theFlightGuy

Tucker Carlson’s warning that Washington could carry out a nuclear strike on Iran by 7 November, with Mr Netanyahu pressing for a bunker buster against a facility buried deep beneath Iran’s mountains, marks a dangerous moment. Any nuclear detonation, however “tactical”, would break a taboo that has held since 1945. The consequences would be severe: radiological contamination across the region, uncontrollable escalation involving Iran’s proxies and Gulf states, the collapse of the non-proliferation order, and an incentive for every aspiring nuclear power to acquire a deterrent of its own. Oil markets, food supply chains and diplomatic alliances would be shaken far beyond the Middle East. The fact that this warning comes amid over 30 countries worldwide urging their citizens to stockpile food and essential supplies is a sign of how seriously governments now weigh the risk of wider conflict. The political drivers are as relevant as the military ones. Netanyahu’s disappointing election performance, 53 seats and well short of the 61 needed, leaves him without a clear mandate and with strong domestic incentives to prioritise a security agenda. For Washington, the strategic question is whether its Iran policy is being set by its own interests or by the political needs of a partner, a dynamic that carries real alliance-management and credibility risks. Iran’s nuclear ambiguity and regional network remain legitimate security concerns, but they are best met through verification, deterrence and diplomacy. A nuclear strike would offer no clear military end-state, would isolate both capitals diplomatically, and would likely accelerate the proliferation it is meant to prevent. #Iran #TuckerCarlson #USIranWar #IranWar #Israel

The fires make the headlines. The causes sit behind them: crumbling schools, unaffordable rents, fees, and too few jobs. Read Leo Bruno on why Europe’s young are in the streets, and what the critics say, at: ceno.org.uk/student-protests… #StudentProtests #Europe