@halhod

Americas editor @theeconomist

london
Joined September 2010
Replying to @halhod
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Check out our RSI data transparency tracker! Current scores: OAI (2/8), Ant (1.5/8), GDM (0.5/8) Hoping the labs will hill-climb this as fast as they have every other benchmark :) This is based on our recent econ of RSI paper @ElasticityInst 1/2
[1/5] The 8 most valuable data points labs should share to help measure RSI: First, RSI would likely accelerate growth in AI capabilities. Thus, companies should report performance on diverse benchmarks for the latest internally deployed models.
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At last, Haiti has some hope. Aggressive policing is weakening gangsters' control. THE KIDNAPPING was to take place in the busy middle-class neighbourhood of Delmas in Port-au-Prince, Haiti's capital. #haiti
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Roger rules the waves...
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hal 👾 retweeted
Absolutely brilliant column from @duncanrobinson this week.
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"Kristi Noem, the secretary of homeland security, and Greg Bovino, who commanded in Minneapolis, have blatantly lied. They should be fired." economist.com/leaders/2026/0…
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Carney's Davos speech really cut through domestically
With just over 1,800 interviews complete (Jan 22-25), we see a big jump in favourables for @MarkJCarney. HIghest we have measured since we started tracking. Survey finishes tomorrow likely and results out later this week. #cdnpoli
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any thoughts @tomhfh ?
BREAKING: Natural gas prices rise another +25% and post their largest 2-day gain in history as an “arctic blast” sweeps across the US. Natural gas prices are now up +60% in 2 days.
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Still one of the funniest charts ever made
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"EXCLUSIVE" @globeandmail except for when The Economist wrote about it two weeks ago
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great thread
This statement by @nytimes is factually incorrect. The vast majority of Caracas residents didn't lose power on January 3rd, not even "for a few minutes". This can be verified through publicly available data, videos of the attack, and testimonies from people on the ground. 🧵
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i presume @tomhfh al are now huge supporters of AR7 as it will see wind turbines built and operated for cheaper than the price of electricity
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hal 👾 retweeted
Listen here for more on what Venezuelan's think about Maduro's capture, Delcy Rodriguez and the future of the country in this @TheEconomist podcast, drawing on our polling with @premisedata (no paywall) economist.com/podcasts/2026/…
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Andrew (willfully?) ignores: 1) wind cuts wholesale prices by pushing gas off the grid. if AR7 had been online last year average wholesale prices would have been 11% lower ie £72/mwhr 2) gas prices can go up! this just happened. it sucked Andrew wants to lock the UK into that?
You have no idea what you’re talking about. Like ministers. The £147/MWh for gas is an out of date assessment. Latest (2025) figure is £107/MWh. But much of that includes the carbon tax government slaps on gas. A policy choice which could easily be reversed. Strip that out and the cost of gas is £64/MWh. Less than offshore wind, whose price you quote does not include all the grid upgrades required to carry renewables at scale. Add another £32/MWh. Your welcome. Thank for your attention to this matter.
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and that's before you get into the costs of ending carbon tax after the UK has paid all the implementation costs
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wild that Trump calls Delcy a "terrific person" when she's been running cover for a brutal regime for years here she is with Al Jazeera in Sept 2017, right after the most vicious crackdowns in chavismo history none of this was true. and she wasn't even asked about the torture
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a) after inflation this round is 10% more expensive than the previous round. is that "way up"? idk b) but more importantly: what is your alternative @afneil? the uk needs new generation. building things is expensive for lots of reasons
The cost of building offshore wind farms has also soared. Which explains why the government has agreed for the latest ones to have a strike price of £91/MWh — way up on previous round of offshore licences — and to index link that price for 20 years!! Requires a couple of billion in annual subsides from taxpayer/electricity users to Big Green, in this case Germany’s RWE is by far the main benefactor of state largess. It also locks in high electricity prices for the foreseeable future (current wholesale electricity price is a little over £75/MWh). So much for more renewables = lower electricity prices. ‘Wind gets cheaper and cheaper’ is a fantasy. If it was true there would be no need for such a high index-linked strike price or multi-billion pound subsidies.
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even if you scrapped carbon tax entirely, new gas plants would cos around the same as this because they'd operate at low load factors. then you'd be leaving the uk exposed to gas prices swings for the rest of time and you would lose wind build out learning curve benefits
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