@greatbong

Author of “Sultan of Delhi” on Hotstar/Hulu and “Mahabharat Murders” on Hoichoi. Opinions own, not employers’. Latest book: The Bucket.

USA
Joined January 2009
amazon.com/dp/B0GCGH6KY6 here is the link. Please do order. The Bucket. From the author of Shakchunni and The Mine, a terrifying journey into the still, dark waters of the minds of boys and of the men they become. One a Bollywood superstar. One a professor of physics in California. One is about to become a government minister. One is dying of cancer. Thirty years ago, they were boys. Best friends. Then Pramila was found dead, drowned in a bucket. The police arrested a man. He died in jail. Now, a documentary is asking questions about that night, questions the four men thought had been buried forever. For water remembers. And so does murder.
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A salute to flydubai’s brave Indian pilot, Captain Smit Machchhar. Stabbed and wounded, yet he stood his ground. With the courage of "Arjuna" in the face of danger and the resolve of "Hanuman" when duty called, he fought back, opened the cockpit door, and gave the passengers and crew the chance to prevent disaster. He helped save 174 lives. Tonight, from the UAE to India to Israel, people are united in gratitude, wishing Captain Machchhar a swift and full recovery. A hero to his passengers, to aviation, and to people everywhere. Salute, Captain.
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Altercation is pilot stabbed the co-pilot and he crawled out opened the passenger door and the passengers rushed the pilot. Altercation. Yes.
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Arnab Ray retweeted
Will be in Kolkata for Durga pujo and then from October 22 to 30 in Mumbai. Anyone want to meet up?
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Mahua Moitra once asked “Why would anyone leave Bangladesh to come to India?” Well, indeed why would? Especially when their country can make the “original” of Rangeela so amazingly well choreographed.
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Arnab Ray retweeted
At a premium place like this, they can’t even serve chili chicken and fried rice correctly. And we are expected to catch up with China? Someone needs to fast in protest.
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Will be in Kolkata for Durga pujo and then from October 22 to 30 in Mumbai. Anyone want to meet up?
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Unable to counter the facts (cause he cannot), let’s bring up a fictional “racist” story. The fact doesn’t change that China today is a crony capitalist authoritarian state that has implemented surveillance even the Stasi was not able to do.
Many years ago, during my time studying South Asian studies at Johns Hopkins University in the US, my professor solved a long-standing mystery for me: Why do Indians constantly emphasize "purity," yet their public sanitation is so poor? The answer lies in the fact that what many Indians mean by "purity" is actually ritual compliance, not physical cleanliness. Consequently, a cup of water that looks greasy and filthy can be considered supremely "pure" simply because it was drawn from a specific sacred site, by a specific holy person, at a specific auspicious hour. Once you grasp this distinction between ritual purity and physical cleanliness, it becomes easy to understand the attitude of many Indian scholars toward democracy. Just as they are willing to ignore physical grime and actual hygiene for the sake of ritual purity, they are equally willing to disregard tangible governance performance for the sake of democratic formality. This explains why, in the classic debate comparing China and India, whenever outsiders point out that "India lags behind China" based on sheer common sense, the most common and lazy copium is: "We are simply unwilling to compromise our principles." This is clearly a highly satisfying answer for many, for it allows them to claim the moral high ground while dodging the objective gap in actual performance. However, the harsh reality is that if a cup of water is contaminated, anyone who drinks it will get very sick, no matter how ritually pure it is deemed to be. By the same token, no matter how self-gratifying the obsession with democracy is, if it fails to deliver tangible performance, it will be exposed as an illusion the moment it faces a true test of hard power.
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Today Anthropic’s filing says they plan to spend 518 billion dollars in compute *in a year.* This is what I had predicted in this article as the “infeasibility” of constructing a harness to do reasoning tasks at scale.
AI is amazing and transformative, but please be wary of the hype, both that glorifies and that which terrifies
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The cost of the “harness” (please refer to the long form article I had written on exactly this a few weeks ago; exactly as I had predicted)
Another hidden gem in the Reuters drop of Anthropic's financials... the company "plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming year, according to the prospectus." Just a casual mention of raising half a trillion in a single year, really? Does anyone believe this? Let's say they pull $100B in equity from the IPO... and then what, $400B from the debt markets? That's more than the entire junk bond issuance in all of 2025. JFC this bubble is cooked.
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At a premium place like this, they can’t even serve chili chicken and fried rice correctly. And we are expected to catch up with China? Someone needs to fast in protest.
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That’s the cost of simulating intelligence using harnesses. As I had said in my long form writing, the problem with AGI will remain of infeasibility.
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Arnab Ray retweeted
(Finished writing this this weekend) Delhi, 1991. Asma Khan, an East Pakistani defector who came to the country with secrets, is found with a bullet in her forehead, and a robbery clumsily staged around her body to explain it. The investigation falls to Dukhiram, a desk analyst at the Agency, expected to close the file and move on. He does not. For the thread runs back to the war of 1971, and an operation, Operation Mayavi, whose survivors, on both sides of the border, have never agreed on what happened. Was it a speculator success for the Agency or was it compromised from the beginning? And who would commit murder twenty years later to cover the truth? Arnab Ray’s Mayavi is a spy thriller and murder mystery about the stories we tell, the stories we choose to believe, and the stories we mistake for what is real.
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(Finished writing this this weekend) Delhi, 1991. Asma Khan, an East Pakistani defector who came to the country with secrets, is found with a bullet in her forehead, and a robbery clumsily staged around her body to explain it. The investigation falls to Dukhiram, a desk analyst at the Agency, expected to close the file and move on. He does not. For the thread runs back to the war of 1971, and an operation, Operation Mayavi, whose survivors, on both sides of the border, have never agreed on what happened. Was it a speculator success for the Agency or was it compromised from the beginning? And who would commit murder twenty years later to cover the truth? Arnab Ray’s Mayavi is a spy thriller and murder mystery about the stories we tell, the stories we choose to believe, and the stories we mistake for what is real.
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When you grow up never understanding the difference between necessary and sufficient condition.
Replying to @greatbong
Another EXCUSE I have heard for at least 20 years. North Korea, Cuba, Myanmar, Iran etc would be brimming with wealth if authoritarianism and suppression of human rights were the primary keys to prosperity. And newly democratic countries of former Soviet block such as Poland, Czechia, and Hungary would have been impoverished but instead they made dramatic economic progress AFTER rejecting an authoritarian system.
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India can become China very quickly. By suppressing basic freedoms, removing labor laws, outlawing organized labor, making dissent illegal, clearing cities of poor people, and putting certain communities in camps. But guess which Lalanand Chume will be outraged then.
Replying to @harshmadhusudan
Harsh: No matter how desperately you torture spreadsheets and contort exchange rates, the simple truth is that nobody knows how the world will look in 2075 or even in 2047. What we do know is that in 2026 China is far ahead of India across a range of parameters, and that the claim from the early 2000s that India would rapidly close the gap has turned out to be false. Does this mean you’re wrong? Not necessarily. Perhaps all your magical calculations have given you the gift of clairvoyance and events will unfold precisely the way you would like them to unfold. If that happens I will rejoice and publicly congratulate you. My claim is much more humble: In 2026 there is no meaningful China-India race. Those who see Xi Jinping’s reception in Washington as proof of India’s arrival on the world stage are, to put it mildly, not quite connected to reality.
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