Cancer Survivor, Dog Lover, Retired LEO, World Traveller, Caretaker, Photographer, Graphic Artist
Somewhere on Earth
Joined June 2022
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The Wanderer retweeted
Bitcoin closing the week inside the 83K–77K support zone with a nice reversal off the lows. All the weekend panic and the zone did its job. Hold it and 93K–100K stays open. Lose it on multiple daily closes and the high probability is a higher low attempt in 76K–67K. This week's price action tells us a lot 🤝
bitcoin:native
The Wanderer retweeted
Everyone wants Altcoins to explode. The chart says they have to earn it first.
Total 3 is sitting just above my $753B–$721B support with the daily MAs still rising, while ETH/BTC is still stuck under 0.0307-0.0350. Hold that zone on daily closes and the uptrend stays intact. Lose it and alts bleed against bitcoin:native a while longer 🤝
The Wanderer retweeted
Social media searches for Bitcoin are dead quiet. That's usually when the cycle does the real work.
We're still inside my 83K–77K zone. Yesterday wicked to ~$79.8K on hot CPI/PPI and about $1B in long liquidations, and buyers stepped right in.
Hold 83K–77K and 93K–100K opens up. If we get multiple daily closes under 77K, the higher low forms in 76K–67K instead.
Higher low either way. New cycle lows after higher-time-frame trends flip like this would be unprecedented 🤝
bitcoin:native
The Wanderer retweeted
Not gonna lie, I'm proud of this one.
Late spring I said the AI trade was topping and to rotate into names forming higher timeframe bottoms with real fundamentals.
Wasn't popular then. Everyone was buying the top.
The big pullback came a little later than summer, but it's happening now. AI is getting crushed while we're sitting pretty in the rotation trade with plenty of cash on the sidelines.
This is what it's all about 🤝🫡
There is very likely to be another significant pullback in the markets this summer. Your best bet is to own assets that are currently showing early signs of forming higher-term timeframe bottoms with strong fundamentals as they will dip less then those that have went parabolic.
Anything that has run parabolically will likely get crushed and punish late buyers. If you're up significantly on some of those runners, congratulations, but you should definitely consider taking some profits while maintaining risk-free long exposure and keeping some dry powder to buy dips.
That's my outlook for the next few months as we approach the midterms.
The Wanderer retweeted
Altcoins are at a make-or-break spot.
TOTAL 3 is backtesting its key daily moving averages and the golden pocket after breaking out of the bear market trend.
The first major support is 775B–742B, with the 200-day SMA at 723B.
Hold this zone and it's a healthy retest that keeps the uptrend intact. Lose it and the breakout gets called into question.
CPI tomorrow will test it. Patience here, the structure decides.
The Wanderer retweeted
Worked at a major bank long enough to see how slow these things move lol
34% of banks now have some level of Bitcoin adoption and it's still early. This is the liquidity side of the cycle people sleep on.
Short term bitcoin:native is just chopping 83K–77K into CPI. Bigger picture, my Pi Cycle band is still $150K–$215K between May 2027 and April 2028, and that's based off Bitcoin's historical performance going into every halving. No bias just data 🤝🫡
The Wanderer retweeted
Record $30.7B into gold ETFs in Q3, the biggest quarter ever.
That's not retail chasing. That's big money hedging rates at 5.24% and sticky inflation.
Gold ~$4,200. As long as 4,100–3,813 holds on the weekly, I think the next attempt higher is toward 4,700–5,000.
Lose 3,813 and 3,500 is the likely move. Until then, I'm watching yields, macro and this support zone. Hold it and the next leg up is in play.
BREAKING: Global physical gold-backed ETFs attracted +$30.7 billion in inflows in Q3 2026, their largest quarterly intake on record.
In September, inflows totaled +$10 billion, the 3rd-largest monthly inflow of 2026, following +$17.9 billion in August, the 2nd-largest monthly intake on record.
As a result, global gold ETF holdings rose +67 tonnes last month to a record 4,256 tonnes.
This surpasses the previous record of 4,176 tonnes set in February.
Year-to-date, global gold ETFs have seen +$38.5 billion in inflows, equivalent to an increase of +226 tonnes in gold holdings, with all regions recording positive demand.
UK-listed funds have attracted +$9.5 billion in inflows over the same period, overtaking China to become the largest source of country-level demand so far in 2026.
Demand for gold is extremely strong.
