Stocks | ETFs | Funds | SMSFs Unleash the investor within. #Onwards
Sydney, Australia
Joined February 2017
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Stoked you could join us @ASX__Trader
Pretty cool seeing this pop up as a notification from @hellostake.
I was recently featured in Stake’s “What I’m Trading” series, where I got to share a bit more of the story behind how I ended up in markets.
We covered everything from how fantasy sports originally pushed me towards a data-driven approach to investing, to my early mistakes in crypto, the lessons those mistakes taught me, how being a teacher shaped the way I analyse markets, and eventually how Mastering the Markets came about.
We also got into what I’m watching right now, particularly commodities and energy, and why I think understanding the bigger market cycle matters so much.
One thing I really enjoyed about this was that it wasn’t just about winning trades.
Some of the biggest lessons I've learned came from getting things completely wrong.
Markets have taught me a lot over the years, but probably the biggest lesson is this:
Don’t outsource your decision-making.
Learn how to read the evidence, build your own process and make your own decisions.
That’s ultimately what I love teaching today.
Thanks to the team at Stake for featuring my story and apparently sending me into everyone’s notifications.
You can read the full story in the comments.
Here we go again...
The RBA has raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%. In case you were wondering, that's its highest level in 15 years.
Tomorrow we get a read on inflation and a glimpse at whether there's more to come. The CPI was 3.5% in July and our central bank wants it at 2-3%.
Can $PLS.AX ride the new lithium cycle?
We put PLS Group under the spotlight ⬇️
hellostake.com/au/blog/under…
Another week, another set of monster earnings. The stories impacting your portfolio this week 📈👀
1. Nvidia $NVDA reports on Wednesday, giving investors a read on the health of the AI sector. Analysts expect Q2 revenue of US92.1B and EPS of US$2.09.
2. Several other major U.S. firms are also reporting this week. CrowdStrike $CRWD, Salesforce $CRM and Agilent $A report on Wednesday, while Marvell $MRVL reports on Thursday.
3. Global bond yields surged last week, pushing the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield to its highest level since 2007 and adding pressure to stocks and borrowing costs.
4. ASX reporting season continues, with Woodside Energy $WDS.AX, Coles $COL.AX, Woolworths $WOW.AX, WiseTech $WTC.AX, Scentre Group $SCE.AX and DroneShield $DRO.AX reporting this week.
5. We’ll also get a read on the health of the U.S. economy, with July’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) report out Wednesday. It’s the Fed’s preferred inflation measure these days.
The stories impacting your portfolio this week 📈
1. Another week of U.S. earnings ahead. Home Depot ( $HD ) reports on Tuesday, followed by Analog Devices ( $ADI ) on Wednesday and Walmart ( $WMT ) and Alibaba ( $BABA ) on Thursday.
2. Oil is climbing as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed over the weekend as tanker attacks continued. It follows Donald Trump's threat to declare the Strait a U.S. territory on Friday.
3. China’s data dump. Retail sales, industrial production, fixed-asset investment, house prices and FDI data arrive today. These give a useful health check on the world's second biggest economy.
4. ASX reporting season continues, with CSL ( $CSL.AX ), BHP ( $BHP.AX ), JB Hi-Fi ( $JBH.AX ), a2Milk( $A2.AX ), NAB ( $NAB.AX ), BlueScopeSteel ( $BSL.AX ) and Lendlease ( $LLC.AX ) reporting this week.
5. U.S. Fed minutes. The Fed held rates in July, but three policymakers voted in favour of a hike. Investors will be looking for how divided the committee really is in minutes released Wednesday.
Nebius $NBIS rallies 34% after crushing Q2 earnings.
Revenue: US$582M (+454% YoY)
EPS: -US$0.12 (beat analyst estimates of -US$0.82)
Adjusted EBITDA: turned positive at US$236.2M (up from a US$21.0M loss a year earlier)
ARR: US$3B as of end of June
“We could sell our entire 2027 capacity on these terms today. We are deliberately not doing so because we see higher value in retaining some capacity for immediate customer needs,” CEO Arkady Volozh.
