๐๏ธA new working paper from the IFIs Network is out!
๐กThe study examines the assessment & endorsement of macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts as a core function of IFIs across the EU, and concludes with a set of best-practice recommendations.
READ HERE๐ euifis.eu/publications/48
On 25 September, the Network's Chair Lilia Cavallari spoke at the Interparliamentary Conference on Stability, Economic Coordination and Governance, organised in the context of the ๐ฎ๐ชIrish ๐ช๐บEU Presidency @Ireland2026eu.
๐ฅWatch her speech: tinyurl.com/y82p7m9t
Key messages๐
๐๏ธ New position paper on external evaluations for EU IFIs!
As some issues may arise with this new legal requirement, we have set out 6๏ธโฃ key guidelines for the design and conduct of credible external reviews.
Read our recommendations here ๐ euifis.eu/publications/47
Deep dive into the ๐ช๐บFiscal Monitor โ our flagship publication!
Finding # 5๏ธโฃ โ 16/29 IFIs judge their country's long-term fiscal position unsustainable under current policy, against 9 โmostlyโ sustainable and only 2 โfullyโ sustainable.
๐Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
๐๏ธThe Hellenic PBO published a working paper on house prices & marketable housing supply in ๐ฌ๐ท!
๐กSuggesting that reduced marketable utilisation may account for a meaningful share of the observed nominal increase in house prices in 2018-2025.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/mwe9x2rc
Deep dive into the ๐ช๐บFiscal Monitor โ our flagship publication!
Finding # 4โฃ: 1/3 of IFIs doubt their country's debt will be on a downward path by the end of the adjustment period.
๐ด IFIs in 9/27 countries rate this implausible or very implausible.
๐ tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
The @upBilancio's "Policy Report โ June 2026" is out!
๐Following reforms introduced in 2014, including the establishment of the UPB, the macroeconomic & public finance forecasts contained in government planning documents have become more reliable.
๐tinyurl.com/3tzpsdmp
The ๐ฌ๐ทFiscal Council published its "Spring Report 2026"!
Although the annual increase of net nationally financed primary expenditure is expected to exceed the reference rate in 2026, the cumulative expenditure path remains within the permitted limits.
๐ tinyurl.com/cmputdp6
Deep dive into the ๐ช๐บFiscal Monitor โ our flagship publication!
Finding # 3๏ธโฃ: Not a single IFI reported feeling entirely unconcerned about their government's:
๐กfiscal stance
๐กcompliance with national and ๐ช๐บEU fiscal rules
๐กtransparency.
๐Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
The @upBilancio's Hearing on the Preliminary Draft Agreements for greater regional autonomy for Liguria, Lombardy, Piedmont and Veneto is out!
๐It pays particular attention to the potential financial implications of the transfer of functions.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/2uzwe2ey
๐๏ธ@AIReF_es published its report on "Budget Execution, Public Debt and the Expenditure Rule for 2026"!
Revising upward the growth in net spending forecast, well above the % committed to in the MTP, which complicates compliance with fiscal commitments.
๐tinyurl.com/msv9u7x5
Check out the Hellenic PBO's latest research note on ๐ฌ๐ทsovereign yield sensitivity to global uncertainty shocks!
๐Highlighting the key role of sustained primary surpluses and a declining debt-to-GDP ratio in reducing such sensitivity.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/4eb87wur
๐๏ธCheck out the Romanian Fiscal Council's analysis "Public Debt Sustainability in Romania"!
In the absence of additional fiscal adjustment measures, ๐ท๐ดโs public debt would remain on an unsustainable trajectory.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/5th9b5vd
The ๐ฎ๐น@upBilancio's Hearing in the context of the examination of the 2026 Public Finance Document reports that the UPB endorsed the PFDโs trend macroeconomic scenario, while highlighting significant risks.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/2n944w8c
Deep dive into the ๐ช๐บEuropean Fiscal Monitor โ our flagship publication!
Finding # 2๏ธโฃ: Defence spending remains the dominant fiscal risk for most IFIs. IFIs in NEC-activated countries appear more worried about national debt and deficits.
๐Read more: tinyurl.com/yh7n7ydm
The @fiskalrat published its "Fiscal rules compliance report 2025-30"!
๐ฆ๐น's fiscal consolidation measures are insufficient to achieve the 3% deficit target and structural reforms are lacking, resulting in continued high medium-term budget deficits.
๐๏ธtinyurl.com/mt3tjtt6
๐๏ธ Check out the @cfp_pt 's report on NHS performance in 2025!
Heavy reliance on transfers from the ๐ต๐นState Budget and the structural growth in health expenditure continue to pose significant challenges to the financial sustainability of the NHS.
๐tinyurl.com/7t5685ym
The ๐ธ๐ฎ@FiskalnisvetRS published its Assessment of the fiscal consequences of the Coalition Agreement!
๐ While the document is opaque, the quantifiable measures point to significant risks to fiscal sustainability if they are adopted.
READ HERE: tinyurl.com/f8385e6t
The @fiskalrat published its latest fiscal policy recommendations!
๐ฆ๐น's public finances remain strained despite the planned consolidation measures, as high expenditure, weak economic growth and new relief measures are putting pressure on the budget.
๐๏ธtinyurl.com/y9um49jt



