The Wanderer retweeted
Bitcoin heads into Wednesday's CPI sitting right on the 83K–77K zone. I break down what a hold means (93K–100K back in play) vs a weekly close below 77K (76K–67K), plus what USDT dominance is telling us.
A pullback here is an opportunity, not the end. Let's look at the data 👇
The Wanderer retweeted
One whale doesn't change structure.
ETH/BTC closed the week under 0.0307, and 0.028–0.027 is the next zone I'm watching.
Flows are interesting, but the chart decides.
Break 0.035 on a weekly close and it's game on for ethereum:native and Altcoins.
A mysterious whale is selling $BTC and buying $ETH!
The whale sold 410.14 $BTC ($34.16M) on #Hyperliquid, then bought 14,341 $ETH ($36.14M) on DEXs.
arkm.com/explorer/entity/491…
The Wanderer retweeted
Weekly close update on the 83K–77K zone. bitcoin:native dipped to about 80.3K this week and closed near 83K, so the zone held. A weekly close below 77K would put 76K–67K back in play. Next test is 85.3K-88.5K on the way to 93K–100K.
bitcoin:native is sitting at the top of the major 83K–77K zone.
What stacks here: the 50W SMA, the 100W EMA, the higher-timeframe .786 Fib, and the shorter-timeframe .382 Fib.
Hold above it: 93K–100K is the likely move.
Close below it: I expect a retest of the key daily MAs and fib levels in the 76K–67K zone.
Sunday's weekly close decides which one we get.
The Wanderer retweeted
The Russell 2000 has been red 8 weeks in a row.
That's a record. The previous high was 5 weeks, set only during the financial crisis and the COVID crash.
On the daily, IWM-style small caps are testing major support at 2,804–2,724, sitting on the golden pocket and the 200D SMA/EMA.
Momentum, strength, and money flow are all very oversold.
Earnings season is coming and should be strong. I expect a strong bounce within this zone over the coming weeks.
I'm wrong if the Russell closes below 2,680.
$IWM
$SPY
$QQQ
The Wanderer retweeted
bitcoin:native is sitting at the top of the major 83K–77K zone.
What stacks here: the 50W SMA, the 100W EMA, the higher-timeframe .786 Fib, and the shorter-timeframe .382 Fib.
Hold above it: 93K–100K is the likely move.
Close below it: I expect a retest of the key daily MAs and fib levels in the 76K–67K zone.
Sunday's weekly close decides which one we get.
The Wanderer retweeted
USDT.D is bouncing exactly where I said it would back in early September.
Trend is still down. First major resistance is 6.8%–6.6% (golden pocket + 50D SMA), and it's being rejected right now.
If it breaks above and BTC's correction continues, I expect 7.2%–7.8% to be tested. That's where I'd look for a major rejection, a lower high in USDT.D, and a higher low in bitcoin:native, followed by a move higher.
Rejection at 6.8%–6.6% keeps the trend intact. A weekly close above 7.8% is where I'm wrong.`
This is the BTC and Altcoins alpha you need from here so listen up. 🚨
USDT D is still the best inverse chart in crypto.
It’s called every major BTC top and bottom for me since
2021. Put it on your watchlist.
Weekly/2W bearish divergence is playing out.
Daily USDT D uptrend is broken.
BTC and ETH have broken their daily bear-market resistance MAs.
Historically, 300+ days into a bear market that meant the lows were in.
USDT D support: 6.8%–6.2%–5.9%.
Expect more movement in that range for USDT D, then a bounce into lost MAs. That bounce = pullback in BTC/ETH/SOL into what should be new support.
Last strong add for sidelined capital.
ethereum:native lows: I’m confident they’re in.
bitcoin:native lows: ~70%.
solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 lows ~60%
Don’t get married to a level. Manage the portfolio.
Higher-TF trend is changing.
DCA into year-end is still the play.
The Wanderer retweeted
Instead of remembering October 10th in a negative way, look at the charts.
Altcoins are at those October 10th low prices and bottoming all while they have a stronger setup against Bitcoin than they’ve had in over 6 years.
Just facts in the charts. No bias. 🤝🫡
The Wanderer retweeted
Pivot when your favorite sector is chopping or underperforming.
A lot of you love crypto. A lot of you also lose money when it trades sideways 90% of the time. If you want to win, you have to be where the momentum is. Every day.
I don’t care if those posts get fewer likes. Tourists leave when the topic changes. They were never staying.
I’m building a community that follows the money across every sector via the technicals and fundamentals.
If that’s you, like this and comment below. Let’s dominate these markets. 🤝🫡