EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis) header
EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis) profile picture

Feed of the Network of European Union Independent Fiscal Institutions.

European Union
Joined November 2015
Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)Photo by EU Independent Fiscal Institutions ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ (@eu_ifis)
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธA new working paper from the IFIs Network is out! ๐Ÿ’กThe study examines the assessment & endorsement of macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts as a core function of IFIs across the EU, and concludes with a set of best-practice recommendations. READ HERE๐Ÿ‘‰ euifis.eu/publications/48
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On 25 September, the Network's Chair Lilia Cavallari spoke at the Interparliamentary Conference on Stability, Economic Coordination and Governance, organised in the context of the ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ชIrish ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEU Presidency @Ireland2026eu. ๐ŸŽฅWatch her speech: tinyurl.com/y82p7m9t Key messages๐Ÿ‘‡
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Key messages: ๐Ÿ“Œ The new rules provide a credible anchor for fiscal discipline ๐Ÿ“Œ Discipline must coexist with the capacity to respond to common challenges ๐Ÿ“Œ Flexibility requires strong institutions
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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ New position paper on external evaluations for EU IFIs! As some issues may arise with this new legal requirement, we have set out 6๏ธโƒฃ key guidelines for the design and conduct of credible external reviews. Read our recommendations here ๐Ÿ‘‰ euifis.eu/publications/47
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Deep dive into the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บFiscal Monitor โ€“ our flagship publication! Finding # 5๏ธโƒฃ โ€“ 16/29 IFIs judge their country's long-term fiscal position unsustainable under current policy, against 9 โ€˜mostlyโ€™ sustainable and only 2 โ€˜fullyโ€™ sustainable. ๐Ÿ”—Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธThe Hellenic PBO published a working paper on house prices & marketable housing supply in ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท! ๐Ÿ’กSuggesting that reduced marketable utilisation may account for a meaningful share of the observed nominal increase in house prices in 2018-2025. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/mwe9x2rc
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Deep dive into the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บFiscal Monitor โ€“ our flagship publication! Finding # 4โƒฃ: 1/3 of IFIs doubt their country's debt will be on a downward path by the end of the adjustment period. ๐Ÿ”ด IFIs in 9/27 countries rate this implausible or very implausible. ๐Ÿ”— tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
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The @upBilancio's "Policy Report โ€“ June 2026" is out! ๐Ÿ”Following reforms introduced in 2014, including the establishment of the UPB, the macroeconomic & public finance forecasts contained in government planning documents have become more reliable. ๐Ÿ”—tinyurl.com/3tzpsdmp
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The ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ทFiscal Council published its "Spring Report 2026"! Although the annual increase of net nationally financed primary expenditure is expected to exceed the reference rate in 2026, the cumulative expenditure path remains within the permitted limits. ๐Ÿ”— tinyurl.com/cmputdp6
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Deep dive into the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บFiscal Monitor โ€“ our flagship publication! Finding # 3๏ธโƒฃ: Not a single IFI reported feeling entirely unconcerned about their government's: ๐ŸŸกfiscal stance ๐ŸŸกcompliance with national and ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEU fiscal rules ๐ŸŸกtransparency. ๐Ÿ”—Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
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The @upBilancio's Hearing on the Preliminary Draft Agreements for greater regional autonomy for Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont and Veneto is out! ๐Ÿ”It pays particular attention to the potential financial implications of the transfer of functions. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/2uzwe2ey
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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ@AIReF_es published its report on "Budget Execution, Public Debt and the Expenditure Rule for 2026"! Revising upward the growth in net spending forecast, well above the % committed to in the MTP, which complicates compliance with fiscal commitments. ๐Ÿ”—tinyurl.com/msv9u7x5
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Check out the Hellenic PBO's latest research note on ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ทsovereign yield sensitivity to global uncertainty shocks! ๐Ÿ”Highlighting the key role of sustained primary surpluses and a declining debt-to-GDP ratio in reducing such sensitivity. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/4eb87wur
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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธCheck out the Romanian Fiscal Council's analysis "Public Debt Sustainability in Romania"! In the absence of additional fiscal adjustment measures, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดโ€™s public debt would remain on an unsustainable trajectory. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/5th9b5vd
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The ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น@upBilancio's Hearing in the context of the examination of the 2026 Public Finance Document reports that the UPB endorsed the PFDโ€™s trend macroeconomic scenario, while highlighting significant risks. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/2n944w8c
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Deep dive into the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บEuropean Fiscal Monitor โ€“ our flagship publication! Finding # 2๏ธโƒฃ: Defence spending remains the dominant fiscal risk for most IFIs. IFIs in NEC-activated countries appear more worried about national debt and deficits. ๐Ÿ”—Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
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The @fiskalrat published its "Fiscal rules compliance report 2025-30"! ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น's fiscal consolidation measures are insufficient to achieve the 3% deficit target and structural reforms are lacking, resulting in continued high medium-term budget deficits. ๐Ÿ—ž๏ธtinyurl.com/mt3tjtt6
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๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ Check out the @cfp_pt 's report on NHS performance in 2025! Heavy reliance on transfers from the ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นState Budget and the structural growth in health expenditure continue to pose significant challenges to the financial sustainability of the NHS. ๐Ÿ”—tinyurl.com/7t5685ym
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The ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ@FiskalnisvetRS published its Assessment of the fiscal consequences of the Coalition Agreement! ๐Ÿ” While the document is opaque, the quantifiable measures point to significant risks to fiscal sustainability if they are adopted. READ HERE: tinyurl.com/f8385e6t
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The @fiskalrat published its latest fiscal policy recommendations! ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น's public finances remain strained despite the planned consolidation measures, as high expenditure, weak economic growth and new relief measures are putting pressure on the budget. ๐Ÿ—ž๏ธtinyurl.com/y9um49jt
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