Professional: Foresight & Horizon Scanning | Research: #resilienceforesight, #criticalinfrastructuresecurity, #emergingrisks | Views own

London, UK
Joined January 2008
My contribution to the "Anticipatory Games & Simulations" chapter for the Handbook of Anticipation now published: detailing the development of #futuresgaming in Iceland @_Arctic_Circle as part of my @arcticfutures project in 2014 & 2015 > link.springer.com/referencew…
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She's looking superb! Can't wait for next autumn... #OnXII
Arctic Corsair shining bright with her deck, navigation & fishing lights on! @HullMaritime @HeritageFundNOR
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#resilienceforesight: although framed within a US perspective, there are more broadly applicable market structure, commercial incentive & socio-political dynamics/trade-offs explored here... (this from a split-thread, would encourage reading the full article) h/t @leahmcelrath
Economic stabilization used to be part of the disaster preparedness toolbox. It is time we add it back in. Just as it was recognized that some banks were too big to fail after the global financial crisis, we have to recognize that some sectors are “too essential to fail.”
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“[L]egally authorized foreign intelligence analysis,” “identifying covert influence or sabotage campaigns,” and “providing warning in advance of potential military activities”: gotta build out those capability menu items @warmatters @RBarrettTaylor... techcrunch.com/2024/11/07/an…
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cc @warmatters @RBarrettTaylor
📢New AutoNorms report📢 "AI in Military Decision Support Systems: A Review of Developments and Debates" by @AnnaRNad @IngvildBode @Qiaochu_Zhang3 is now out! Download it here: autonorms.eu/ai-in-military-…
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The railway movement is the movement of all Ukraine. It drives our defense, our economy, and even our communication with the world—almost every delegation of our partners arrives in Ukraine by rail. Railway workers connect every corner of our country, making it possible for Ukrainians to reunite with loved ones, regardless of the circumstances. Today, thousands of railway workers serve in Ukraine’s Defense and Security Forces, fighting on the front lines for the sake of Ukraine. For thousands of Ukrainian businesses, the railway is a pillar of survival, and hence, job preservation for many of our people. All this is an enormous effort and truly one of the most vital contributions to the preservation of Ukraine. I am grateful for all that you do. Congratulations on your professional holiday, Railway Workers’ Day. @Ukrzaliznytsia
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At an event in Brussels focused on the rehabilitation of Ukrainian soldiers, participants were reportedly targeted in a gas poisoning attempt. After a film screening about the war in Ukraine, attendees noticed a strange smell and signs of poisoning. Event organizers stated that this was yet another provocation by Russia. Several people were hospitalized. An investigation is ongoing. .
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"Mass Assault" also implies the availability of options for "Mass Mobility": how are likely route options understood? What spatial area / population concentration might this draw from? And with what forms of temporal concentration? (in-situ specific?)
As these events get more and more frequent one of the most important (and difficult) things we will need to do is reframe the way that we think about helping
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Really helpful contextual information from @tancredipalmeri... xitter.cf/tancredipalmeri/status…
It’s hard not to get emotional. This is Valencia and those people on bridge are crossing the river to go help the victims of the flood as today is bank holiday. City within river ring was not affected, as neighbourhood outside the ring was. Brotherhood
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Drawing together comments from @LucyGoBag & @kellymnyc on "there is no electoral incentive for preparedness", with @davidkorowicz's appeal & Chapter #4 of new EU 'Safer Together' (Empowering citizens as the backbone of societal resilience & preparedness)... #resilienceforesight
As global systemic risk intensifies (not just climate) societies will face increasing systemic disruption. Scale means citizens must be at the 🩶of preparedness + response. Question for election candidates in Ireland: How will your party support a Whole-of Society response?
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Yesterday FASI’s @Nuclear_Balm and @AleixNadal hosted a strategic #wargame that focused on the UK’s Space Architecture. Players were able to consider the evaluation of space dependencies and allied support in 2030. Thanks to @EM_Dalessandro for developing & running the game.
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Think you'll enjoy this one @ravirockks...💾
[Lessons in public tech] "The Muni Metro’s Automatic Train Control System has required 5¼-inch floppy disks since 1998, when it was installed at San Francisco’s Market Street subway station" arstechnica.com/gadgets/2024…
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Ny vecka, nya inbjudningar! FörsvarsForum anordnar seminarium i Umeå den 30 november, på temat "Krig i Europa, Sverige en del i Nato". Se inbjudan nedan & varmt välkomna! @KKrVA_Sverige #försvarsutbildarna #försvarsforum #svpol #föpol #nato #säkpol
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NEW: Head of UK armed forces gains new powers in push to improve readiness for war Defence sec John Healey will launch new military strategy HQ within weeks, as part of biggest reforms to MoD in 50 years Story from me, @sylviapfeifer & @JP_Rathbone 👇 on.ft.com/3Urwcyj
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#GIUKGap klaxon: "...the most complex ‘Dynamic Mongoose’." ASW, SNMG1 & Sweden 🇸🇪 participating for the first time as a full NATO ally. Brings back memories of seeing the surface fleet moored in Reykjavik harbour prior to Trident Juncture 2018...
.@NATO_MARCOM North Atlantic ASW exercise is building its complexity levels, reflecting the requirement for alliance maritime forces to generate increased capability and effect following NATO’s revision of its regional response plans By @YellowandBlueSM navalnews.com/naval-news/202…
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I am obliged to sound the #GIUKGap klaxon... xitter.cf/NATO_MARCOM/status/183…
Allies & #SNMG1 complete Ex Northern Viking, strengthening #NATO’s collective defence in the strategic 🇬🇱🇮🇸🇬🇧 GIUK Gap. Ensuring security and freedom of navigation here is essential for global maritime security. Read more: mc.nato.int/media-centre/new… #WeAreNATO #StrongerTogether
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I am obliged to sound the #GIUKGap klaxon ... xitter.cf/AlexLuck9/status/18489…
German Marineflieger will forward base their new P-8A (first delivery in 2025) to UK. This makes eminent sense among other things to create a more sustainable German contribution to GIUK ASW surveillance. telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/10…
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🚨New First View Article🚨 "‘Pirates’, ports, politics: The Gulf (khalīj) & international society’s expansion" by Ali Al Youha is now available #OpenAccess on our website! 📜➡️ buff.ly/3ActbuL
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Accurate information can help people make informed decisions about how to stay safe and healthy during an emergency. To help combat the disaster rumor mill, RAND experts developed a checklist for sharing fact-based posts: bit.ly/4f555kr
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