Name this stock 👀
It started as a glitch in the Race'n'Chase game that made the police try to ram the player's car off the road.
Game developers turned the bug into one of the most popular video game franchises of all time. The series has made US$10.38B for the company behind it, and in Q4, it reported US$1.68B in revenue.
Here's what's impacting your portfolio this week 📈:
1. Oil prices have fallen more than 5% Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump paused strikes on Iran over the weekend. Tehran has also halted retaliatory attacks in response.
2. Fresh tariffs: Australia has been hit with a new tariff of 12.5% on exports to the U.S. The tariffs, which came into force last Friday, impact 60 trading partners, including the EU and China.
3. U.S. earnings: Tech giants Apple ($AAPL), Amazon ($AMZN), Microsoft ($MSFT) and Meta ($META) deliver results this week. Visa ($V) and Coca-Cola ($KO) also report company earnings.
4. Fed meeting: The U.S. Federal Reserve will meet this week to decide whether to raise interest rates. Markets are pricing in a 70% chance that rates will remain steady.
5. Australia's CPI: Australia's core inflation data for June will be released this Wednesday. In the 12 months to May, the CPI rose 4.0%, with the biggest contributors housing, food and transport.
The big stories impacting your portfolio this week 📈:
1. Middle East conflict: Brent crude oil prices rose above US$90/barrel on Monday as conflict escalated in the Middle East and US forces conducted new strikes against Iran over the weekend.
2. Semiconductor rout: The PHLX Semiconductor Sector is now in a bear market, having fallen more than 20% from the June peak.
3. Wall St earnings: Alphabet ($GOOGL), Tesla ($TSLA) and $IBM and $INTC are reporting earnings this week 👀
4. ECB meeting: The European Central Bank meets on Thursday. It's expected to hold rates steady, but investors will be listening for signals that another increase could come in September.
5. Global economic data: Flash manufacturing and services PMIs for the U.S., Europe and the U.K. arrive on Friday, providing an early read on business activity as higher oil prices renew inflation concerns.
Name the stock: This SaaS giant rose to prominence after its ‘No Software’ campaign that mimicked a ’No Smoking’ sign. The idea was to champion software that ran on a web browser, hosted on external servers, which became the default industry standard. In Q1, the company reported US$11.13B in revenue, but its share price is down 30% YTD.
The big stories impacting your portfolio this week:
1. Middle East conflict: U.S. stock futures edged up on Sunday despite renewed attacks in the Middle East. Crude oil futures (WTI) rose 1.1% to US$70.
2. U.S. jobs report: This headline report on 2 July is critical ahead of the July Fed meeting. Economist expect payrolls will have increased by 135,000, down from 172,000 in May.
3. Wall St earnings: Nike's ($NKE) Q4 earnings drop after market close on 30 June. Analysts expect US$10.8B in revenue. The report will reflect unanticipated gains from tariff refunds.
4. RBA meeting minutes: The RBA releases the minutes of its Monetary Policy Board meetings at 11:30am AEST on 30 June. It will reflect the Board's thinking after its decision to hold rates at 4.35%.
5. U.S. market closed 3 July: Investors brace for a shortened trading week as the U.S. markets will be closed on 3 July in observance of Independence Day.
Trade teaser: The world’s largest home improvement retail company was created for revenge. After the founders were suddenly fired from Handy Dan in the 70’s, they built their own and eventually put their former employer out of business. The company reported US$41.77B in Q1 2026 revenue. Name that stock.
In 2022, $MU had lost 47% of its value after pandemic-era PC and smartphone demand collapsed. Buried in its Q4 2022 earnings release was a footnote that Micron had ‘updated’ its strategy to focus on the data centre market. A bet that paid off as memory became a critical bottleneck for AI infrastructure players.
