voters (right).
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3,569
Morning Consult's gov favorability numbers are always way, way, way more positive than any other polls. So take the individual numbers with a heap of salt. However, in comparison among governors seeking re-election, Tina Kotek has the lowest approval rating. And by quite a lot.
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Oct 12
Morning Consult poll | Q3 2026 US governors seeking re-election in 2026 (approval, net) 🟦Josh Green (HI) +36 🟥Phil Scott (VT) +35 🟦Maura Healey (MA) +32 🟦Josh Shapiro (PA) +31 🟥Brad Little (ID) +28 🟦Wes Moore (MD) +25 🟦Ned Lamont (CT) +23 🟥Larry Rhoden (SD) +21 🟦Katie Hobbs (AZ) +19 🟦JB Pritzker (IL) +19 🟦Kathy Hochul (NY) +18 🟥Joseph Lombardo (NV) +17 🟥Kelly Ayotte (NH) +14 🟥Jim Pillen (NE) +13 🟥Sarah Huckabee Sanders (AR) +11 🟥Greg Abbott (TX) +10 🟦Tina Kotek (OR) +1
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1,217
Party registration share for Oregon's 60 House of Representatives districts.
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577
8.2 points would be the largest margin since 1998 and the third largest margin since the Democratic streak started in 1986. 2022 +3.4 2018 +6.4 2016 +7.2 2014 +5.8 2010 +1.5 2006 +8.0 2002 +2.9 1998 +34.4 1994 +8.5 1990 +5.8 1986 +4.0
VoteHub
@VoteHubOct 11
RACE RATING CHANGE: Oregon Governor Likely D → Lean D Gov. Tina Kotek remains favored to win re-election, but our model’s projected margin continues to narrow, now Kotek +8.2. Significant uncertainty remains due to limited polling in the race.
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Updated Oregon voter registration numbers are out today. Here are the monthly changes. Total +15,312 Democrat +7,241 Non-affiliated +2,840 Republican +2,786 Ind. Party of Oregon +1,588 Other +857
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The Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finances is out today. This every-3-year report shows the inflation-adjusted net worth of Americans. The median family net worth is $216k, the highest ever.
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By education
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Source federalreserve.gov/econres/s…
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Updated consumer sentiment numbers are out today from the University of Michigan. Here are the monthly changes. Democrat 37.3 (+1.7) Independent 38.9 (-8.8) Republican 84.0 (+6.8)
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2,102
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Future expectations.
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Consumer sentiment rating difference of Independents from Democrats and Republicans
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