@future_uii
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UIF- Ukraine’s leading strategic foresight and scenario-planning think tank, focused on long-term national transformation in conditions of systemic uncertainty.
Kyiv, Pamvy Beryndy Str., 6
Joined February 2023
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Is Ukraine’s economy stalling?
🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO & Co-founder of UIF, on the current state of Ukraine’s economy.
👉 Read UIF’s latest Economic Digest: uifuture.org/dajdzhesty/makr…
#Ukraine #Economy #UIF
Ukraine’s 2027 budget: record spending, a $91.2B external financing need — and a $32.6B gap with no identified source.
Key figures from UIF:
— UAH 9.9T in spending — 89.2% of GDP
— 15.1% of GDP budget deficit
— $91.2B external financing need
— $125B in security spending, incl. international assistance
— ~$340M — the cost of one day of war
UIF also estimates a UAH 150–200B risk of revenue shortfall.
How realistic is the budget — and where are the main risks and expenditure-cutting reserves?
Read the full UIF analysis: uifuture.org/en/reports-en/a…
With the support of Norway, Sweden and @Isar_Ednannia
#UkraineEconomy #Budget2027 #EconomicAnalysis #UIF
Ukrainian Institute for the Future and the National Social Service of Ukraine signed a Memorandum of Cooperation.
Focus: practical solutions for social services for veterans and their families, people affected by the war, and families with children.
The partners will conduct research, prepare policy proposals, introduce international standards and run joint trainings.
Work is already underway in the NEXUS project with the National Police and the Ombudsman’s Office to build a joint response system.
“For many veterans, the first encounter with the state after the front happens at the social service. Trust can only be restored through a service that works quickly and treats people humanely,” — @AnatoliyAmelin
🔗 Read more on the UIF website: uifuture.org/en/news-en/the-…
The publication was prepared within the framework of the project “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — a Driver of Reform and Democracy”, with the support of Norway and Sweden, @Isar_Ednannia
Education Below the Basic Level?
🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF
#Ukraine #Education #Schools #UIF
🧠 Ukraine Is Losing Its Brainpower
🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF.
🔗 Read the new UIF study: uifuture.org/doslidzhennya/f…
#Ukraine #Science #Innovation #UIF
Is there any good news? 🇺🇦
🎙 Anatoliy Amelin, CEO and Co-founder of UIF.
#Ukraine #AirDefense #Patriot #Defense #UIF
📊 $41.9B trade deficit. 0.4% GDP growth in Q2.
Ukraine enters autumn with widening economic imbalances.
In 7M 2026, the trade deficit grew by almost $11B YoY. In July, imports exceeded exports by 3x+. FX reserves fell from $51.2B to $48.7B in August, with the NBU selling a net $4.85B.
Can the NBU keep the hryvnia at 44.5–45 UAH/$? How realistic is the government’s 2026–27 programme?
👉 Read UIF’s latest Macroeconomic Digest: Full analysis:uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
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The publication was prepared within the framework of the project “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — a Driver of Reform and Democracy”, with the support of Norway and Sweden, @Isar_Ednannia
#Ukraine #Economy #Macroeconomics #UAeconomy
UIF and EdTech Ukraine Association have signed a Memorandum of Cooperation.
The partnership will focus on modern educational approaches, innovation, expertise exchange and joint projects across the EdTech ecosystem.
“We have a unique window over the next decade to turn human capital into the foundation of a new economy,” says UIF Executive Director @AnatoliyAmelin
The real work starts now.
🔗uifuture.org/en/news-en/uif-…
#EdTech #Education
⚡️ Electricity prices surged in August: +⅓ on the day-ahead market, +42% on the intraday market.
Meanwhile, Ukraine plans to restore 4 GW of generation before winter. Available capacity is expected to reach 19.6 GW by 1 November and 21.4 GW by year-end.
👉 Banks have already financed UAH 60.4 billion in energy projects, including 1.938 GW of new generation and 813 MW of energy storage.Ukraine has also received its first NEMO operator — a key step toward market coupling with the EU.Full energy digest on the UIF website: uifuture.org/en/digests/ener…х
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Supported by Norway & Sweden within the “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine” project, implemented by @Isar_Ednannia
#UkraineEnergy #EnergySecurity #
🚆 What Is Happening with Ukrzaliznytsia?
🎙 Speaker: @AnatoliyAmel, Co-founder and Director of Economic Programs at the Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF).
🔗 The full study is now available on the UIF website:
#Ukrzaliznytsia #Economy #Ukraine #Infrastructure #UIF
🛡 Closing the Sky Over Europe
🎙 Speaker: @AnatoliyAmelin, Co-founder and Director of Economic Programs at the Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF).
#Ukraine #Europe #AirDefense #DefenseTechnology #UIF
🇺🇦 35 Years of Independence: Economic Results & 5 Scenarios to 2035
UIF’s new study shows Ukraine’s average real GDP growth in 1991–2024 was –1.94% — the only negative figure among 12 benchmark countries.
One key reason: zero policy continuity. 21 governments in 35 years, none kept an economic course longer than one electoral cycle.
“If every government had continued a single strategy instead of swinging from one extreme to another, Ukraine’s GDP could be close to $1 trillion today,” — @AnatoliyAmelin, UIF.
Five trajectories to 2035. Inertial scenario is most likely (32%). Gap between best and worst cases: ~$250 billion.
Full presentation + discussion already on UIF YouTube → link in comments
#UIF #35YearsOfIndependence #UkrainianEconomy
📊 Ukraine’s economy is nearly standing still, while the trade deficit continues to grow.
UIF’s new Macroeconomic Digest examines the key trends shaping Ukraine’s economy.
🎙 Watch @AnatoliyAmelin key takeaways in the video.
🔗 Read the full digest: uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
#Ukraine #Economy #UIF
📊 Ukraine’s economy ended H1 2026 with 0% growth.
Meanwhile:
— IMF inflation forecast: 10.5%
— NBU key policy rate: 15.5%
— 2026 trade deficit forecast: up to $89B
The IMF has also downgraded Ukraine’s 2026 growth forecast.
👉 What will shape the economy by year-end? Key trends & forecasts in UIF’s August Macroeconomic Digest: uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
Supported by Norway and Sweden through the “Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — Driver of Reforms and Democracy” project, implemented by @Isar_Ednannia
📊 Ukraine’s economy is nearly standing still, while the trade deficit continues to grow.
UIF’s new Macroeconomic Digest examines the key trends shaping Ukraine’s economy.
🎙 Watch Anatoliy Amelin’s key takeaways in the video.
🔗 Read the full digest: uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
#Ukraine #Economy #UIF