@firstenercast

Founder of Enercast | Natural gas pipeline intelligence

 Denver, Colorado
enercast.com
Joined December 2009
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#natgas flow data now FREE to everyone! #enercast
Enercast@Enercast_comSep 14
BIG update to Enercast — pipeline flow data is now live! Tracking 16,000+ active meter points across ~ 200 U.S. natural gas pipelines. Critical notices + real-time flow data in one place. Most of it free. Pro subs get flows & notices in real-time #NatGas #EnergyTrading
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this one crashed the server? TCO posted a Force Majeure update on MXP Line-100 at 7:19 AM CT today. immediately, TC Energy's notice portal started returning 503/504 errors — overwhelmed as everyone pulled the same notice at once. full text wasn't retrievable until ~7:45 CT.
Enercast@Enercast_comOct 16
TCO is estimating a return to service for Gas Day Saturday October 17, 2026. #natgas #oott
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Gazprom flex & pop shot at Europe
Gazprom@GazpromENOct 15
Gazprom being ready to provide reliable gas supplies to consumers in 2026–2027 autumn/winter period gazprom.com/press/news/2026/…
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not really seeing the same size reductions on TCO as we did on the Sep24th outage
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our pro users got this alert in under 1-minute.....
Enercast@Enercast_comOct 14
TCO force majeure on MXP Line-100 eliminates 1.9 Bcf/d of Appalachian firm transport capacity to zero effective Oct 15 evening cycle. Very bullish Dom South, TETCO M2, and downstream Mid-Atlantic basis. Bearish pressure at trapped Appalachian receipt points. #natgas #oott
There's a new version of this post
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TCO ....again. .....if you aren't subscribed to our Pro alerts, it's costing you
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el niño winter... ecmwf winter gas-weighted HDD forecast totals are -80 from the 10yr avg and -51 from last winter
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forecast warm winter bias by month
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it'll keep getting faster, and the service keeps getting better. .....more soon
Enercast@Enercast_comOct 13
We've been quietly optimizing Enercast's parsers and backend for months. A full cycle — detection to detailed AI analysis in your inbox — now averages 82 seconds. Force majeure declared. Compressor down. Capacity cut. —you will know in in just over a minute. #natgas #oott
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restarts: Mississippi Canyon (0 → 0.138, Mars/Ursa/Olympus ramping), Nautilus (0.008 → 0.082), Discovery (0.122 → 0.194), and Sea Robin (0.012 → 0.023). still shut: Destin (Horn Mountain, Delta House, Marlin, Pompano, Okeanos), Mobile Bay plants, & TETCO's offshore meters
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on the #LNG front: freeport has recovered. cove point still at maintenance volumes despite lifting it's PPO on the feedline several days ago.
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track #LNG export here: enercast.com/daily-summary/c…

LNG Feedgas — Daily Supply & Demand | Enercast

PipeScrape's LNG Feedgas location detail for gas day October 14, 2026.

enercast.com
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had someone dm asking for more detail. here are all the lines/meters we gather:
Ben Smith@firstenercastOct 9
shut-in looks to have bottomed near 1.3 Bcf/d off the ~1.95 baseline. Destin, Mississippi Canyon, TETCO's offshore meters, and the Mobile Bay plants are all still at zero; Nautilus is down to 0.002; Transco slipped further to 0.30 (Whale and Perdido are what's left). #natgas
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shut-in looks to have bottomed near 1.3 Bcf/d off the ~1.95 baseline. Destin, Mississippi Canyon, TETCO's offshore meters, and the Mobile Bay plants are all still at zero; Nautilus is down to 0.002; Transco slipped further to 0.30 (Whale and Perdido are what's left). #natgas
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best historical benchmark for power outages: hurricane Sally (2020) where 465,000 customers lost power
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#Isaias #natgas #GOA: Mississippi Canyon (Mars, Ursa, Olympus, Vito) went from 0.32 to zero Destin (Horn Mountain, Delta House, Marlin, Pompano) from 0.40 to zero Nautilus 0.23 → 0.04, Discovery 0.26 → 0.15, and all of Transco's eastern deepwater meters are at zero.
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BSEE reporting -1.1 bcfd
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here is updated storm track / offshore well map
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hurricane #Isaias offshore shut-in risk: ~0.40 mb/d oil & ~0.43 bcf/d gas
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i'm going to just post updates in this thread: BSEE reporting 0.5mb/d oil and 0.35 bcf/d gas shut-in
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4 day's faster than last yr
Enercast@Enercast_comOct 7
Cove Point #LNG completed maintenance; a few days earlier than expected. #natgas
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