@foombler
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foombler 🐂🃏 retweeted
AI safety discourse is rising. What if you could trade p(doom)?
$PDOOM-PERP by @alexmasmej lets you long or short humanity’s perceived probability of AI catastrophe in real time, informed by 15+ forecasts and expert estimates.
Check it out at pdoom.trade ↓
foombler 🐂🃏 retweeted
What if you could trade p(doom)?
Introducing PDOOM-PERP: trade humanity’s perceived probability of AI catastrophe in real time.
pdoom.trade ↓
foombler 🐂🃏 retweeted
Live in one hour with @StephenGrugett!
Talking about the pre-IPO AI race, why AI markets belong onchain, the overlap between @ManifoldMarkets and MNX, whether you can trade society’s p(doom) and more
nitter.cf/i/spaces/1qJVmyAbNaPGB…
Tomorrow’s MNX CEO AMA is going to help you escape the permanent underclass (some are saying)
nitter.cf/i/spaces/1qJVmyAbNaPGB…
foombler 🐂🃏 retweeted
This is also visible in Anthropic/OpenAI pre-IPO valuations: aiflippening.com
OpenAI on the rise!
Futarchy is real.
BREAKING: @RobinhoodApp ENGINEERS CHARGED WITH COMMODITIES FRAUD AND WIRE FRAUD ARISING FROM A SCHEME TO MISAPPROPRIATE CONFIDENTIAL BUSINESS INFORMATION FROM THEIR EMPLOYER, ROBINHOOD MARKETS, INC. (“ROBINHOOD”), AND USE THAT INFORMATION TO TRADE PERPETUAL FUTURES ON @HyperliquidX
SOURCE: justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/two…
Please just follow this on MNX, and get accurate pricing before it's news.
No wonder OpenAI delayed their IPO plans. Secondary shares are being offered at an implied $475 bn valuation, down roughly 44% from the $852 bn primary round earlier this year, that makes that $1 tn IPO look near impossible right now.
Hearing Anthropic is being offered around a $700 bn valuation on the secondary market, yet they’re still trying to pitch their IPO between $1 tn and $2 tn. Good luck with that.
We all know how flaky secondary markets can be, so make of it what you will.
.@theojaffee thinks a world where everyone pauses except one frontier lab is a “terrible idea.”
his argument is doom gets likelier when the gap between AI capability and society gets too big so shipping frontier models iteratively gives society time to build defenses
Hacking industry in disbelief.
>AI ceos trying to slow down development for safety
>Donald Trump- fuck safety we need to beat china
foombler 🐂🃏 retweeted
BREAKING: Anthropic has reportedly picked Nasdaq for its IPO.
Anthropic could seek a valuation of up to $2T, putting it among the largest IPOs ever. If it gets anywhere close to that number, Anthropic would arrive on public markets as one of the most valuable companies in the world.
There’s a lot happening around this IPO already. Nvidia is reportedly considering coming in as an anchor investor, while Anthropic is looking to raise as much as $100B in the offering.
And all of this is happening while Dario Amodei is publicly arguing that frontier AI development needs to slow down.
A pretty unusual setup for what could become the largest IPO ever.
Jason says AI stocks to drop on monday
you can bet today on app.mnx.fi/ whether he is right or not
AI stocks will drop 10%+ on Monday morning
Brace for impact folks
@DarioAmodei just unwound the AI trade with a blog post
Sickeningly long here.
