Economics, social policy, and new socks. @BeckerFriedman/@uchi_economics. Formerly @UCBerkeley, @MSFTResearch.

Joined February 2020
Another nice extension from living science! And a great starting point for exploring china shock empirics yourself. People with strong views on the underlying DiD here will be interested in the choices our agent made, as well as the results on non-manufacturing outcomes.
I saw a lot of discussions on the China syndrome yesterday here. Coincidently, we chose the same paper for this week's living science update. Our extension focused on manufacturing jobs per 100 working-age adults. We find that the damage kept growing long after the shock ended. Manufacturing losses in exposed places deepened for another decade, reaching the size of the paper's headline estimate around 2018. Most of that gap was still there in 2023. Average local wages have recovered, but the manufacturing jobs did not come back. Learn more in the link below.
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Evan Rose retweeted
I saw a lot of discussions on the China syndrome yesterday here. Coincidently, we chose the same paper for this week's living science update. Our extension focused on manufacturing jobs per 100 working-age adults. We find that the damage kept growing long after the shock ended. Manufacturing losses in exposed places deepened for another decade, reaching the size of the paper's headline estimate around 2018. Most of that gap was still there in 2023. Average local wages have recovered, but the manufacturing jobs did not come back. Learn more in the link below.
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Why should important results be frozen in time at the moment they’re published? The world isn’t static, and our evidence shouldn’t be either. AI allows us to continuously update influential work with new data and methods. Let us know what you want to see us tackle next!
Excited to announce Living Science! Papers have been the de facto unit of knowledge in science. But science is not static and a paper is not meant to be the final destination, especially in empirical research. Empowered by AI agents, we're revisiting influential research as new data, models, and methods arrive, starting with economics. 🧵
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Come work with me at Chicago! We have a great program that provides a ton of opportunities to learn in a very fun environment. Candidates from all backgrounds are encouraged to apply. @econ_ra job-boards.greenhouse.io/bfi…
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We're hiring a project coordinator to work on a large-scale experiment studying labor market discrimination. This is a project I'm very excited about, and we're looking for someone who can take charge and make it happen! Details (and application): uchicago.wd5.myworkdayjobs.c…
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Interactions is back! Submissions need not be methods papers or written by econometricians---just send us your best work!
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Downtime before the New Year is the perfect time to submit to our upcoming conference on AI in the workplace! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F… Come interact with leading experts from Gemini, Anthropic, Microsoft, OpenAI, and private sector firms on the implementation frontier.
We are hosting a research-meets-industry conference on AI in the workplace this Spring! @ChenhaoTan @Econ_4_Everyone @AndersPHumlum Come present your work in front of the scientists and practitioners putting these tools into use. Submit here by Feb 15: fs2.formsite.com/UChicagoEco…
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We are hosting a research-meets-industry conference on AI in the workplace this Spring! @ChenhaoTan @Econ_4_Everyone @AndersPHumlum Come present your work in front of the scientists and practitioners putting these tools into use. Submit here by Feb 15: fs2.formsite.com/UChicagoEco…
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My awesome student @kyung_clara’s paper is a fascinating look at the benefits and (somewhat unanticipated) costs of accountability systems targeting students’ long-run outcomes. Check it out!
Replying to @UChi_Economics
@kyung_clara works in labor and education. In her JMP, she studies the impacts of a reform that introduced financial bonuses for school districts based on graduates' outcomes. Learn more at ckyung.github.io. Read more: economics.uchicago.edu/direc… #UChicago #EconJobMarket
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Check out my all-star student Haruka's excellent work on the effects of blind review! @haruka__uchida
Replying to @UChi_Economics
@haruka__uchida studies labor & education. Her JMP runs 2 field experiments to measure & disentangle forms of discrimination. She finds that hiding applicant names changes representation without reducing quality. Read more: economics.uchicago.edu/direc… #UChicago #EconJobMarket
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Want to run experiments on how AI will transform the workplace? Come join a community of scholars at Chicago tackling this issue. Fellows will visit this Spring and receive generous support. Early-career faculty especially encouraged! Deadline Nov 30: ekrose.github.io/files/AIWor…
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Come work with me at Chicago. We have a great program that provides a ton of opportunities to learn in a very fun environment. Candidates from all backgrounds are encouraged to apply. @econ_ra job-boards.greenhouse.io/uni…
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Chicago labor/public folks (including me) are hiring new research professionals! We have a great program that provides a ton of opportunities to learn in a very fun environment. Candidates from all backgrounds are encouraged to apply. @econ_ra Details: job-boards.greenhouse.io/uni…
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We're hosting a causal inference conference for students at Chicago this March! A great opportunity for students (including JMCs) to present research in empirical micro and applied metrics. We'll buy your flight and hotel. Deadline is Nov. 30: fs2.formsite.com/UChicagoEco…
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Great talking about an important topic on a podcast I've long enjoyed and learned a lot from! Thanks to Jen for hosting me.
You guys! Our hiatus is over! I'm excited to bring you this interview w @evankrose, about the costs & benefits of using incarceration as a consequence for breaking probation rules. He measures the effect of a NC reform that ended such revocations. Important policy implications!
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You guys! Our hiatus is over! I'm excited to bring you this interview w @evankrose, about the costs & benefits of using incarceration as a consequence for breaking probation rules. He measures the effect of a NC reform that ended such revocations. Important policy implications!
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A conviction typically comes with hundreds of dollars in fines and fees. A lot of recent work (e.g. sites.lsa.umich.edu/mgms/wp-…) has questioned what this practice achieves. New paper with @sambnorris looks at when lowering fees would be unambiguously better for everyone. 🧵
Decreasing criminal justice fees and fines benefits both the most disadvantaged defendants and local governments, from @sambnorris and @evankrose nber.org/papers/w31806
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Our takeaway: LFOs are high mostly because they raise more revenue that way. Reducing them would have fiscal costs, although more careful personalization could both increase revenue and decrease the burden on defendants.
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Stepping back, because most defendants are so disadvantaged, you can think of LFOs as a very regressive transfer to the average taxpayer. We view their extensive use as yet more evidence of the low welfare weights society places on people who interact with the justice system.
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