@flrandei
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成分复杂个人号 生活 | ACG | 宏观 | AI Views are my own
Joined April 2020
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搞不来一点,上一代的横向扩展边际成本低太多
感觉Personal AI这波又回归了移动互联网的肌肉记忆,看用户量,而不是看ARR,所以创投圈的中登们都很兴奋,之前让他们去卖Token实在是太难受了,技能和市场根本对应不上。
而且AI时代的用户量,量级单位又低了不止一个档位,Threads当初是达到了1亿的MAU,扎克伯格才好意思在财报上主动披露,否则哪儿够看啊,但Muse才刚50万日活,Meta就按捺不住激动全世界嚷嚷了。
不过有一说一,从Muse发布到现在,Meta的股价已经涨了1/4,要知道,这可是Meta,AI行业公认的大乐子,到了自己擅长的消费级应用主场,小试牛刀就是大乘境界。
一代版本一代神,文艺复兴了,兄弟们。
至于国内市场究竟是否需要Personal AI不重要,重要的是那么多流离在外的P8P9,他们刚需Personal AI啊。
多看几步的话,微信是一柄绕不过去的达摩克利斯之剑,Personal AI能做的事情,微信都能做,但微信能做的,Personal AI未必能做到,龙哥是不是在守株待兔我不知道,微信的存在本身,就是Personal AI面临的的鲸吞之局。
感觉这一代AI创业者的憋屈还是很明显的,在B端的生产力市场,必须卡着模型大厂「看不上」同时又还有钱可赚的边界行走,稍微越线就会触发「模型吞噬一切」的团灭机制,在C端的生活化场景,又必然撞见移动互联网的传统巨头,它们在模型层可能暂时掉队,但在应用层,呵呵,个个都是磨刀霍霍,有人主动来帮忙验证赛道,那可真是义务劳动,吃干抹净的时候定当含泪感恩。
FYI
BREAKING: The US appears to have abandoned its naval blockade line against Iran, pulling its aircraft carriers off it entirely after Iran's first use of anti-ship ballistic missiles against a carrier. The warships have not been located in the CENTCOM area on Sentinel-2 satellite imagery since the beginning of September, including the USS George H.W. Bush, the USS George Washington, the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer and even their escorting destroyers.
The finding suggests the US has pulled back beyond the range of Iranian anti-ship missiles from a blockade line that until August sat at the exit of the Gulf of Oman. The pullback was likely prompted by Iran's first use of anti-ship ballistic missiles against a US carrier on the night of September 5 with the Qasem Basir, which has a range of about 1,200 km and covers almost the entire Arabian Sea.
Iran said on September 12 that not a single US warship remains in the Persian Gulf, down from around 30 before the attack, with all US vessels holding at least 400 km off the Iranian coast. Iran's SNSC chief Rezaei said the Qasem Basir "created hell for the Americans, and they fled."
Independent imagery had not supported that withdrawal until now.
Scaling Law 并没有撞墙,参数大就是好下限就是高,现在撞墙的是算力和成本
Tried Opus 5.5 today. Not blown away tbh.
- asked it to research something tricky I recently learned. It got it wrong. Astra got it right.
- for coding, Astra still feels better.
This reinforces my earlier take: frontier LLM coding capability has plateaued.
The battle now is increasingly about intelligence per dollar.
全自动优化爽是爽,就是太费钱了,现在手里 2 个 gpt20x 1个 gpt5x 1个 claude20x
OPENAI HAS LARGELY AUTOMATED TRAINING OF NEW EXPERIMENTAL AI MODELS
OpenAI’s internal AI models can now handle much of the process of building and training experimental models, including writing GPU kernels and optimizing the code used to run them.
Researchers can reportedly give an AI a single example of the optimization they want, then let it work for weeks implementing and testing similar improvements.
OpenAI employees also say internal agents increasingly collaborate with each other to solve problems without involving their human users.
The capability has improved significantly in just the last few months, while OpenAI’s growing access to compute is allowing researchers to test ideas much faster. Employees said some experiments that previously could have taken years can now be carried out in about a week.
Source: The Information
Flrande retweeted
[Global Server Launch Celebration] Key Visual Revealed!
To celebrate the global launch of BanG Dream! Our Notes, the official key visual celebrating the Global Server launch is now revealed!
A special launch celebration project featuring Ave Mujica will be revealed soon. Stay tuned!